La escuela de los momios

IFK Norrkoping v Sandvikens IF

Inicio: 2026-07-19 11:00 UTC

Final: IFK Norrkoping 3–0 Sandvikens IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Predicción 60.57%1.65momio equitativo
EV -4.90%
Ventaja -3.12%
Kelly -8.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.35%60.48%60.55%62.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.521.511.5768.97%65.90%66.23%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sandvikens IF (Visitante)

Predicción 18.18%5.50momio equitativo
EV +0.006%
Ventaja +0.001%
Kelly +0.001%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.05%18.21%18.21%20.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.335.115.005.5023.09%19.56%20.00%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.24%4.71momio equitativo
EV -4.40%
Ventaja -0.979%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.41%21.30%21.24%23.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.284.334.5025.64%23.38%23.09%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -8.53%E -5.65%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.40%E -0.979%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 10:20
ATG (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -8.53%E -5.65%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.40%E -0.979%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 10:20
Svenska Spel1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -8.53%E -5.65%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.40%E -0.979%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.11%EV -8.53%E -5.65%K -16.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.05%EV +0.006%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -4.40%E -0.979%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 10:20
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.47I 18.28%NM 17.34%EV -0.539%E -0.099%K -0.121%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 21.86%EV -7.80%E -1.80%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 10:45
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.29%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.59%EV -1.81%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.11%EV -4.40%E -0.979%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 10:45
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.31%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -1.81%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.32%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 10:49
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.31%EV -1.81%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.14%EV -14.18%E -3.51%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-19 10:50
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -9.75%E -6.54%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -1.81%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 10:20
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -9.75%E -6.54%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -1.81%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 10:20
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -9.75%E -6.54%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -1.81%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 10:20
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -9.75%E -6.54%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -1.81%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 10:20
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -9.75%E -6.54%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -1.81%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 10:20
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -9.75%E -6.54%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -1.81%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 10:20
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.94%EV -9.75%E -6.54%K -19.89%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -1.81%E -0.336%K -0.412%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.97%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-19 10:20
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 61.75%EV -10.35%E -6.99%K -21.56%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.24%EV -3.63%E -0.685%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.01%EV -7.59%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-19 10:20
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -5.51%E -3.53%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.54%E -0.865%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 10:35
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -4.54%E -0.865%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -8.02%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 10:54
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 61.98%EV -12.17%E -8.39%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.12%EV -4.54%E -0.865%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.90%EV -8.65%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-19 10:20
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.17%EV -12.17%E -8.39%K -27.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.34%EV -5.45%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.49%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-19 10:40
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.50%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.97%EV -6.36%E -1.23%K -1.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -8.65%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 10:50
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -7.27%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.65%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 10:35
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -7.27%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.65%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 10:35
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 59.77%EV -4.90%E -3.12%K -8.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -7.27%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.65%E -2.01%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 10:35
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.01%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -7.59%E -1.75%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-19 10:50
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.47%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -6.53%E -1.48%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-19 10:54
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -8.02%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-19 10:35
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.22%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -4.40%E -0.979%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-19 10:40
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 10:50
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-19 10:50
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -12.90%E -3.15%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-19 10:35
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.50%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.35%EV -9.72%E -2.29%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-19 10:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-19 10:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-19 10:50
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.28%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-19 09:35
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -17.15%E -4.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 10:35
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -17.15%E -4.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 10:35
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -17.15%E -4.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 10:35
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -9.09%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -17.15%E -4.40%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-19 10:35
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -9.99%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -5.47%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 10:50
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -9.99%E -2.02%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -5.47%E -1.23%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 10:50
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -7.32%E -4.79%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -8.02%E -1.85%K -2.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-19 10:35
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -15.03%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-19 10:50
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 59.75%EV -10.96%E -7.45%K -23.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -12.72%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -15.03%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-19 10:50
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -6.11%E -3.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -13.63%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -15.03%E -3.76%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-19 10:55
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -13.63%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-19 10:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -16.36%E -3.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-19 10:35
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.41%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -16.36%E -3.56%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-19 10:35
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 58.70%EV -9.14%E -6.09%K -18.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.34%EV -21.27%E -4.91%K -6.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -10.78%E -2.57%K -3.37%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-19 10:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.29%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.59%0.7%2026-07-19 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-07-19 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-07-19 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.44%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.06%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50%1.1%2026-07-19 10:50