The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

IFK Norrkoping v Örebro SK

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 17:00 UTC

Final: IFK Norrkoping 2–2 Örebro SK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Prediction 58.91%1.70fair odd
EV -4.57%
Edge -2.82%
Kelly -7.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.35%58.92%58.92%60.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.561.571.6268.03%63.95%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Örebro SK (Visit)

Prediction 18.77%5.33fair odd
EV -0.513%
Edge -0.097%
Kelly -0.119%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.68%18.78%18.91%20.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.814.755.3023.09%20.78%21.05%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.32%4.48fair odd
EV +3.79%
Edge +0.816%
Kelly +1.04%
Growth +0.039%

assuming max odds 4.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.44%22.30%22.17%23.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.034.004.6526.67%24.83%25.00%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Norrkoping (Local): 58.91%; Örebro SK (Visit): 18.77%; Draw: 22.32%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.48. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.92%EV -8.10%E -5.20%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.64%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.44%EV +3.79%E +0.816%K +1.04%G +0.039%5.2%2026-10-20 13:15
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 19.25%EV -8.21%E -1.68%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -4.02%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-20 16:45
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.93%EV -8.10%E -5.20%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.33%EV -4.27%E -0.837%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -4.02%E -0.934%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-20 16:45
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -6.93%E -4.38%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -9.90%E -2.06%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.13%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-20 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.29%EV -9.28%E -6.03%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.48%EV -5.13%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-20 16:45
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.64%EV -5.16%E -3.20%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -6.25%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-20 16:55
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.25%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-20 16:45
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -6.25%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-20 16:45
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.25%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-20 16:45
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -6.25%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-20 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.83%EV -13.41%E -9.12%K -28.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -6.25%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-20 16:50
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.05%EV -6.93%E -4.38%K -11.94%G +0.000%5.13I 19.49%NM 18.19%EV -3.70%E -0.722%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.48%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-20 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -8.10%E -5.20%K -14.47%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -2.39%E -0.460%K -0.569%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.48%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-20 16:45
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.93%EV -6.34%E -3.99%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.78%E -2.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.48%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 16:44
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.93%EV -6.34%E -3.99%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -11.78%E -2.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -8.48%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.55%EV -8.69%E -5.61%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -11.78%E -2.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -8.48%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-20 16:45
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.31%EV -8.69%E -5.61%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -8.48%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-20 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.99%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.00%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -8.48%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-20 16:45
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.06%EV -8.69%E -5.61%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -8.48%E -2.07%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 16:45
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.66%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV -0.513%E -0.097%K -0.119%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.41%EV -9.38%E -2.31%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-20 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-20 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-20 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-20 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -4.57%E -2.82%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -6.14%E -1.23%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-20 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.45%E -0.276%K -0.341%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-20 16:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.45%E -0.276%K -0.341%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-20 16:55
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -1.45%E -0.276%K -0.341%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-20 16:55
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -5.75%E -3.59%K -9.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-20 16:45
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-20 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.69%E -5.61%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-20 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.69%E -5.61%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-20 16:45
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.69%E -5.61%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-20 16:45
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.74%EV -8.69%E -5.61%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -15.53%E -3.45%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.37%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-20 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -11.64%E -7.76%K -23.28%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-20 16:40
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.09%EV -11.64%E -7.76%K -23.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -18.72%E -4.32%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.78%EV -10.71%E -2.68%K -3.57%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-20 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -11.05%E -7.32%K -21.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -12.95%E -3.32%K -4.46%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-20 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.01%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -14.06%E -3.65%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-20 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.01%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -14.06%E -3.65%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-20 16:40
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.01%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -14.06%E -3.65%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-20 16:40
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.01%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -14.06%E -3.65%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-20 16:40
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.01%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -14.06%E -3.65%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-20 16:40
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.01%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -14.06%E -3.65%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-20 16:40
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.18%E -3.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 16:45
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.18%E -3.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 16:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.18%E -3.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -7.52%E -4.79%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -10.84%E -2.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -15.18%E -3.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-20 16:45
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.55%EV -8.69%E -5.61%K -15.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -11.78%E -2.51%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -15.18%E -3.99%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-20 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.45%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.11%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -16.30%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-20 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.45%EV -9.87%E -6.45%K -18.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.11%EV -13.65%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -16.30%E -4.35%K -5.93%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-20 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-10-20 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.66%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-10-20 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.66%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-10-20 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.66%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-10-20 16:55