Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Norrkoping v Ljungskile SK

Início: 2026-09-04 17:00 UTC

Final: IFK Norrkoping 2–2 Ljungskile SK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Previsão 65.82%1.52odd justa
EV -2.59%
Vantagem -1.75%
Kelly -5.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.79%65.72%65.84%67.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.331.411.401.4875.19%71.07%71.43%67.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ljungskile SK (Visitante)

Previsão 14.94%6.69odd justa
EV +4.60%
Vantagem +0.656%
Kelly +0.766%
Crescimento +0.035%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.04%14.96%14.96%16.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.406.016.007.0018.52%16.64%16.67%14.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 19.24%5.20odd justa
EV -0.725%
Vantagem -0.140%
Kelly -0.174%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.16

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.06%19.31%19.20%21.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.584.505.1623.81%21.82%22.22%19.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: IFK Norrkoping (Local): 65.82%; Ljungskile SK (Visitante): 14.94%; Empate: 19.24%. Para Ljungskile SK (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.69. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 7.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.60%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -9.83%E -7.17%K -26.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV +4.60%E +0.656%K +0.766%G +0.035%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -10.49%E -7.71%K -29.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV +4.60%E +0.656%K +0.766%G +0.035%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.50%E -2.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 13:49
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.38%EV -7.20%E -5.10%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.69I 14.95%NM 14.20%EV -0.037%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.41%EV -0.725%E -0.140%K -0.174%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.35%EV -7.20%E -5.10%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.68I 14.97%NM 14.22%EV -0.186%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.44%EV -0.917%E -0.178%K -0.221%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:30
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.53%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.26%EV -2.43%E -0.372%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.20%EV -6.69%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -2.88%E -0.442%K -0.523%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -3.80%E -0.761%K -0.951%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:30
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -2.88%E -0.442%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 11:34
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -2.88%E -0.442%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 11:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.65%EV -8.51%E -6.12%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -2.88%E -0.442%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -6.69%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -12.46%E -9.37%K -37.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -2.88%E -0.442%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -13.42%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.89%EV -11.80%E -8.81%K -34.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -2.88%E -0.442%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.53%EV -17.27%E -4.02%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-04 14:05
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.55%EV -4.56%E -3.15%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.85%EV -4.37%E -0.683%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.60%EV -6.69%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 12:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.17%EV -9.17%E -6.65%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -6.61%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -8.61%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 12:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -9.17%E -6.65%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -6.61%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.50%E -2.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 12:15
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -10.49%E -7.71%K -29.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -6.61%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -16.69%E -3.86%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 13:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.00%EV -7.20%E -5.10%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -7.36%E -1.19%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -5.73%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.00%EV -7.20%E -5.10%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -7.36%E -1.19%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -5.73%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 13:55
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.00%EV -7.20%E -5.10%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -7.36%E -1.19%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -5.73%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:00
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.42%EV -6.54%E -4.60%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -8.85%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.42%EV -6.54%E -4.60%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -8.85%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -2.59%E -1.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -10.35%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -13.42%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -2.59%E -1.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -10.35%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -13.42%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -2.59%E -1.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -10.35%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -13.42%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -2.59%E -1.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -10.35%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -13.42%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:35
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.35%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -3.80%E -0.761%K -0.951%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 13:49
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.15%EV -7.20%E -5.10%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.35%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -9.57%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -6.54%E -4.60%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -10.35%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -18.23%E -4.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -11.15%E -8.26%K -31.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.05%EV -10.35%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -3.80%E -0.761%K -0.951%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 14:00
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -10.49%E -7.71%K -29.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -10.35%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.50%E -2.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 12:10
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.12%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -13.34%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 12:00
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -14.08%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -11.50%E -2.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 13:03
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -14.08%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -14.08%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -14.08%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 12:00
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.98%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -16.32%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -17.27%E -4.02%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.98%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -16.32%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -17.27%E -4.02%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.98%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -16.32%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -17.27%E -4.02%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.98%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -16.32%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -17.27%E -4.02%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 16:35
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.98%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -16.32%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -17.27%E -4.02%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 16:35
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.98%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -16.32%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -17.27%E -4.02%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.80%EV -6.54%E -4.60%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -17.82%E -3.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.98%EV -18.23%E -4.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-03 16:35
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -17.82%E -3.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-04 13:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -17.82%E -3.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-04 13:04
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -17.82%E -3.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-04 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -17.82%E -3.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-04 13:04
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -10.49%E -7.71%K -29.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -17.82%E -3.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -13.42%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-04 11:35
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.63%EV -6.54%E -4.60%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -19.31%E -3.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -11.50%E -2.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.79%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -19.31%E -3.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -19.19%E -4.57%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-03 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.79%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -19.31%E -3.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -19.19%E -4.57%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-03 16:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.96%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.57%1.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.11%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.49%2.1%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.11%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.49%2.1%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.11%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.49%2.1%2026-09-04 14:25