Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IFK Norrkoping v Ljungskile SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-04 17:00 UTC

Score final : IFK Norrkoping 2–2 Ljungskile SK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Prévision 65.82%1.52cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -5.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.79%65.72%65.84%67.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.331.411.401.4875.19%71.07%71.43%67.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Ljungskile SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.94%6.69cote équitable
EV +4.60%
Avantage +0.656%
Kelly +0.766%
Croissance +0.035%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.04%14.96%14.96%16.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.406.016.007.0018.52%16.64%16.67%14.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 19.24%5.20cote équitable
EV -0.725%
Avantage -0.140%
Kelly -0.174%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.06%19.31%19.20%21.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.204.584.505.1623.81%21.82%22.22%19.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : IFK Norrkoping (Local) : 65.82% ; Ljungskile SK (Visiteur) : 14.94% ; Match nul : 19.24%. Pour Ljungskile SK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 6.69. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.00, soit une espérance positive de +4.60%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.52%EV -9.83%E -7.17%K -26.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV +4.60%E +0.656%K +0.766%G +0.035%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -10.49%E -7.71%K -29.13%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV +4.60%E +0.656%K +0.766%G +0.035%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.50%E -2.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 13:49
BetUS🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.38%EV -7.20%E -5.10%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.69I 14.95%NM 14.20%EV -0.037%E -0.005%K -0.006%G +0.000%5.16I 19.38%NM 18.41%EV -0.725%E -0.140%K -0.174%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.35%EV -7.20%E -5.10%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.68I 14.97%NM 14.22%EV -0.186%E -0.028%K -0.033%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.44%EV -0.917%E -0.178%K -0.221%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 14:30
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.53%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%6.53I 15.31%NM 14.26%EV -2.43%E -0.372%K -0.439%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.20%EV -6.69%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 14:25
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -2.88%E -0.442%K -0.523%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -3.80%E -0.761%K -0.951%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:30
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -2.88%E -0.442%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 11:34
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -2.88%E -0.442%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 11:34
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 66.65%EV -8.51%E -6.12%K -21.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -2.88%E -0.442%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.10%EV -6.69%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 14:20
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -12.46%E -9.37%K -37.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -2.88%E -0.442%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -13.42%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-04 14:05
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.89%EV -11.80%E -8.81%K -34.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.58%EV -2.88%E -0.442%K -0.523%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.53%EV -17.27%E -4.02%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-04 14:05
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.55%EV -4.56%E -3.15%K -10.14%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.85%EV -4.37%E -0.683%K -0.809%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.60%EV -6.69%E -1.38%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 12:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.17%EV -9.17%E -6.65%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.61%EV -6.61%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -8.61%E -1.81%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-04 12:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -9.17%E -6.65%K -24.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -6.61%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.50%E -2.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-04 12:15
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.29%EV -10.49%E -7.71%K -29.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.21%EV -6.61%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -16.69%E -3.86%K -5.01%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-04 13:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.00%EV -7.20%E -5.10%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -7.36%E -1.19%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -5.73%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.00%EV -7.20%E -5.10%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -7.36%E -1.19%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -5.73%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 13:55
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.00%EV -7.20%E -5.10%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.01%EV -7.36%E -1.19%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -5.73%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 14:00
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.42%EV -6.54%E -4.60%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -8.85%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 13:55
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.42%EV -6.54%E -4.60%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -8.85%E -1.45%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -7.65%E -1.59%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -2.59%E -1.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -10.35%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -13.42%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -2.59%E -1.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -10.35%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -13.42%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -2.59%E -1.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -10.35%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -13.42%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -2.59%E -1.75%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -10.35%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -13.42%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 16:35
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -10.35%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -3.80%E -0.761%K -0.951%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 13:49
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.15%EV -7.20%E -5.10%K -17.55%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.35%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -9.57%E -2.04%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -6.54%E -4.60%K -15.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -10.35%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -18.23%E -4.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-04 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -11.15%E -8.26%K -31.84%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.05%EV -10.35%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -3.80%E -0.761%K -0.951%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 14:00
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -10.49%E -7.71%K -29.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -10.35%E -1.72%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.50%E -2.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-04 12:10
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.12%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -13.34%E -2.30%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 12:00
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.12%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -14.08%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.93%EV -11.50%E -2.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 13:03
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -14.08%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -14.08%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 12:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.03%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.59%EV -14.08%E -2.45%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 12:00
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.98%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -16.32%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -17.27%E -4.02%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.98%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -16.32%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -17.27%E -4.02%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.98%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -16.32%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -17.27%E -4.02%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.98%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -16.32%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -17.27%E -4.02%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 16:35
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.98%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -16.32%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -17.27%E -4.02%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 16:35
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 62.98%EV -5.88%E -4.11%K -13.67%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.08%EV -16.32%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -17.27%E -4.02%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 62.80%EV -6.54%E -4.60%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.21%EV -17.82%E -3.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.98%EV -18.23%E -4.29%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-03 16:35
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -17.82%E -3.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-04 13:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -17.82%E -3.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-04 13:04
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -17.82%E -3.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-04 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.58%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.18%EV -17.82%E -3.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.23%EV -15.35%E -3.49%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-04 13:04
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.54%EV -10.49%E -7.71%K -29.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -17.82%E -3.24%K -3.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -13.42%E -2.98%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-04 11:35
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.63%EV -6.54%E -4.60%K -15.57%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.73%EV -19.31%E -3.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -11.50%E -2.50%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.79%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -19.31%E -3.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -19.19%E -4.57%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-03 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.79%EV -7.85%E -5.61%K -19.64%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.28%EV -19.31%E -3.58%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -19.19%E -4.57%K -6.00%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-03 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.96%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.57%1.6%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.11%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.49%2.1%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.11%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.49%2.1%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.11%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.41%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.49%2.1%2026-09-04 14:25