The School of Odds
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IFK Norrkoping v Landskrona BoIS

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 10:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Prediction 59.77%1.67fair odd
EV -6.76%
Edge -4.34%
Kelly -12.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.61%59.77%59.77%60.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.541.5666.67%64.84%64.94%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Landskrona BoIS (Visit)

Prediction 17.93%5.58fair odd
EV -6.76%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.61%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.93%17.93%17.93%18.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.125.105.2020.00%19.53%19.61%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.30%4.48fair odd
EV -5.21%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.96%22.30%22.30%22.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.144.104.2524.39%24.14%24.39%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Norrkoping (Local): 59.77%; Landskrona BoIS (Visit): 17.93%; Draw: 22.30%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.48. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.25, with an expected value of -5.21%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.99%EV -6.76%E -4.34%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -6.76%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.21%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.99%EV -6.76%E -4.34%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -6.76%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.21%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 09:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.99%EV -6.76%E -4.34%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -6.76%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.21%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 09:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.99%EV -6.76%E -4.34%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -6.76%E -1.30%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -5.21%E -1.23%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 09:29
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.96%E -5.17%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -8.56%E -1.68%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 09:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.96%E -5.17%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -8.56%E -1.68%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 09:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.96%E -5.17%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -8.56%E -1.68%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 09:29
LeoVegas🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.96%E -5.17%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -8.56%E -1.68%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 09:29
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.96%E -5.17%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -8.56%E -1.68%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 09:30
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.96%E -5.17%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -8.56%E -1.68%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 09:29
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.96%E -5.17%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -8.56%E -1.68%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 09:29
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.96%E -5.17%K -14.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -8.56%E -1.68%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 09:29
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.77%EV -8.56%E -5.59%K -16.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -8.56%E -1.68%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-21 09:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -10.35%E -6.90%K -20.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -10.35%E -2.07%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -8.56%E -2.09%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-21 09:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.