The School of Odds
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IFK Norrkoping v Landskrona BoIS

Kickoff: 2026-04-28 17:00 UTC

Final: IFK Norrkoping 1–3 Landskrona BoIS

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Prediction 59.84%1.67fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -4.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%59.76%59.80%60.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.541.541.6268.03%65.09%64.94%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Landskrona BoIS (Visit)

Prediction 18.26%5.47fair odd
EV -4.11%
Edge -0.783%
Kelly -0.967%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.65%18.37%18.25%19.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.335.005.105.2523.09%19.98%19.61%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.90%4.57fair odd
EV -2.55%
Edge -0.573%
Kelly -0.739%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.26%21.87%21.94%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.134.104.4527.78%24.19%24.39%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Norrkoping (Local): 59.84%; Landskrona BoIS (Visit): 18.26%; Draw: 21.90%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.45, with an expected value of -2.55%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.89%EV -3.07%E -1.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.67%EV -11.41%E -2.35%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.44%EV -2.55%E -0.573%K -0.739%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 09:19
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -5.46%E -3.46%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -9.59%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.93%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 07:54
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -5.46%E -3.46%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -9.59%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.93%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 07:52
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.99%EV -6.66%E -4.27%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -5.02%E -0.966%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.93%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 02:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.99%EV -6.66%E -4.27%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -5.02%E -0.966%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.93%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 02:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.99%EV -6.66%E -4.27%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -5.02%E -0.966%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.93%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 02:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.99%EV -6.66%E -4.27%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.00%EV -5.02%E -0.966%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.93%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 02:14
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.08%EV -7.25%E -4.68%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.17I 19.34%NM 18.01%EV -5.57%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.91%EV -6.93%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-22 14:36
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -7.25%E -4.68%K -13.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -8.02%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 17:04
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -5.02%E -0.966%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -3.64%E -0.828%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-22 07:54
Unibet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -6.85%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.21%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 02:14
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -6.85%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.21%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 02:15
Casumo🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -6.85%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.21%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 02:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -6.85%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.21%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 02:15
LeoVegas🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -6.85%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.21%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 02:15
TABtouch🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -6.85%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.21%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 02:15
betPARX🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -6.85%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.21%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 02:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -7.85%E -5.10%K -14.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -6.85%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -10.21%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 08:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -4.11%E -0.783%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -6.93%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 14:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.02%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -6.93%E -1.63%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 17:30
Bovada🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -8.02%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 15:05
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.77%EV -8.45%E -5.52%K -15.95%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -6.85%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.30%EV -10.21%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 02:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -9.05%E -5.95%K -17.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -12.40%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 22:39
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -8.02%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 07:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -10.21%E -2.49%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-22 08:39
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -12.40%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 07:55
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.21%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -17.81%E -3.96%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.39%EV -14.59%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-22 07:54
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -20.91%E -4.83%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.67%EV -16.78%E -4.42%K -5.99%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-22 07:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 57.14%EV -10.25%E -6.83%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.05%EV -17.81%E -3.96%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.81%EV -21.16%E -5.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-22 07:54
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.63%EV -12.04%E -8.19%K -25.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.45%EV -13.24%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -12.40%E -3.10%K -4.13%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 07:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-04-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-04-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-04-22 15:09