Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Norrkoping v Helsingborgs IF

Início: 2026-08-01 15:00 UTC

Final: IFK Norrkoping 2–0 Helsingborgs IF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Previsão 58.08%1.72odd justa
EV -4.74%
Vantagem -2.89%
Kelly -7.41%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.19%58.10%58.15%60.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.501.581.591.6466.67%63.43%62.89%60.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Helsingborgs IF (Visitante)

Previsão 19.39%5.16odd justa
EV +0.835%
Vantagem +0.161%
Kelly +0.199%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.88%19.35%19.43%20.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.814.755.2023.81%20.78%21.05%19.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.52%4.44odd justa
EV -3.15%
Vantagem -0.732%
Kelly -0.954%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.47%22.55%22.41%24.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.754.074.104.3026.67%24.58%24.39%23.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: IFK Norrkoping (Local): 58.08%; Helsingborgs IF (Visitante): 19.39%; Empate: 22.52%. Para Helsingborgs IF (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.16. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.835%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -9.39%E -6.02%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV +0.835%E +0.161%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.15%E -0.732%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -9.39%E -6.02%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV +0.835%E +0.161%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.15%E -0.732%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 14:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -9.39%E -6.02%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV +0.835%E +0.161%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.15%E -0.732%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -9.39%E -6.02%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV +0.835%E +0.161%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.15%E -0.732%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.03%EV -4.74%E -2.89%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.48%EV -0.135%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.50%EV -8.78%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -6.48%E -4.03%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -6.48%E -4.03%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 14:55
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -6.48%E -4.03%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 14:55
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -11.13%E -7.27%K -21.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:05
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -11.13%E -7.27%K -21.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -11.13%E -7.27%K -21.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:05
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -11.13%E -7.27%K -21.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -11.13%E -7.27%K -21.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:05
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -11.13%E -7.27%K -21.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:05
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -11.13%E -7.27%K -21.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:05
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.40%EV -12.29%E -8.14%K -24.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 15:05
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.04%E -0.609%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.65%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -12.87%E -8.58%K -25.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -3.04%E -0.609%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -7.65%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 15:05
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.72%EV -7.64%E -4.81%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.98%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 14:49
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.98%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 14:49
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.30%EV -5.32%E -3.26%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.59%EV -5.95%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.15%E -0.732%K -0.954%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 07:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -7.06%E -4.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.12%EV -5.95%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -8.78%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 14:55
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -7.06%E -4.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -6.92%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.65%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 14:50
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.06%E -4.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:53
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.48%E -4.03%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -9.39%E -6.02%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -4.27%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.81%E -5.61%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 14:55
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -8.81%E -5.61%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.01%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -13.28%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.55%EV -9.97%E -6.43%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -8.86%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -7.65%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 14:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.34%EV -11.71%E -7.70%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -8.86%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 14:50
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.06%EV -4.74%E -2.89%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 19.95%EV -9.05%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 22.99%EV -8.33%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.51%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.04%EV -9.83%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.45%EV -6.53%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 14:49
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.51%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.04%EV -9.83%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.45%EV -6.53%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 14:49
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 14:55
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -7.06%E -4.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -7.06%E -4.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -7.06%E -4.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 14:54
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -7.06%E -4.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 14:55
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -11.13%E -7.27%K -21.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -9.97%E -6.43%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -6.48%E -4.03%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 14:54
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -7.06%E -4.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -13.28%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 14:54
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -9.97%E -6.43%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-01 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.54%EV -11.71%E -7.70%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.44%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-01 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.30%EV -8.81%E -5.61%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.21%EV -13.71%E -3.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -7.06%E -4.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -16.04%E -3.70%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.16%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 14:55
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -7.06%E -4.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -16.04%E -3.70%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.16%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 14:54
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -11.13%E -7.27%K -21.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -18.56%E -4.42%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-01 10:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-08-01 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-08-01 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-08-01 14:55
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-08-01 14:55