Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Norrkoping v Helsingborgs IF

Inicio: 2026-08-01 15:00 UTC

Final: IFK Norrkoping 2–0 Helsingborgs IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Predicción 58.08%1.72momio equitativo
EV -4.74%
Ventaja -2.89%
Kelly -7.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.19%58.10%58.15%60.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.581.591.6466.67%63.43%62.89%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Helsingborgs IF (Visitante)

Predicción 19.39%5.16momio equitativo
EV +0.835%
Ventaja +0.161%
Kelly +0.199%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.88%19.35%19.43%20.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.204.814.755.2023.81%20.78%21.05%19.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 22.52%4.44momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -0.732%
Kelly -0.954%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.47%22.55%22.41%24.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.754.074.104.3026.67%24.58%24.39%23.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: IFK Norrkoping (Local): 58.08%; Helsingborgs IF (Visitante): 19.39%; Empate: 22.52%. Para Helsingborgs IF (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.16. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.835%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -9.39%E -6.02%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV +0.835%E +0.161%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.15%E -0.732%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -9.39%E -6.02%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV +0.835%E +0.161%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.15%E -0.732%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 14:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -9.39%E -6.02%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV +0.835%E +0.161%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.15%E -0.732%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.14%EV -9.39%E -6.02%K -16.76%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.04%EV +0.835%E +0.161%K +0.199%G +0.002%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -3.15%E -0.732%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.03%EV -4.74%E -2.89%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.48%EV -0.135%E -0.026%K -0.032%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.50%EV -8.78%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -6.48%E -4.03%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -6.48%E -4.03%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 14:55
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.20%EV -6.48%E -4.03%K -10.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.37%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 14:55
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -11.13%E -7.27%K -21.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:05
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -11.13%E -7.27%K -21.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -11.13%E -7.27%K -21.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:05
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -11.13%E -7.27%K -21.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -11.13%E -7.27%K -21.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:05
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -11.13%E -7.27%K -21.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:05
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.09%EV -11.13%E -7.27%K -21.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 15:05
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.40%EV -12.29%E -8.14%K -24.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -1.10%E -0.217%K -0.269%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 15:05
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -3.04%E -0.609%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.65%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.03%EV -12.87%E -8.58%K -25.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -3.04%E -0.609%K -0.761%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.96%EV -7.65%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 15:05
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.72%EV -7.64%E -4.81%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.98%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 14:49
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -4.98%E -1.02%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 14:49
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.30%EV -5.32%E -3.26%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.59%EV -5.95%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.15%E -0.732%K -0.954%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 07:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -7.06%E -4.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.12%EV -5.95%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.90%EV -8.78%E -2.17%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 14:55
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -7.06%E -4.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -6.92%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -7.65%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-01 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-01 14:50
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -7.06%E -4.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-01 14:53
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.48%E -4.03%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-01 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.98%EV -9.39%E -6.02%K -16.76%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -4.27%E -1.01%K -1.32%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.81%E -5.61%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-01 14:55
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -8.81%E -5.61%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.01%EV -7.89%E -1.66%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -13.28%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 14:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.55%EV -9.97%E -6.43%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%EV -8.86%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -7.65%E -1.87%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-01 14:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.34%EV -11.71%E -7.70%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.19%EV -8.86%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 14:50
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.06%EV -4.74%E -2.89%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 19.95%EV -9.05%E -1.93%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 22.99%EV -8.33%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-01 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.51%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.04%EV -9.83%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.45%EV -6.53%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 14:49
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.51%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.04%EV -9.83%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.45%EV -6.53%E -1.57%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 14:49
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -5.90%E -3.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 14:55
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -7.06%E -4.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -7.06%E -4.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -7.06%E -4.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 14:54
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.35%EV -7.06%E -4.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -15.54%E -4.14%K -5.65%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 14:55
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.93%EV -11.13%E -7.27%K -21.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.60%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.47%EV -5.40%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-01 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99%EV -9.97%E -6.43%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54%EV -10.80%E -2.35%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.81%EV -6.48%E -4.03%K -10.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.87%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 14:54
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -7.06%E -4.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -13.28%E -3.45%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 14:54
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.07%EV -9.97%E -6.43%K -18.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.66%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.28%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-01 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.54%EV -11.71%E -7.70%K -22.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.44%EV -12.74%E -2.83%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.02%EV -14.41%E -3.79%K -5.15%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-01 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.30%EV -8.81%E -5.61%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.21%EV -13.71%E -3.08%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.49%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -7.06%E -4.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -16.04%E -3.70%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.16%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 14:55
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.19%EV -7.06%E -4.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.76%EV -16.04%E -3.70%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.05%EV -12.16%E -3.12%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 14:54
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.25%EV -11.13%E -7.27%K -21.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.85%EV -18.56%E -4.42%K -5.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.90%EV -9.90%E -2.48%K -3.30%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-01 10:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-08-01 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.72%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%0.8%2026-08-01 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-08-01 14:55
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.21%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47%1.1%2026-08-01 14:55