Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Norrkoping v GIF Sundsvall

Kickoff: 2026-10-13 17:00 UTC

Final: IFK Norrkoping 4–0 GIF Sundsvall

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Norrkoping (Local)

Prediction 79.95%1.25fair odd
EV -4.86%
Edge -4.08%
Kelly -25.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.04%79.84%79.98%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.161.161.1990.91%86.54%86.21%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

GIF Sundsvall (Visit)

Prediction 7.16%13.98fair odd
EV +7.33%
Edge +0.489%
Kelly +0.524%
Growth +0.038%

assuming max odds 15.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.01%7.20%7.15%8.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.5012.4612.2015.009.52%8.03%8.20%6.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 12.90%7.75fair odd
EV -0.317%
Edge -0.041%
Kelly -0.047%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.02%12.95%12.87%14.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.256.876.757.7316.00%14.55%14.81%12.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Norrkoping (Local): 79.95%; GIF Sundsvall (Visit): 7.16%; Draw: 12.90%. For GIF Sundsvall (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 13.98. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 15.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
betano_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.86%E -7.77%K -63.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +7.33%E +0.489%K +0.524%G +0.038%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.28%E -0.438%K -0.505%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-13 16:48
Bet Victor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -8.86%E -7.77%K -63.27%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.19%EV +7.33%E +0.489%K +0.524%G +0.038%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -3.28%E -0.438%K -0.505%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-13 16:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 81.97%EV -12.06%E -10.96%K -120.56%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.01%EV +7.33%E +0.489%K +0.524%G +0.038%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -3.28%E -0.438%K -0.505%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-13 15:34
Coolbet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.81%EV -5.66%E -4.80%K -31.44%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.81%EV +0.175%E +0.013%K +0.013%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.38%EV -0.704%E -0.091%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-13 15:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.95%EV -6.46%E -5.52%K -38.00%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV +0.175%E +0.013%K +0.013%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -9.73%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-13 16:59
FanDuel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.21%EV -9.66%E -8.55%K -74.29%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.55%EV +0.175%E +0.013%K +0.013%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.24%EV -3.28%E -0.438%K -0.505%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-13 16:13
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 80.37%EV -8.86%E -7.77%K -63.27%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.54%EV +0.175%E +0.013%K +0.013%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -9.73%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-13 16:55
Betsson🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.92%EV -5.66%E -4.80%K -31.44%G +0.000%13.88I 7.20%NM 6.79%EV -0.684%E -0.049%K -0.053%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.28%EV -8.44%E -1.19%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-13 16:54
NordicBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.76%EV -6.46%E -5.52%K -38.00%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.91%EV -3.40%E -0.252%K -0.272%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -9.73%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-13 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.33%EV -8.06%E -7.01%K -53.72%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.84%EV -3.40%E -0.252%K -0.272%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -7.15%E -0.993%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-13 16:49
DraftKings🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.12%EV -5.66%E -4.80%K -31.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.27%EV -6.98%E -0.537%K -0.582%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -3.28%E -0.438%K -0.505%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 16:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -4.86%E -4.08%K -25.58%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -6.98%E -0.537%K -0.582%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -9.73%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-12 22:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -4.86%E -4.08%K -25.58%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.26%EV -6.98%E -0.537%K -0.582%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -9.73%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-12 22:09
Bovada🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.30%EV -7.26%E -6.26%K -45.37%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.08%EV -6.98%E -0.537%K -0.582%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.63%EV -12.96%E -1.92%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-13 15:23
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 79.44%EV -8.06%E -7.01%K -53.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.03%EV -6.98%E -0.537%K -0.582%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.53%EV -12.96%E -1.92%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-13 15:24
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.39%EV -11.26%E -10.14%K -102.33%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -6.98%E -0.537%K -0.582%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -9.73%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-13 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.39%EV -11.26%E -10.14%K -102.33%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.86%EV -6.98%E -0.537%K -0.582%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.75%EV -9.73%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-13 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.01%EV -11.26%E -10.14%K -102.33%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.83%EV -6.98%E -0.537%K -0.582%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.16%EV -12.96%E -1.92%K -2.25%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-13 16:49
Pinnacle🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.24%EV -5.66%E -4.80%K -31.44%G +0.000%12.60I 7.94%NM 7.51%EV -9.84%E -0.781%K -0.848%G +0.000%7.73I 12.94%NM 12.25%EV -0.317%E -0.041%K -0.047%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-13 16:50
BetUS🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.09%EV -5.66%E -4.80%K -31.44%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.56%EV -10.56%E -0.845%K -0.918%G +0.000%7.65I 13.07%NM 12.35%EV -1.35%E -0.176%K -0.203%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-13 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.32%EV -6.46%E -5.52%K -38.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.42%EV -10.56%E -0.845%K -0.918%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.73%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -6.46%E -5.52%K -38.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -10.56%E -0.845%K -0.918%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -12.96%E -1.92%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 22:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.93%EV -6.46%E -5.52%K -38.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.39%EV -10.56%E -0.845%K -0.918%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -12.96%E -1.92%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 22:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.81%EV -8.06%E -7.01%K -53.72%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.25%EV -10.56%E -0.845%K -0.918%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -16.18%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-13 15:24
1xBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.27%EV -6.46%E -5.52%K -38.00%G +0.000%12.40I 8.06%NM 7.48%EV -11.27%E -0.909%K -0.989%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -9.73%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 06:53
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.46%E -5.52%K -38.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -14.14%E -1.18%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -16.18%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-13 16:34
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.46%E -5.52%K -38.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -14.14%E -1.18%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -16.18%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-13 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.46%E -5.52%K -38.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -14.14%E -1.18%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -16.18%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-13 16:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -6.46%E -5.52%K -38.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV -14.14%E -1.18%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -16.18%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-13 16:34
Unibet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -7.26%E -6.26%K -45.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV -14.14%E -1.18%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -16.18%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-12 22:09
TABtouch🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -7.26%E -6.26%K -45.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV -14.14%E -1.18%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -16.18%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-12 22:09
Casumo🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -7.26%E -6.26%K -45.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV -14.14%E -1.18%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -16.18%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-12 22:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -7.26%E -6.26%K -45.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV -14.14%E -1.18%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -16.18%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-12 22:09
Grosvenor🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -7.26%E -6.26%K -45.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV -14.14%E -1.18%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -16.18%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-12 22:09
betPARX🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -7.26%E -6.26%K -45.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV -14.14%E -1.18%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -16.18%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-12 22:09
LeoVegas🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 79.12%EV -8.86%E -7.77%K -63.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.52%EV -14.14%E -1.18%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.36%EV -12.96%E -1.92%K -2.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-13 15:50
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.72%EV -8.86%E -7.77%K -63.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.48%EV -14.14%E -1.18%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.18%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-13 15:24
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.55%EV -8.86%E -7.77%K -63.27%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.46%EV -14.14%E -1.18%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.99%EV -17.47%E -2.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-12 22:09
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 78.86%EV -9.66%E -8.55%K -74.29%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.43%EV -14.14%E -1.18%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -16.18%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-13 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 78.33%EV -10.46%E -9.34%K -87.14%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.63%EV -17.71%E -1.54%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -19.40%E -3.10%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-12 22:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 78.33%EV -10.46%E -9.34%K -87.14%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.63%EV -17.71%E -1.54%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -19.40%E -3.10%K -3.70%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-12 22:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.67%EV -5.66%E -4.80%K -31.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -21.29%E -1.94%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.89%EV -7.15%E -0.993%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-13 16:59
BetAnything🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.67%EV -5.66%E -4.80%K -31.44%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.44%EV -21.29%E -1.94%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.89%EV -7.15%E -0.993%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-13 16:59
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.22%EV -6.46%E -5.52%K -38.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV -21.29%E -1.94%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -3.28%E -0.438%K -0.505%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-13 16:59
BoyleSports🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -8.06%E -7.01%K -53.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -21.29%E -1.94%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.18%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-13 13:35
Neds🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -8.06%E -7.01%K -53.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -21.29%E -1.94%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.18%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-13 16:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -8.06%E -7.01%K -53.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -21.29%E -1.94%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.18%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-13 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -8.06%E -7.01%K -53.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -21.29%E -1.94%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.18%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-13 16:20
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 78.04%EV -8.06%E -7.01%K -53.72%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.16%EV -21.29%E -1.94%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -16.18%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-13 16:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.63%EV -5.66%E -4.80%K -31.44%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.84%EV -24.87%E -2.37%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.54%EV -4.57%E -0.618%K -0.715%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-13 16:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.15%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.07%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%1.1%2026-10-13 16:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.15%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.07%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%1.1%2026-10-13 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.15%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.07%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%1.1%2026-10-13 16:55
Matchbook◎1.19I 84.03%NM 83.15%19.50I 5.13%NM 5.07%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.78%1.1%2026-10-13 16:45