Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Helsingborgs IF v Örebro SK

Kickoff: 2026-09-01 17:00 UTC

Final: Helsingborgs IF 1–1 Örebro SK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Helsingborgs IF (Local)

Prediction 39.96%2.50fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.64%40.40%39.95%44.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.232.252.4251.02%44.92%44.44%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Örebro SK (Visit)

Prediction 33.63%2.97fair odd
EV +7.61%
Edge +2.38%
Kelly +3.46%
Growth +0.263%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.13%33.24%33.60%34.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.822.753.2038.46%35.46%36.43%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.41%3.79fair odd
EV -0.953%
Edge -0.254%
Kelly -0.347%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.39%26.36%26.44%27.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.453.453.7530.77%29.01%28.99%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Helsingborgs IF (Local): 39.96%; Örebro SK (Visit): 33.63%; Draw: 26.41%. For Örebro SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -16.09%E -7.66%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +7.61%E +2.38%K +3.46%G +0.263%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -16.09%E -7.66%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +7.61%E +2.38%K +3.46%G +0.263%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -16.09%E -7.66%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +7.61%E +2.38%K +3.46%G +0.263%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -16.09%E -7.66%K -14.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV +7.61%E +2.38%K +3.46%G +0.263%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-01 16:20
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -19.28%E -9.55%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV +4.25%E +1.37%K +2.02%G +0.086%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -8.88%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 16:20
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -19.28%E -9.55%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV +4.25%E +1.37%K +2.02%G +0.086%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -8.88%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -19.28%E -9.55%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV +4.25%E +1.37%K +2.02%G +0.086%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -8.88%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 16:20
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -19.28%E -9.55%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV +4.25%E +1.37%K +2.02%G +0.086%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -8.88%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 16:20
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -19.28%E -9.55%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV +4.25%E +1.37%K +2.02%G +0.086%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -8.88%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 16:20
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -19.28%E -9.55%K -18.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV +4.25%E +1.37%K +2.02%G +0.086%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -8.88%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 16:20
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.56%EV -20.08%E -10.04%K -20.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.22%EV +2.57%E +0.842%K +1.25%G +0.032%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-01 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.67%EV -21.68%E -11.06%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.19%EV +0.886%E +0.295%K +0.443%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -11.52%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-01 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.67%EV -21.68%E -11.06%K -22.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.19%EV +0.886%E +0.295%K +0.443%G +0.004%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.14%EV -11.52%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-01 16:20
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -0.796%E -0.270%K -0.408%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV -0.953%E -0.254%K -0.347%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-01 16:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -16.09%E -7.66%K -14.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -2.48%E -0.854%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-01 16:45
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.58%EV -3.70%E -1.53%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.07%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.35%EV -4.39%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-01 16:55
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -6.10%E -2.59%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.55%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 16:40
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.83%EV -6.10%E -2.59%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -5.84%E -2.09%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.59%EV -6.50%E -2.78%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.32%EV -6.51%E -2.34%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.09%EV -9.67%E -2.83%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-01 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -4.90%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.00%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-01 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.10%E -2.59%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-01 16:55
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.10%E -2.59%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-01 16:55
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 16:53
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.25%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 16:55
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -7.52%E -2.74%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-01 16:44
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.99%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.43%EV -7.86%E -2.87%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.58%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.99%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.43%EV -7.86%E -2.87%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.58%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 16:55
BetAnything🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.99%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.43%EV -7.86%E -2.87%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.58%EV -6.24%E -1.76%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 16:55
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.90%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 16:53
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -4.90%E -2.06%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 16:50
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.64%EV -3.30%E -1.36%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.64%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 16:55
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.92%E -1.37%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-01 16:55
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -8.88%E -2.57%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-01 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -7.56%E -2.16%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 16:55
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.39%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.52%E -3.44%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-01 16:55
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-01 16:55
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-01 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-01 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-01 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-01 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-01 16:45
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-01 16:45
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -9.20%E -3.41%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-01 16:45
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-01 16:55
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-01 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-01 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -8.09%E -3.52%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -12.84%E -3.89%K -5.58%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-01 16:55
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.67%EV -10.09%E -4.49%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.07%EV -11.89%E -4.54%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-01 16:55
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -14.09%E -6.55%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.62%EV -12.57%E -4.83%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.71%EV -10.20%E -3.00%K -4.25%G +0.000%14.4%2026-09-01 16:55
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.63%EV -12.09%E -5.50%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.54%EV -12.57%E -4.83%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -14.16%E -4.36%K -6.29%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-01 16:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-09-01 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-09-01 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-09-01 16:55
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.21%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.42%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.38%1.1%2026-09-01 16:55