L’École des cotes

GIF Sundsvall v Östersunds FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-27 15:00 UTC

Score final : GIF Sundsvall 0–2 Östersunds FK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

GIF Sundsvall (Local)

Prévision 26.45%3.78cote équitable
EV +0.493%
Avantage +0.130%
Kelly +0.176%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.72%26.26%26.50%27.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.533.503.8031.25%28.36%28.57%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Östersunds FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.96%2.18cote équitable
EV -2.10%
Avantage -0.987%
Kelly -1.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.74%45.95%46.02%48.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.871.982.002.1353.48%50.43%50.00%46.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.59%3.62cote équitable
EV -3.42%
Avantage -0.978%
Kelly -1.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.50%27.79%27.48%29.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.333.383.5033.33%29.99%29.59%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV +0.493%E +0.130%K +0.176%G +0.001%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.43%EV -10.84%E -5.59%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.978%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV +0.493%E +0.130%K +0.176%G +0.001%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.43%EV -10.84%E -5.59%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.978%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 14:39
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV +0.493%E +0.130%K +0.176%G +0.001%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.43%EV -10.84%E -5.59%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.978%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 14:39
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV +0.493%E +0.130%K +0.176%G +0.001%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.43%EV -10.84%E -5.59%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.978%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 14:39
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.830%E -0.221%K -0.302%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.42%E -0.978%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 16:00
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -2.15%E -0.582%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -12.21%E -6.40%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 14:39
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -2.15%E -0.582%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -12.21%E -6.40%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 14:40
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -2.15%E -0.582%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -12.21%E -6.40%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 14:40
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -2.15%E -0.582%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -12.21%E -6.40%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 14:40
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -2.15%E -0.582%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -12.21%E -6.40%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 14:39
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -2.15%E -0.582%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -12.21%E -6.40%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 14:39
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -2.15%E -0.582%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -12.21%E -6.40%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 14:39
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -2.15%E -0.582%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -12.21%E -6.40%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 14:40
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -2.15%E -0.582%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.39%EV -13.13%E -6.95%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 14:40
LowVig.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -3.47%E -0.952%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.70%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 14:50
BetOnline.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -3.47%E -0.952%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.70%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 14:49
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -3.47%E -0.952%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -14.05%E -7.52%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-27 14:39
Pinnacle3.64I 27.47%NM 26.21%EV -3.74%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.79%EV -2.10%E -0.987%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.00%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 14:50
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -7.16%E -3.54%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 15:09
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -12.67%E -6.67%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-27 14:50
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 14:49
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.42%E -0.978%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 14:38
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 14:38
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.16%E -3.54%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-27 14:39
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 14:48
1xBet3.49I 28.65%NM 26.77%EV -7.71%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -6.73%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 14:50
Marathon Bet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.65%EV -7.97%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.54%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.44%EV -6.73%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 14:40
Bovada3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 14:49
BetUS3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 14:49
BetAnything3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 14:49
Everygame3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.46%E -4.66%K -6.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 14:49
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 14:39
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-26 23:20
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -17.22%E -5.74%K -8.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-27 14:50
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -17.22%E -5.74%K -8.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-27 14:49
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -17.22%E -5.74%K -8.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-27 14:49
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -17.22%E -5.74%K -8.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-27 14:50
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-27 14:40
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-27 14:39
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-27 14:39
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.70%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.70%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 14:39
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -14.05%E -4.32%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -7.16%E -3.54%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-27 14:49
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.05%E -4.32%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-27 14:39
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -14.05%E -4.32%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.29%EV -12.67%E -6.67%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-27 14:39
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -15.37%E -4.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -11.70%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-27 14:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.8%2026-06-27 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.8%2026-06-27 14:50
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.8%2026-06-27 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-06-27 14:39