La escuela de los momios

GIF Sundsvall v Östersunds FK

Inicio: 2026-06-27 15:00 UTC

Final: GIF Sundsvall 0–2 Östersunds FK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

GIF Sundsvall (Local)

Predicción 26.45%3.78momio equitativo
EV +0.493%
Ventaja +0.130%
Kelly +0.176%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.72%26.26%26.50%27.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.533.503.8031.25%28.36%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Östersunds FK (Visitante)

Predicción 45.96%2.18momio equitativo
EV -2.10%
Ventaja -0.987%
Kelly -1.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.13

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.74%45.95%46.02%48.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.871.982.002.1353.48%50.43%50.00%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.59%3.62momio equitativo
EV -3.42%
Ventaja -0.978%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.50%27.79%27.48%29.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.333.383.5033.33%29.99%29.59%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV +0.493%E +0.130%K +0.176%G +0.001%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.43%EV -10.84%E -5.59%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.978%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV +0.493%E +0.130%K +0.176%G +0.001%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.43%EV -10.84%E -5.59%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.978%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 14:39
ATG (SE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV +0.493%E +0.130%K +0.176%G +0.001%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.43%EV -10.84%E -5.59%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.978%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 14:39
Svenska Spel3.80I 26.32%NM 24.73%EV +0.493%E +0.130%K +0.176%G +0.001%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.43%EV -10.84%E -5.59%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -3.42%E -0.978%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-27 14:39
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -0.830%E -0.221%K -0.302%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.42%E -0.978%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-23 16:00
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -2.15%E -0.582%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -12.21%E -6.40%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 14:39
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -2.15%E -0.582%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -12.21%E -6.40%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 14:40
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -2.15%E -0.582%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -12.21%E -6.40%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 14:40
LeoVegas3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -2.15%E -0.582%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -12.21%E -6.40%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 14:40
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -2.15%E -0.582%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -12.21%E -6.40%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 14:39
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -2.15%E -0.582%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -12.21%E -6.40%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 14:39
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -2.15%E -0.582%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -12.21%E -6.40%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 14:39
betPARX3.70I 27.03%NM 24.94%EV -2.15%E -0.582%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.31%EV -12.21%E -6.40%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -4.80%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-27 14:40
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -2.15%E -0.582%K -0.797%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.39%EV -13.13%E -6.95%K -14.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 14:40
LowVig.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -3.47%E -0.952%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.70%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 14:50
BetOnline.ag3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -3.47%E -0.952%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -11.70%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-27 14:49
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -3.47%E -0.952%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.30%EV -14.05%E -7.52%K -16.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-27 14:39
Pinnacle3.64I 27.47%NM 26.21%EV -3.74%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.79%EV -2.10%E -0.987%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.00%EV -9.22%E -2.80%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-27 14:50
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.21%EV -7.16%E -3.54%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-26 15:09
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -4.80%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -12.67%E -6.67%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-27 14:50
DraftKings3.55I 28.17%NM 26.67%EV -6.12%E -1.72%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.08%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.26%EV -7.56%E -2.26%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 14:49
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.42%E -0.978%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-27 14:38
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-27 14:38
NordicBet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.16%E -3.54%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-27 14:39
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -7.44%E -2.13%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-27 14:48
1xBet3.49I 28.65%NM 26.77%EV -7.71%E -2.21%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.65%EV -6.73%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 14:50
Marathon Bet3.48I 28.74%NM 26.65%EV -7.97%E -2.29%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.54%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.44%EV -6.73%E -1.99%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-27 14:40
Bovada3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 14:49
BetUS3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 14:49
BetAnything3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-27 14:49
Everygame3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.76%E -2.54%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -14.46%E -4.66%K -6.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-27 14:49
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-27 14:39
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-26 23:20
888sport3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -17.22%E -5.74%K -8.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-27 14:50
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -17.22%E -5.74%K -8.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-27 14:49
Mr Green (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -17.22%E -5.74%K -8.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-27 14:49
888sport (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.09%E -2.97%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -17.22%E -5.74%K -8.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-27 14:50
betfred_uk3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-27 14:40
Paddy Power3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-27 14:39
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -6.18%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-27 14:39
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.70%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -12.73%E -3.86%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -11.70%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-27 14:39
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -14.05%E -4.32%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.77%EV -7.16%E -3.54%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-27 14:49
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -14.05%E -4.32%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-27 14:39
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -14.05%E -4.32%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.29%EV -12.67%E -6.67%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -8.94%E -2.71%K -3.89%G +0.000%13.7%2026-06-27 14:39
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -15.37%E -4.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.07%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.46%EV -11.70%E -3.66%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-27 14:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.8%2026-06-27 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.8%2026-06-27 14:50
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.12%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.53%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%0.8%2026-06-27 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.11%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.95%0.8%2026-06-27 14:39