Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

GIF Sundsvall v Örebro SK

2026-09-10 17:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

GIF Sundsvall (Local)

Prediction 29.70%3.37fair odd
EV -4.96%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.19%29.70%29.70%30.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.093.103.2033.90%32.32%32.26%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Örebro SK (Visit)

Prediction 42.85%2.33fair odd
EV -6.59%
Edge -3.02%
Kelly -5.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.18

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.83%42.85%42.85%43.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.112.082.1849.50%47.45%48.08%45.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.45%3.64fair odd
EV -5.30%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.09%27.45%27.45%27.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.343.353.4531.25%29.91%29.85%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: GIF Sundsvall (Local): 29.70%; Örebro SK (Visit): 42.85%; Draw: 27.45%. For GIF Sundsvall (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.20, with an expected value of -4.96%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.96%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.96%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:15
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.96%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:15
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -4.96%E -1.55%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.46%EV -7.45%E -3.45%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.30%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 17:20
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.93%E -2.56%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -10.87%E -5.23%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 17:15
Unibet (NL)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.93%E -2.56%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -10.87%E -5.23%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 17:15
betPARX🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.93%E -2.56%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -10.87%E -5.23%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 17:15
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.93%E -2.56%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -10.87%E -5.23%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 17:20
Casumo🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.93%E -2.56%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -10.87%E -5.23%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 17:20
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.93%E -2.56%K -3.77%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%EV -10.87%E -5.23%K -10.07%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 17:20
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.41%E -3.09%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.59%E -3.02%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 17:15
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.22%EV -9.41%E -3.09%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.27%EV -6.59%E -3.02%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -8.04%E -2.40%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-03 17:20
BetRivers🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -9.41%E -3.09%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -12.16%E -5.93%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.22%EV -10.90%E -3.63%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.39%EV -13.45%E -6.66%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.22%EV -10.90%E -3.63%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.39%EV -13.45%E -6.66%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -12.16%E -3.80%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 17:20
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -12.38%E -4.20%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -7.87%E -3.66%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -10.79%E -3.32%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-03 17:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.