Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

GIF Sundsvall v Norrby IF

Kickoff: 2026-08-31 17:00 UTC

Final: GIF Sundsvall 1–0 Norrby IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

GIF Sundsvall (Local)

Prediction 27.97%3.58fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -0.685%
Kelly -0.960%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.59%27.99%27.98%30.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.203.203.4934.72%31.23%31.25%28.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Norrby IF (Visit)

Prediction 45.19%2.21fair odd
EV +0.770%
Edge +0.345%
Kelly +0.626%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.94%45.23%45.16%47.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.072.052.2352.63%48.32%48.78%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.84%3.73fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.554%
Kelly -0.763%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.70%26.78%26.86%27.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.363.353.6531.75%29.77%29.85%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GIF Sundsvall (Local): 27.97%; Norrby IF (Visit): 45.19%; Draw: 26.84%. For Norrby IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.770%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -13.30%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV +0.770%E +0.345%K +0.626%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -13.30%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV +0.770%E +0.345%K +0.626%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -13.30%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV +0.770%E +0.345%K +0.626%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -13.30%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.10%EV +0.770%E +0.345%K +0.626%G +0.005%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-31 16:50
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -16.09%E -5.36%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -2.39%E -1.11%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 16:50
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -16.09%E -5.36%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -2.39%E -1.11%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 16:50
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -16.09%E -5.36%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -2.39%E -1.11%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 16:50
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -16.09%E -5.36%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -2.39%E -1.11%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -16.09%E -5.36%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -2.39%E -1.11%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 16:50
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -16.09%E -5.36%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%EV -2.39%E -1.11%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.87%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-31 16:50
Coolbet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.45%EV -6.31%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.32%EV -2.84%E -1.32%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-31 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.10%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 16:45
Bet Victor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.10%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 16:54
betano_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -5.10%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-31 16:56
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.10%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -5.10%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 16:45
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.43%EV -9.10%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.99%EV -5.10%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.58%EV -10.08%E -3.01%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-31 16:45
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.06%EV -17.49%E -5.93%K -8.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.23%EV -5.10%E -2.43%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.71%EV -14.10%E -4.41%K -6.41%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-31 16:45
1xBet🎯3.34I 29.94%NM 28.02%EV -6.59%E -1.97%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.78%EV -5.56%E -2.66%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.20%EV -7.66%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-31 16:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -19.45%E -6.75%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.97%EV -6.01%E -2.89%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.71%EV -15.44%E -4.90%K -7.18%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-31 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -19.45%E -6.75%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 41.97%EV -6.01%E -2.89%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.71%EV -15.44%E -4.90%K -7.18%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-31 16:50
Pinnacle🎯3.49I 28.65%NM 27.33%EV -2.39%E -0.685%K -0.960%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.53%EV -7.36%E -3.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.13%EV -2.02%E -0.554%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-31 16:45
DraftKings🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.46%EV -3.51%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.22%EV -7.36%E -3.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.36%E -0.935%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-31 16:40
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -7.36%E -3.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 16:55
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.36%E -3.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 16:54
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.36%E -3.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 16:55
BetAnything🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -7.36%E -3.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-31 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -7.36%E -3.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-31 16:45
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.10%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -7.36%E -3.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-31 16:44
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.10%E -2.80%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -7.36%E -3.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-31 16:45
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -7.36%E -3.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 16:45
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -7.36%E -3.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 16:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -7.36%E -3.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -7.36%E -3.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -12.76%E -3.93%K -5.67%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 16:45
Betr (AU)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -11.90%E -3.78%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -7.36%E -3.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-31 16:45
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.30%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.36%E -3.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-31 16:45
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -13.30%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -7.36%E -3.59%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-31 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 27.42%EV -5.47%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.65%EV -8.27%E -4.07%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -7.66%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-31 16:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.51%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -9.62%E -4.81%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -3.36%E -0.935%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -3.51%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -9.62%E -4.81%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -3.36%E -0.935%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-31 16:45
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -9.62%E -4.81%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -3.36%E -0.935%K -1.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-31 16:45
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.62%E -4.81%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -7.70%E -2.33%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -9.62%E -4.81%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-31 16:50
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.62%E -4.81%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 16:50
888sport🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.62%E -4.81%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 16:55
William Hill🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.62%E -4.81%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.62%E -4.81%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 16:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -10.50%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.62%E -4.81%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-31 16:55
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -11.90%E -3.78%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.25%EV -11.88%E -6.09%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.74%EV -11.42%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-31 16:50
BoyleSports🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -13.30%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -13.69%E -7.17%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -8.73%E -2.57%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-31 16:45
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -4.91%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -14.14%E -7.44%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -6.05%E -1.73%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-31 16:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.39%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.29%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.31%0.0%2026-08-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.30%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57%0.4%2026-08-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.30%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57%0.4%2026-08-31 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-08-31 16:50