Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

GIF Sundsvall v Nordic United FC

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

GIF Sundsvall (Local)

Prediction 39.94%2.50fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.55%40.16%39.93%42.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.272.232.4346.73%43.96%44.84%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nordic United FC (Visit)

Prediction 32.02%3.12fair odd
EV -0.745%
Edge -0.240%
Kelly -0.355%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.62%31.87%32.11%33.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.942.953.1037.04%34.05%33.90%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.04%3.57fair odd
EV +2.35%
Edge +0.644%
Kelly +0.887%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.09%27.97%27.96%29.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.313.353.6534.72%30.25%29.85%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GIF Sundsvall (Local): 39.94%; Nordic United FC (Visit): 32.02%; Draw: 28.04%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.57. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.70%EV -10.93%E -4.90%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -2.35%E -0.769%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.09%EV +2.35%E +0.644%K +0.887%G +0.021%5.0%2026-04-05 06:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -10.93%E -4.90%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -2.35%E -0.769%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.26%E -0.944%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 01:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -10.93%E -4.90%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -2.35%E -0.769%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.26%E -0.944%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 01:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -10.93%E -4.90%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -2.35%E -0.769%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.26%E -0.944%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 01:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.06%EV -10.93%E -4.90%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -2.35%E -0.769%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -3.26%E -0.944%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 01:30
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.28%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.33%EV -4.10%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 12:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.79%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 12:35
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.55%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 12:14
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -10.93%E -4.90%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -3.95%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 01:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -10.93%E -4.90%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -3.95%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -4.66%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 01:30
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -4.14%E -1.73%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -7.15%E -2.47%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 12:30
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.79%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 12:34
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -7.79%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 12:34
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -3.95%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 01:30
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -3.95%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 01:30
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -3.95%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 01:29
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -3.95%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 01:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -3.95%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 01:30
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -3.95%E -1.32%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 01:29
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.85%EV -12.93%E -5.93%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.92%EV -5.55%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -6.06%E -1.81%K -2.58%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 01:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.78%EV -3.34%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -0.745%E -0.240%K -0.355%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%EV -7.46%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 12:35
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.78%EV -3.34%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -0.745%E -0.240%K -0.355%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%EV -7.46%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 12:35
BetAnything🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 39.78%EV -3.34%E -1.38%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -0.745%E -0.240%K -0.355%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.17%EV -7.46%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 12:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -7.46%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 10:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%EV -14.13%E -6.57%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -5.55%E -1.88%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.46%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-05 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.90%EV -14.53%E -6.79%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.15%E -2.47%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -7.46%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-04 01:29
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.26%EV -2.94%E -1.21%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.48%EV -2.99%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.26%EV -8.58%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 12:45
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.08%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.30%EV -7.79%E -2.70%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -8.86%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -10.13%E -4.50%K -8.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -8.75%E -3.07%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -8.86%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 12:14
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.61%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.49%EV -8.86%E -2.73%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 12:13
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.77%EV -6.94%E -2.98%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.63%EV -6.19%E -2.11%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.60%EV -9.15%E -2.82%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 12:45
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 39.47%EV -6.54%E -2.79%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.15%E -2.47%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.68%EV -9.71%E -3.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 12:55
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -4.94%E -2.08%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 12:44
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -13.55%E -5.02%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.27%E -3.21%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 12:10
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -6.14%E -2.61%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.15%E -2.47%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -13.07%E -4.22%K -6.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 12:35
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -8.14%E -3.54%K -6.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.15%E -2.47%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -13.07%E -4.22%K -6.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-05 12:45
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -13.07%E -4.22%K -6.22%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-05 12:14
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.40%EV -14.13%E -6.57%K -12.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -11.95%E -4.35%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.02%EV -13.07%E -4.22%K -6.22%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-05 12:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.22%EV -12.13%E -5.51%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.82%EV -10.35%E -3.70%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.96%EV -19.24%E -6.68%K -10.23%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-05 12:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.46%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.35%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.19%1.4%2026-04-05 12:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.30%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%1.8%2026-04-05 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.30%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%1.8%2026-04-05 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.30%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%1.8%2026-04-05 12:35