L’École des cotes

GIF Sundsvall v IK Brage

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-20 17:05 UTC

Score final : GIF Sundsvall 1–2 IK Brage

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

GIF Sundsvall (Local)

Prévision 31.09%3.22cote équitable
EV -1.75%
Avantage -0.554%
Kelly -0.811%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.07%31.03%31.20%32.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.922.903.1636.36%34.26%34.48%31.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IK Brage (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.25%2.42cote équitable
EV -1.82%
Avantage -0.765%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.33%41.33%41.23%43.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.252.252.3850.00%44.44%44.44%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.66%3.62cote équitable
EV -3.20%
Avantage -0.915%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.80%27.64%27.57%29.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.283.303.5034.72%30.45%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.16I 31.65%NM 30.18%EV -1.75%E -0.554%K -0.811%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.57%EV -7.60%E -3.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -3.20%E -0.915%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-20 16:55
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.18%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 16:55
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.97%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 16:54
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -13.37%E -6.37%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 16:50
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -7.18%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.59%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 16:49
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 16:50
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 16:50
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 17:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 16:55
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -7.35%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.06%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -5.97%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 16:49
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -7.35%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.06%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -5.97%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 16:49
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.22%EV -7.66%E -2.58%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.85%EV -6.36%E -2.80%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.93%EV -8.18%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 17:00
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.12%E -2.23%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.97%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 16:50
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 16:54
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 16:55
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 17:00
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.81%EV -8.59%E -2.92%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.39%EV -6.77%E -3.00%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.80%EV -3.48%E -0.997%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 17:00
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -1.82%E -0.765%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -1.82%E -0.765%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 16:55
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -1.82%E -0.765%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 16:55
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -1.82%E -0.765%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 16:55
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.18%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 16:55
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -5.97%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.31%E -5.26%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 17:00
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.31%E -5.26%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 17:00
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.31%E -5.26%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.26%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-20 16:55
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.46%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-20 17:00
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.46%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-20 17:00
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.46%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-20 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.46%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-20 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -10.46%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -17.50%E -8.75%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -20.35%E -7.07%K -10.82%G +0.000%19.4%2026-04-20 16:55
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:55
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:55
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:55
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:55
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:55
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:55
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:55
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:55
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -7.18%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 17:00
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.18%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 17:00
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-20 16:55
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -12.94%E -4.62%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.33%EV -4.29%E -1.85%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 16:55
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.94%E -4.62%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-20 16:55
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.94%E -4.62%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 16:55
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -14.50%E -5.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -11.31%E -5.26%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-20 17:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-04-20 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-04-20 17:00
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-04-20 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-04-20 17:00