La escuela de los momios

GIF Sundsvall v IK Brage

Inicio: 2026-04-20 17:05 UTC

Final: GIF Sundsvall 1–2 IK Brage

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

GIF Sundsvall (Local)

Predicción 31.09%3.22momio equitativo
EV -1.75%
Ventaja -0.554%
Kelly -0.811%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.07%31.03%31.20%32.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.922.903.1636.36%34.26%34.48%31.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IK Brage (Visitante)

Predicción 41.25%2.42momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -0.765%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.33%41.33%41.23%43.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.252.252.3850.00%44.44%44.44%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.66%3.62momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -0.915%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.80%27.64%27.57%29.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.283.303.5034.72%30.45%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.16I 31.65%NM 30.18%EV -1.75%E -0.554%K -0.811%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.57%EV -7.60%E -3.39%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -3.20%E -0.915%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-20 16:55
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.18%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 16:55
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.97%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 16:54
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -3.62%E -1.17%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -13.37%E -6.37%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-20 16:50
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -7.18%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -4.59%E -1.33%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-20 16:49
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 16:50
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -5.17%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.18%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-20 16:50
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 17:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -6.73%E -2.24%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 16:55
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -7.35%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.06%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -5.97%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 16:49
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.41%EV -7.35%E -2.47%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.06%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -5.97%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 16:49
Marathon Bet2.97I 33.67%NM 31.22%EV -7.66%E -2.58%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.85%EV -6.36%E -2.80%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.93%EV -8.18%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 17:00
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.12%E -2.23%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.97%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 16:50
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 16:54
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.35%E -2.19%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 16:55
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.28%E -2.81%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-20 17:00
1xBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.81%EV -8.59%E -2.92%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.39%EV -6.77%E -3.00%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.80%EV -3.48%E -0.997%K -1.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 17:00
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -1.82%E -0.765%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -1.82%E -0.765%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 16:55
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -1.82%E -0.765%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 16:55
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.34%EV -1.82%E -0.765%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-20 16:55
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.18%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 16:55
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -5.97%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.31%E -5.26%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 17:00
Coral2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -11.31%E -5.26%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-20 17:00
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -9.84%E -3.39%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.31%E -5.26%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -14.26%E -4.60%K -6.79%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-20 16:55
888sport2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.46%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-20 17:00
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.46%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-20 17:00
888sport (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.46%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-20 17:00
Mr Green (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -10.46%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.79%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-20 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -10.46%E -3.63%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -17.50%E -8.75%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -20.35%E -7.07%K -10.82%G +0.000%19.4%2026-04-20 16:55
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:55
Casumo2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:55
Unibet (NL)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:55
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:55
Grosvenor2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:55
Unibet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:55
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:55
betPARX2.85I 35.09%NM 32.26%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.46%EV -3.88%E -1.67%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 16:55
Everygame2.85I 35.09%NM 31.95%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.46%EV -7.18%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 17:00
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.18%E -3.19%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 17:00
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.65%EV -11.39%E -4.00%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.01%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-20 16:55
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -12.94%E -4.62%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.33%EV -4.29%E -1.85%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -10.12%E -3.11%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-20 16:55
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -12.94%E -4.62%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -5.95%E -2.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-20 16:55
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.94%E -4.62%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -9.25%E -4.20%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -8.73%E -2.65%K -3.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-20 16:55
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -14.50%E -5.27%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -11.31%E -5.26%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -11.50%E -3.59%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-20 17:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-04-20 17:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-04-20 17:00
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20%1.3%2026-04-20 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.23%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.66%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.11%1.6%2026-04-20 17:00