L’École des cotes

Falkenbergs FF v GIF Sundsvall

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Prévision 56.06%1.78cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -3.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.62%56.08%55.99%58.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.661.651.7464.52%60.27%60.61%57.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

GIF Sundsvall (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.25%5.20cote équitable
EV +3.17%
Avantage +0.591%
Kelly +0.726%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 5.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.36%19.24%19.36%21.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.574.505.3624.39%21.87%22.22%18.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.69%4.05cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -0.625%
Kelly -0.837%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.61%24.68%24.65%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.713.753.9530.30%26.93%26.67%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 57.40%EV -8.62%E -5.29%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.45%EV +3.17%E +0.591%K +0.726%G +0.023%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.15%EV -8.15%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 04:19
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -13.11%E -8.46%K -23.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV +0.086%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -8.64%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -8.62%E -5.29%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.84%E -0.360%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 04:19
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -8.62%E -5.29%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.84%E -0.360%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 04:19
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.18%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.36%EV -2.80%E -0.555%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -10.12%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 04:19
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.80%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 18.60%EV -3.57%E -0.713%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.60%EV -10.12%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 04:25
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -3.76%E -0.753%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.41%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 15:05
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -10.30%E -6.44%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -3.76%E -0.753%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 11:14
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 56.53%EV -11.98%E -7.63%K -21.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -3.76%E -0.753%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -14.81%E -4.29%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 12:39
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.73%EV -5.82%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -6.65%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.41%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:44
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.73%EV -5.82%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -6.65%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.41%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:45
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -7.61%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:14
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -7.61%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.41%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:44
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -8.06%E -4.91%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.61%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.41%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 15:17
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -8.06%E -4.91%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.61%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.41%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 15:05
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -9.74%E -6.05%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -7.61%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -3.70%E -0.950%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 13:04
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -3.57%E -2.08%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV -10.50%E -2.26%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.47%E -0.625%K -0.837%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:55
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -8.64%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 15:34
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -13.39%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.41%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 02:20
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -9.18%E -5.67%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -13.39%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 02:18
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -13.39%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 16:09
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -13.39%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 16:09
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -13.39%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 16:09
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -13.39%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 16:15
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.18%E -5.67%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -13.39%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 19:15
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.98%E -7.63%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -13.39%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-22 06:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -9.74%E -6.05%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -15.31%E -3.48%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-22 15:35
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -9.74%E -6.05%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -15.31%E -3.48%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-22 15:34
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 55.77%EV -11.98%E -7.63%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.90%EV -15.31%E -3.48%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.32%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-22 02:19
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -9.18%E -5.67%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -16.66%E -3.85%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-22 13:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.62%EV -9.18%E -5.67%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.06%EV -16.66%E -3.85%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -18.52%E -5.61%K -8.05%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-22 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -17.24%E -4.01%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.94%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 21:05
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -17.24%E -4.01%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.94%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 21:04
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -17.24%E -4.01%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.94%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 08:39
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -17.24%E -4.01%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.94%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 21:05
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -19.16%E -4.56%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 21:05
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -19.16%E -4.56%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 21:05
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -19.16%E -4.56%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 21:04
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -19.16%E -4.56%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 21:05
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -19.16%E -4.56%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 21:04
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -19.16%E -4.56%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 08:40
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -19.16%E -4.56%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 21:05
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -19.16%E -4.56%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 21:05
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -4.70%E -2.76%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -19.16%E -4.56%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.41%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 21:05
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -21.09%E -5.14%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -8.64%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 08:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%5.5%2026-04-24 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%5.5%2026-04-24 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%5.5%2026-04-24 01:05