La escuela de los momios

Falkenbergs FF v GIF Sundsvall

Inicio: 2026-04-25 13:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Predicción 56.06%1.78momio equitativo
EV -2.45%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -3.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.62%56.08%55.99%58.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.661.651.7464.52%60.27%60.61%57.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

GIF Sundsvall (Visitante)

Predicción 19.25%5.20momio equitativo
EV +3.17%
Ventaja +0.591%
Kelly +0.726%
Crecimiento +0.023%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.36%19.24%19.36%21.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.574.505.3624.39%21.87%22.22%18.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.69%4.05momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -0.625%
Kelly -0.837%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.61%24.68%24.65%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.713.753.9530.30%26.93%26.67%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.63I 61.35%NM 57.40%EV -8.62%E -5.29%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.45%EV +3.17%E +0.591%K +0.726%G +0.023%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.15%EV -8.15%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 04:19
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.24%EV -13.11%E -8.46%K -23.83%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.36%EV +0.086%E +0.017%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.40%EV -8.64%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-22 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -8.62%E -5.29%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.84%E -0.360%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 04:19
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 56.42%EV -8.62%E -5.29%K -13.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -1.84%E -0.360%K -0.448%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 04:19
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.18%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.36%EV -2.80%E -0.555%K -0.692%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.47%EV -10.12%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 04:19
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.80%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 18.60%EV -3.57%E -0.713%K -0.890%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.60%EV -10.12%E -2.78%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 04:25
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 56.50%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -3.76%E -0.753%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.41%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 15:05
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.44%EV -10.30%E -6.44%K -17.17%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%EV -3.76%E -0.753%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 11:14
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 56.53%EV -11.98%E -7.63%K -21.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.75%EV -3.76%E -0.753%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -14.81%E -4.29%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 12:39
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.73%EV -5.82%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -6.65%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.41%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:44
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.73%EV -5.82%E -3.46%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -6.65%E -1.37%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -7.41%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:45
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -7.61%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 15:14
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.76%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.40%EV -7.61%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.83%EV -7.41%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 12:44
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -8.06%E -4.91%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.61%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.41%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 15:17
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 56.21%EV -8.06%E -4.91%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.61%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -7.41%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 15:05
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.20%EV -9.74%E -6.05%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -7.61%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -3.70%E -0.950%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 13:04
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.39%EV -3.57%E -2.08%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.49%EV -10.50%E -2.26%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.12%EV -2.47%E -0.625%K -0.837%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 20:55
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.71%EV -8.64%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-22 15:34
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -13.39%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.41%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 02:20
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -9.18%E -5.67%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -13.39%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-22 02:18
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -13.39%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 16:09
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -13.39%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 16:09
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -13.39%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 16:09
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -7.50%E -4.54%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -13.39%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 16:15
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.18%E -5.67%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -13.39%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-21 19:15
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.98%E -7.63%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -13.39%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-22 06:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -9.74%E -6.05%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -15.31%E -3.48%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-22 15:35
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.15%EV -9.74%E -6.05%K -15.97%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.18%EV -15.31%E -3.48%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-22 15:34
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 55.77%EV -11.98%E -7.63%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.90%EV -15.31%E -3.48%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.32%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-22 02:19
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -9.18%E -5.67%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -16.66%E -3.85%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.11%E -3.09%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-22 13:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.62%EV -9.18%E -5.67%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.06%EV -16.66%E -3.85%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -18.52%E -5.61%K -8.05%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-22 13:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -17.24%E -4.01%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.94%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 21:05
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -17.24%E -4.01%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.94%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 21:04
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -17.24%E -4.01%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.94%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 08:39
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.86%EV -2.45%E -1.41%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.80%EV -17.24%E -4.01%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -4.94%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-21 21:05
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -19.16%E -4.56%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 21:05
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -19.16%E -4.56%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 21:05
Grosvenor1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -19.16%E -4.56%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 21:04
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -19.16%E -4.56%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 21:05
Unibet (NL)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -19.16%E -4.56%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 21:04
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -19.16%E -4.56%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 08:40
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -19.16%E -4.56%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 21:05
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 53.85%EV -4.14%E -2.42%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -19.16%E -4.56%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.17%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-21 21:05
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -4.70%E -2.76%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -19.16%E -4.56%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.41%E -1.98%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 21:05
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 53.80%EV -6.38%E -3.82%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -21.09%E -5.14%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -8.64%E -2.34%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 08:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (3)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%5.5%2026-04-24 01:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%5.5%2026-04-24 01:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.42%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.62%5.5%2026-04-24 01:05