L’École des cotes

Västerås SK v Örgryte IS

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-24 17:00 UTC

Score final : Västerås SK 2–0 Örgryte IS

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Västerås SK (Local)

Prévision 59.46%1.68cote équitable
EV -4.28%
Avantage -2.66%
Kelly -7.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.10%59.44%59.44%62.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.541.551.6170.92%64.79%64.52%62.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Örgryte IS (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.75%5.33cote équitable
EV +12.50%
Avantage +2.08%
Kelly +2.50%
Croissance +0.313%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.18%18.67%18.83%19.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.405.035.006.0022.73%19.89%20.00%16.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.79%4.59cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -0.428%
Kelly -0.550%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.98%21.89%21.73%22.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.854.194.204.5025.97%23.89%23.81%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.24%EV -7.25%E -4.65%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV +12.50%E +2.08%K +2.50%G +0.313%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV -1.93%E -0.428%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-24 16:45
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.24%EV -7.25%E -4.65%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV +12.50%E +2.08%K +2.50%G +0.313%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV -1.93%E -0.428%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-24 16:45
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.24%EV -7.25%E -4.65%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV +12.50%E +2.08%K +2.50%G +0.313%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV -1.93%E -0.428%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-24 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -10.22%E -6.77%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV +5.00%E +0.893%K +1.09%G +0.054%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.37%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 16:45
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -10.22%E -6.77%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV +5.00%E +0.893%K +1.09%G +0.054%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.37%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 16:45
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.82%E -7.21%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +3.13%E +0.568%K +0.695%G +0.022%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 16:45
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.82%E -7.21%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +3.13%E +0.568%K +0.695%G +0.022%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 16:45
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.82%E -7.21%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +3.13%E +0.568%K +0.695%G +0.022%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 16:45
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.82%E -7.21%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +3.13%E +0.568%K +0.695%G +0.022%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 16:45
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.54%EV -5.47%E -3.44%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.83%EV +1.25%E +0.232%K +0.284%G +0.004%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.63%EV -3.02%E -0.678%K -0.874%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 16:00
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.47%E -3.44%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.89%EV -0.437%E -0.082%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -7.37%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 16:50
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -0.624%E -0.118%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -9.55%E -2.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 16:45
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -0.624%E -0.118%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -9.55%E -2.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 16:45
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -12.01%E -8.11%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -0.624%E -0.118%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -10.64%E -2.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-24 16:45
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.68%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.23%EV -1.19%E -0.225%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -5.19%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 16:45
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 60.70%EV -12.60%E -8.57%K -26.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -1.56%E -0.297%K -0.367%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -12.82%E -3.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 16:45
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -8.44%E -5.48%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -2.50%E -0.481%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.11%E -0.933%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 16:49
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 60.93%EV -13.79%E -9.51%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.99%EV -2.50%E -0.481%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -12.82%E -3.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-24 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 60.93%EV -13.79%E -9.51%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.99%EV -2.50%E -0.481%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -12.82%E -3.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-24 16:45
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 60.12%EV -5.47%E -3.44%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.45%EV -2.87%E -0.555%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.43%EV -2.80%E -0.627%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 16:55
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -5.31%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.28%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.10%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -6.28%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 16:50
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -1.93%E -0.428%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 16:35
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.55%EV -6.06%E -3.84%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.63%EV -5.19%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 11:55
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 16:59
BetAnything1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 16:59
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -5.19%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.37%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 15:10
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.11%E -0.933%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 16:40
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -5.63%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 16:44
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.18%EV -9.03%E -5.90%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -6.28%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 16:45
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.64%E -2.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 16:45
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 60.67%EV -16.17%E -11.47%K -39.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.11%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.22%EV -16.09%E -4.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-24 16:45
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.02%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39%EV -8.12%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -4.11%E -0.933%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 13:10
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -9.06%E -1.87%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.82%E -3.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 16:50
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -10.00%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -10.64%E -2.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 14:44
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.00%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.82%E -3.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 16:40
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.00%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.82%E -3.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.00%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.82%E -3.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 16:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.00%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.82%E -3.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 16:40
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -9.03%E -5.90%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.00%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 16:50
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -9.03%E -5.90%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.00%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.73%EV -10.22%E -6.77%K -20.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -10.00%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 16:34
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.94%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.64%E -2.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.30%EV -9.63%E -6.33%K -18.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -10.94%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.72%EV -9.55%E -2.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 16:35
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -10.82%E -7.21%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -10.94%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -10.82%E -7.21%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -10.94%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 16:45
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.75%E -2.99%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 14:50
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.44%E -5.48%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -13.75%E -2.99%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -6.28%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 11:54
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.31%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.75%E -2.99%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -10.64%E -2.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-24 15:10
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -10.82%E -7.21%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -13.75%E -2.99%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.82%E -3.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-24 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -15.62%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -15.00%E -3.85%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-24 14:45
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -15.62%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -15.00%E -3.85%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-24 14:45
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -15.62%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -15.00%E -3.85%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-24 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -15.62%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -15.00%E -3.85%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-24 14:45
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.82%E -7.21%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -15.62%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -12.82%E -3.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-24 13:10
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.59%EV -10.82%E -7.21%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -17.50%E -3.98%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -10.64%E -2.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-24 11:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18%0.4%2026-07-24 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18%0.4%2026-07-24 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-07-24 16:45
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-07-24 16:55
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47%1.3%2026-07-24 16:55