La escuela de los momios

Västerås SK v Örgryte IS

Inicio: 2026-07-24 17:00 UTC

Final: Västerås SK 2–0 Örgryte IS

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Västerås SK (Local)

Predicción 59.46%1.68momio equitativo
EV -4.28%
Ventaja -2.66%
Kelly -7.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.10%59.44%59.44%62.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.411.541.551.6170.92%64.79%64.52%62.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Örgryte IS (Visitante)

Predicción 18.75%5.33momio equitativo
EV +12.50%
Ventaja +2.08%
Kelly +2.50%
Crecimiento +0.313%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.18%18.67%18.83%19.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.405.035.006.0022.73%19.89%20.00%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.79%4.59momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -0.428%
Kelly -0.550%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.98%21.89%21.73%22.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.194.204.5025.97%23.89%23.81%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.24%EV -7.25%E -4.65%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV +12.50%E +2.08%K +2.50%G +0.313%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV -1.93%E -0.428%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-24 16:45
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.24%EV -7.25%E -4.65%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV +12.50%E +2.08%K +2.50%G +0.313%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV -1.93%E -0.428%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-24 16:45
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.24%EV -7.25%E -4.65%K -12.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.18%EV +12.50%E +2.08%K +2.50%G +0.313%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.58%EV -1.93%E -0.428%K -0.550%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-24 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -10.22%E -6.77%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV +5.00%E +0.893%K +1.09%G +0.054%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.37%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 16:45
Grosvenor1.51I 66.23%NM 61.54%EV -10.22%E -6.77%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.59%EV +5.00%E +0.893%K +1.09%G +0.054%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -7.37%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 16:45
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.82%E -7.21%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +3.13%E +0.568%K +0.695%G +0.022%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 16:45
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.82%E -7.21%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +3.13%E +0.568%K +0.695%G +0.022%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 16:45
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.82%E -7.21%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +3.13%E +0.568%K +0.695%G +0.022%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 16:45
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.82%E -7.21%K -21.63%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV +3.13%E +0.568%K +0.695%G +0.022%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-24 16:45
Coolbet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.54%EV -5.47%E -3.44%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.83%EV +1.25%E +0.232%K +0.284%G +0.004%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.63%EV -3.02%E -0.678%K -0.874%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-24 16:00
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -5.47%E -3.44%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 17.89%EV -0.437%E -0.082%K -0.101%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -7.37%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 16:50
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -0.624%E -0.118%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -9.55%E -2.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 16:45
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -0.624%E -0.118%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -9.55%E -2.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-24 16:45
BetRivers1.48I 67.57%NM 60.97%EV -12.01%E -8.11%K -25.01%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.02%EV -0.624%E -0.118%K -0.145%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -10.64%E -2.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-24 16:45
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 59.68%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 18.23%EV -1.19%E -0.225%K -0.278%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -5.19%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-24 16:45
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 60.70%EV -12.60%E -8.57%K -26.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.00%EV -1.56%E -0.297%K -0.367%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -12.82%E -3.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-24 16:45
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -8.44%E -5.48%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -2.50%E -0.481%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -4.11%E -0.933%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-24 16:49
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 60.93%EV -13.79%E -9.51%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.99%EV -2.50%E -0.481%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -12.82%E -3.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-24 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 60.93%EV -13.79%E -9.51%K -30.64%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.99%EV -2.50%E -0.481%K -0.595%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.09%EV -12.82%E -3.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-24 16:45
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 60.12%EV -5.47%E -3.44%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.18I 19.31%NM 18.45%EV -2.87%E -0.555%K -0.688%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.43%EV -2.80%E -0.627%K -0.808%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-24 16:55
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -5.31%E -1.05%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -6.28%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 59.10%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.99%EV -6.28%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-24 16:50
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -1.93%E -0.428%K -0.550%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 16:35
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.55%EV -6.06%E -3.84%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.63%EV -5.19%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 11:55
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 16:59
BetAnything1.60I 62.50%NM 58.79%EV -4.87%E -3.04%K -8.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 16:59
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.70%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -5.19%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-24 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.40%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -7.37%E -1.74%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 15:10
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.11%E -0.933%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-24 16:40
Betway1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -5.63%E -1.30%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-24 16:44
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 60.18%EV -9.03%E -5.90%K -17.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -6.28%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-24 16:45
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -10.64%E -2.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-24 16:45
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 60.67%EV -16.17%E -11.47%K -39.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.11%EV -6.25%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.22%EV -16.09%E -4.18%K -5.65%G +0.000%16.9%2026-07-24 16:45
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 59.02%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.39%EV -8.12%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -4.11%E -0.933%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-24 13:10
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -9.06%E -1.87%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -12.82%E -3.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-24 16:50
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -10.00%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -10.64%E -2.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 14:44
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.00%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.82%E -3.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 16:40
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.00%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.82%E -3.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.00%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.82%E -3.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 16:40
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -10.00%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -12.82%E -3.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-24 16:40
betano_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -9.03%E -5.90%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.00%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 16:50
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 59.42%EV -9.03%E -5.90%K -17.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.94%EV -10.00%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-24 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 59.73%EV -10.22%E -6.77%K -20.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -10.00%E -2.08%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.48%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 16:34
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -10.94%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -10.64%E -2.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 15:10
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.30%EV -9.63%E -6.33%K -18.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.98%EV -10.94%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.72%EV -9.55%E -2.30%K -3.03%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-24 16:35
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -10.82%E -7.21%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -10.94%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -10.82%E -7.21%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -10.94%E -2.30%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-24 16:45
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -13.75%E -2.99%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -8.46%E -2.02%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-24 14:50
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.44%E -5.48%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -13.75%E -2.99%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -6.28%E -1.46%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 11:54
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.31%EV -7.84%E -5.06%K -14.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -13.75%E -2.99%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.04%EV -10.64%E -2.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-24 15:10
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -10.82%E -7.21%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -13.75%E -2.99%K -3.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.82%E -3.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-24 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -15.62%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -15.00%E -3.85%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-24 14:45
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -15.62%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -15.00%E -3.85%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-24 14:45
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -15.62%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -15.00%E -3.85%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-24 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 57.10%EV -6.65%E -4.24%K -11.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.92%EV -15.62%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -15.00%E -3.85%K -5.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-24 14:45
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 58.54%EV -10.82%E -7.21%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -15.62%E -3.47%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -12.82%E -3.21%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-24 13:10
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.59%EV -10.82%E -7.21%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -17.50%E -3.98%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -10.64%E -2.60%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-24 11:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18%0.4%2026-07-24 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.71%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.18%0.4%2026-07-24 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.86%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.11%0.8%2026-07-24 16:45
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.02%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.55%0.9%2026-07-24 16:55
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47%1.3%2026-07-24 16:55