Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Västerås SK v IF Elfsborg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 13:00 UTC

Score final : Västerås SK 2–2 IF Elfsborg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Västerås SK (Local)

Prévision 31.34%3.19cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.403%
Kelly -0.591%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.35%31.40%31.23%32.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.942.983.1536.36%33.98%33.56%31.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IF Elfsborg (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.69%2.58cote équitable
EV -3.27%
Avantage -1.31%
Kelly -2.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.42%38.66%38.71%40.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.182.362.382.5045.87%42.33%42.02%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.97%3.34cote équitable
EV +0.386%
Avantage +0.115%
Kelly +0.164%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.30%29.94%30.06%31.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.083.103.3535.71%32.52%32.26%29.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Västerås SK (Local) : 31.34% ; IF Elfsborg (Visiteur) : 38.69% ; Match nul : 29.97%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.34. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.35, soit une espérance positive de +0.386%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 31.00%EV -1.27%E -0.403%K -0.591%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.85%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.15%EV +0.386%E +0.115%K +0.164%G +0.001%2.4%2026-04-11 12:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%EV -1.27%E -0.403%K -0.591%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.05%EV -5.98%E -2.46%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV +0.386%E +0.115%K +0.164%G +0.001%2.7%2026-04-11 12:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.86%EV -1.27%E -0.403%K -0.591%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.68%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%EV -1.11%E -0.337%K -0.484%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-11 12:55
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -1.11%E -0.337%K -0.484%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 12:54
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.05%E -1.63%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -2.61%E -0.803%K -1.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-11 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.11%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -10.67%E -3.74%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.11%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -9.85%E -4.23%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -4.11%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 12:54
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -10.24%E -4.41%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -4.11%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 12:45
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -4.11%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-11 12:55
Pinnacle🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.95%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.69%EV -4.05%E -1.63%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.36%EV -5.31%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-11 12:55
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-11 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 12:44
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:55
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:55
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:55
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -10.24%E -4.41%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-11 12:45
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 12:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -11.78%E -5.17%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 12:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 12:45
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -5.98%E -2.46%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.08%EV -6.51%E -2.09%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 12:35
NordicBet🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -8.48%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.75%EV -4.05%E -1.63%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 12:55
Betsson🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -8.48%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.75%EV -4.05%E -1.63%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 12:55
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 12:18
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 12:44
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 12:54
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -9.85%E -4.23%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-11 12:55
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -10.24%E -4.41%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-11 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 12:55
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-11 12:55
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 12:54
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -8.60%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -8.60%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 12:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -10.67%E -3.74%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -14.88%E -6.76%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -8.60%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-11 12:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 30.81%EV -6.60%E -2.21%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 30.81%EV -6.60%E -2.21%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 12:30
BetAnything🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 30.81%EV -6.60%E -2.21%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 12:30
Bet Victor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 12:53
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.67%E -3.74%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 12:55
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-11 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -12.95%E -5.75%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 12:44
1xBet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.29%EV -6.28%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.29%EV -10.40%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 12:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -11.60%E -3.93%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 12:54
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.10%E -4.52%K -6.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 12:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.10%E -4.52%K -6.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 12:45
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.10%E -4.52%K -6.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 12:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.10%E -4.52%K -6.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.10%E -4.52%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 12:45
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.10%E -4.52%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 12:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.10%E -4.52%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 12:45
Coral🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.10%E -4.52%K -6.89%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.88%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -14.88%E -6.76%K -12.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.82%EV -13.10%E -4.52%K -6.89%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-11 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.77%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 39.52%EV -15.65%E -7.18%K -13.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -13.10%E -4.52%K -6.89%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-11 12:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -16.10%E -5.75%K -8.94%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-11 12:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-04-11 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%1.4%2026-04-11 12:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%1.4%2026-04-11 12:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35%1.4%2026-04-11 12:45
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58%2.2%2026-04-11 12:45