La escuela de los momiosVästerås SK v IF Elfsborg
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Västerås SK (Local)
Predicción 31.34%3.19momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.403%
Kelly -0.591%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.35%31.40%31.23%32.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.942.983.1536.36%33.98%33.56%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
IF Elfsborg (Visitante)
Predicción 38.69%2.58momio equitativo
EV -3.27%
Ventaja -1.31%
Kelly -2.18%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.42%38.66%38.71%40.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.182.362.382.5045.87%42.33%42.02%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.97%3.34momio equitativo
EV +0.386%
Ventaja +0.115%
Kelly +0.164%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.30%29.94%30.06%31.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.083.103.3535.71%32.52%32.26%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.00%EV -1.27%E -0.403%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.85%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.15%EV +0.386%E +0.115%K +0.164%G +0.001% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%EV -1.27%E -0.403%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 40.05%EV -5.98%E -2.46%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.05%EV +0.386%E +0.115%K +0.164%G +0.001% | 2.7% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.86%EV -1.27%E -0.403%K -0.591%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.68%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.46%EV -1.11%E -0.337%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -1.11%E -0.337%K -0.484%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 12:54 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.92%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.05%E -1.63%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.47%EV -2.61%E -0.803%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.42%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -4.11%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -10.67%E -3.74%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.11%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.92%EV -9.85%E -4.23%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -4.11%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 12:54 |
| betPARX | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.95%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.03%EV -10.24%E -4.41%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -4.11%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -4.11%E -1.28%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Pinnacle | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.95%EV -2.84%E -0.915%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.69%EV -4.05%E -1.63%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.36%EV -5.31%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| DraftKings | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -4.40%E -1.44%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.74%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.03%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 12:44 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Casumo | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Grosvenor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.54%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| BetRivers | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -10.24%E -4.41%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.18%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 12:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.96%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.05%EV -11.78%E -5.17%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 12:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.94%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.63%EV -5.98%E -2.46%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.08%EV -6.51%E -2.09%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 12:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -8.48%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.75%EV -4.05%E -1.63%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.06%EV -8.48%E -2.90%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.75%EV -4.05%E -1.63%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 12:18 |
| Everygame | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 12:44 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 12:54 |
| LeoVegas | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.55%EV -9.85%E -4.23%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.03%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.45%EV -10.24%E -4.41%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -7.11%E -2.29%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 12:54 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -8.60%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.77%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.76%EV -8.60%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 12:54 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -10.67%E -3.74%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -14.88%E -6.76%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -8.60%E -2.82%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-11 12:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.81%EV -6.60%E -2.21%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.81%EV -6.60%E -2.21%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 12:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.98I 33.56%NM 30.81%EV -6.60%E -2.21%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.58%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 12:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 12:53 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -10.67%E -3.74%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.94%EV -12.95%E -5.75%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.20%EV -10.10%E -3.37%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-11 12:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.29%EV -6.28%E -2.10%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -3.27%E -1.31%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.29%EV -10.40%E -3.48%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -7.14%E -2.98%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -11.60%E -3.93%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-11 12:54 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.10%E -4.52%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.10%E -4.52%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.10%E -4.52%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -13.10%E -4.52%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.10%E -4.52%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.10%E -4.52%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.10%E -4.52%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.10%E -4.52%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.88%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.30%EV -14.88%E -6.76%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.82%EV -13.10%E -4.52%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.77%EV -12.24%E -4.37%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 39.52%EV -15.65%E -7.18%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.71%EV -13.10%E -4.52%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -11.01%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -16.10%E -5.75%K -8.94%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-11 12:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.02% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.35% | 1.4% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.58% | 2.2% | 2026-04-11 12:45 |