The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Västerås SK v Halmstads BK

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 17:00 UTC

Final: Västerås SK 1–2 Halmstads BK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Västerås SK (Local)

Prediction 56.26%1.78fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -5.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.72%56.32%56.25%58.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.641.651.7164.94%61.02%60.61%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Halmstads BK (Visit)

Prediction 20.17%4.96fair odd
EV +4.88%
Edge +0.938%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.057%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.55%20.14%20.13%21.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.624.605.2023.81%21.66%21.74%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.58%4.24fair odd
EV -0.982%
Edge -0.234%
Kelly -0.307%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.21%23.54%23.62%24.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.903.904.2027.78%25.62%25.64%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Västerås SK (Local): 56.26%; Halmstads BK (Visit): 20.17%; Draw: 23.58%. For Halmstads BK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.96. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.88%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.47%EV -7.18%E -4.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.55%EV +4.88%E +0.938%K +1.16%G +0.057%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -0.982%E -0.234%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-23 11:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.47%EV -7.18%E -4.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.55%EV +4.88%E +0.938%K +1.16%G +0.057%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -0.982%E -0.234%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-23 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.47%EV -7.18%E -4.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.55%EV +4.88%E +0.938%K +1.16%G +0.057%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.97%EV -0.982%E -0.234%K -0.307%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-23 11:45
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.10%EV -7.18%E -4.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.80%EV +2.86%E +0.561%K +0.698%G +0.020%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.10%EV -2.16%E -0.521%K -0.686%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-23 11:40
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.77%EV -9.43%E -5.86%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -1.17%E -0.240%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.77%EV -9.43%E -5.86%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -1.17%E -0.240%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 11:45
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.77%EV -9.43%E -5.86%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -1.17%E -0.240%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 11:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.77%EV -9.43%E -5.86%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -1.17%E -0.240%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 11:45
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.77%EV -9.43%E -5.86%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.98%EV -1.17%E -0.240%K -0.301%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 11:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.37%EV -4.93%E -2.92%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.64%EV -2.18%E -0.450%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.99%EV -6.40%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 11:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.37%EV -4.93%E -2.92%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.64%EV -2.18%E -0.450%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.99%EV -6.40%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 11:35
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.37%EV -4.93%E -2.92%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.64%EV -2.18%E -0.450%K -0.567%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.99%EV -6.40%E -1.61%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 11:35
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -9.43%E -5.86%K -15.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -3.19%E -0.665%K -0.840%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-23 15:06
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.53%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.87%EV -4.20%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-23 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -7.18%E -4.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -4.20%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 15:06
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -7.18%E -4.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -4.20%E -0.884%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -8.05%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-23 06:41
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.35%EV -4.93%E -2.92%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.73I 21.14%NM 20.13%EV -4.60%E -0.973%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.51%EV -4.52%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-23 10:11
Betsson🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.53%EV -3.80%E -2.22%K -5.36%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.12%EV -4.80%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -8.05%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-23 14:26
DraftKings🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.11%EV -4.93%E -2.92%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -5.21%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-23 11:30
SportsBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.67%EV -8.30%E -5.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.65%EV -5.21%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -8.05%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-23 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.12%EV -9.99%E -6.24%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -5.21%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -8.05%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-23 11:45
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.41%EV -11.68%E -7.44%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -5.21%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-23 11:45
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.41%EV -11.68%E -7.44%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.18%EV -5.21%E -1.11%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-23 11:45
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.52%EV -4.93%E -2.92%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.68I 21.37%NM 20.41%EV -5.61%E -1.20%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 23.07%EV -2.40%E -0.579%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-23 15:55
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -5.49%E -3.27%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -7.22%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-23 12:45
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -5.49%E -3.27%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.22%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 14:26
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -11.68%E -7.44%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -7.22%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -3.34%E -0.814%K -1.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-23 13:54
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.15%EV -12.24%E -7.85%K -21.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.38%EV -7.22%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-23 11:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.31%EV -12.80%E -8.26%K -23.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -7.22%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-23 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.31%EV -12.80%E -8.26%K -23.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -7.22%E -1.57%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-23 11:45
Bovada🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -5.49%E -3.27%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.70%EV -8.23%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.25%EV -4.52%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 15:12
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%EV -5.49%E -3.27%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.70%EV -8.23%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.25%EV -4.52%E -1.12%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 15:18
1xBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.97%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.54%EV -8.23%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.49%EV -6.17%E -1.55%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 11:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.21%EV -8.87%E -5.47%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.01%EV -8.23%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.78%EV -9.70%E -2.53%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-23 11:28
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.28%EV -4.93%E -2.92%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.24%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.96%EV -8.05%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 11:35
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.24%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-23 12:38
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.24%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-23 12:38
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.24%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-23 12:38
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.24%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-23 12:37
Bet Right🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.02%EV -7.74%E -4.72%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -9.24%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.05%E -2.07%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-23 07:00
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.87%E -5.47%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.24%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 06:41
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -8.87%E -5.47%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -9.24%E -2.05%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-23 15:06
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 56.92%EV -13.37%E -8.68%K -24.75%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.70%EV -10.25%E -2.30%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-23 11:30
Bet Victor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -7.18%E -4.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -11.26%E -2.56%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-23 15:06
betano_uk🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -7.18%E -4.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -11.26%E -2.56%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-23 15:06
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.87%E -5.47%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -11.26%E -2.56%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -6.88%E -1.74%K -2.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-23 11:29
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.30%E -5.09%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -11.26%E -2.56%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-23 15:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -8.87%E -5.47%K -14.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -11.26%E -2.56%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 06:41
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -12.67%E -2.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -5.70%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-23 15:06
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -9.99%E -6.24%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -12.67%E -2.93%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -11.59%E -3.09%K -4.21%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-23 15:07
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -15.29%E -3.64%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -15.13%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-23 11:34
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -15.29%E -3.64%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -15.13%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-23 11:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -15.29%E -3.64%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -15.13%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-23 11:35
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -6.05%E -3.62%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -15.29%E -3.64%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -15.13%E -4.20%K -5.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-23 11:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.66%EV -9.99%E -6.24%K -16.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -15.29%E -3.64%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -9.23%E -2.40%K -3.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-23 11:30
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -11.68%E -7.44%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -15.29%E -3.64%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -10.41%E -2.74%K -3.72%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-23 10:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.64%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%0.3%2026-10-23 15:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.64%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%0.3%2026-10-23 15:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.64%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%0.3%2026-10-23 15:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.64%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%0.3%2026-10-23 15:59
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.78%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.11%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.11%0.6%2026-10-23 15:22