Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Västerås SK v Djurgardens IF

Início: 2026-08-10 17:00 UTC

Final: Västerås SK 1–0 Djurgardens IF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Västerås SK (Local)

Previsão 17.84%5.61odd justa
EV +8.98%
Vantagem +1.47%
Kelly +1.76%
Crescimento +0.158%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.11

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.52%17.97%17.84%19.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.505.215.226.1122.22%19.21%19.14%16.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Djurgardens IF (Visitante)

Previsão 60.22%1.66odd justa
EV -3.65%
Vantagem -2.28%
Kelly -6.08%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.39%60.15%60.22%61.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.431.541.531.6069.93%65.08%65.36%62.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 21.94%4.56odd justa
EV -0.817%
Vantagem -0.181%
Kelly -0.232%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.84%21.88%21.94%23.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.704.154.204.5227.03%24.09%23.81%22.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Västerås SK (Local): 17.84%; Djurgardens IF (Visitante): 60.22%; Empate: 21.94%. Para Västerås SK (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.61. 4 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.11, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.98%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯6.11I 16.37%NM 15.52%EV +8.98%E +1.47%K +1.76%G +0.158%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.58%EV -7.26%E -4.71%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.90%EV -9.16%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-10 16:54
Svenska Spel🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%EV +7.02%E +1.17%K +1.40%G +0.098%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.02%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%EV -5.64%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-10 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%EV +7.02%E +1.17%K +1.40%G +0.098%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.02%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%EV -5.64%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-10 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%EV +7.02%E +1.17%K +1.40%G +0.098%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.02%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%EV -5.64%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-10 16:50
Coolbet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 17.19%EV -0.118%E -0.021%K -0.026%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.16%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%EV -6.74%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-10 16:55
Pinnacle🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.22%EV -1.01%E -0.182%K -0.222%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.64%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.14%EV -0.817%E -0.181%K -0.232%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 16:50
GTbets🎯5.52I 18.12%NM 17.08%EV -1.54%E -0.280%K -0.342%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.88%EV -9.59%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 16:50
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -7.26%E -4.71%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -3.45%E -0.784%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 16:50
Grosvenor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -10.03%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.423%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -10.03%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 16:50
BetAnything🎯5.46I 18.32%NM 17.54%EV -2.62%E -0.479%K -0.586%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.99%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.47%EV -2.13%E -0.478%K -0.617%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-10 16:55
BetOnline.ag🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.63%EV -2.79%E -0.513%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.04%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.34%EV -5.64%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 16:25
LowVig.ag🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.63%EV -2.79%E -0.513%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.04%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.34%EV -5.64%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 16:25
BetUS🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.24%EV -2.79%E -0.513%K -0.628%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.41%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -3.45%E -0.784%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 16:54
Casumo🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -3.69%E -0.682%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -7.26%E -4.71%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.23%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-10 16:50
Unibet (NL)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -3.69%E -0.682%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -7.26%E -4.71%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.23%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-10 16:50
Unibet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -3.69%E -0.682%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -7.26%E -4.71%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.23%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-10 16:50
betPARX🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -3.69%E -0.682%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -7.26%E -4.71%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.23%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-10 16:50
Bovada🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.47%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.65%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -4.55%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 16:55
NordicBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -5.47%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -8.94%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-10 16:55
Betsson🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -5.47%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -8.94%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-10 16:55
LeoVegas🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -6.36%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -4.99%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 16:25
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.36%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.84%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-10 16:50
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -6.36%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -1.26%E -0.279%K -0.359%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-10 16:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.36%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.74%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 16:40
Bet Victor🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -6.36%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.84%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-10 16:54
betano_uk🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -6.36%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.03%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-10 16:55
FanDuel🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -7.25%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -7.26%E -4.71%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -3.45%E -0.784%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 16:34
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -7.25%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -8.46%E -5.57%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -7.84%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-10 16:40
TABtouch🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.19%EV -7.25%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.34%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -15.52%E -4.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 16:50
BetRivers🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -9.04%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.41%EV -9.07%E -6.00%K -17.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -14.42%E -3.70%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.40%EV -9.04%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.55%EV -10.27%E -6.89%K -20.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.05%EV -15.52%E -4.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-10 16:50
Virgin Bet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.40%EV -9.04%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.55%EV -10.27%E -6.89%K -20.96%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.05%EV -15.52%E -4.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-10 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.55%EV -4.85%E -3.07%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.63%EV -4.55%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-10 16:50
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.18%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -5.64%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 16:35
betfred_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.84%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-10 16:45
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.84%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-10 16:40
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.23%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-10 16:45
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.23%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-10 16:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.23%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-10 16:45
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.23%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-10 16:45
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -15.52%E -4.03%K -5.45%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-10 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 59.79%EV -13.88%E -9.71%K -32.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.11%EV -18.81%E -5.08%K -6.97%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-10 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV -12.60%E -2.57%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.49%EV -8.46%E -5.57%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -10.03%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-10 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -12.60%E -2.57%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 59.49%EV -9.07%E -6.00%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.18%EV -11.13%E -2.75%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-10 16:49
Unibet (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.39%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.84%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-10 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -14.39%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.42%E -3.70%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-10 16:45
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -14.39%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.42%E -3.70%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-10 16:45
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -15.28%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -7.84%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 16:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -15.28%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -7.84%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-10 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -16.17%E -3.44%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -8.46%E -5.57%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -5.64%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-10 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -17.95%E -3.90%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.09%EV -8.46%E -5.57%K -16.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -7.84%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-10 16:50
Sky Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -17.95%E -3.90%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.23%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-10 16:25
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -19.74%E -4.39%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -7.84%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-10 16:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.81%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73%0.5%2026-08-10 16:55
Matchbook◎5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.14%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71%0.6%2026-08-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-08-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.96%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65%0.9%2026-08-10 16:55
Smarkets◎5.70I 17.54%NM 17.25%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.83%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%1.7%2026-08-10 16:55