Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.11
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.52
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Västerås SK (Local): 17.84%; Djurgardens IF (Visitante): 60.22%; Empate: 21.94%. Para Västerås SK (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 5.61. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 6.11, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +8.98%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.11I 16.37%NM 15.52%EV +8.98%E +1.47%K +1.76%G +0.158% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.58%EV -7.26%E -4.71%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.90%EV -9.16%E -2.21%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 16:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%EV +7.02%E +1.17%K +1.40%G +0.098% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.02%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%EV -5.64%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%EV +7.02%E +1.17%K +1.40%G +0.098% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.02%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%EV -5.64%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%EV +7.02%E +1.17%K +1.40%G +0.098% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.02%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.71%EV -5.64%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.19%EV -0.118%E -0.021%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.16%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%EV -6.74%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.22%EV -1.01%E -0.182%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.64%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.14%EV -0.817%E -0.181%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.08%EV -1.54%E -0.280%K -0.342%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.04%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.88%EV -9.59%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.35%EV -7.26%E -4.71%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -3.45%E -0.784%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -10.03%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -1.90%E -0.346%K -0.423%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.25%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -10.03%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.54%EV -2.62%E -0.479%K -0.586%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.99%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.47%EV -2.13%E -0.478%K -0.617%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.63%EV -2.79%E -0.513%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.04%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.34%EV -5.64%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.63%EV -2.79%E -0.513%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.04%EV -3.65%E -2.28%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.34%EV -5.64%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.24%EV -2.79%E -0.513%K -0.628%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.41%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -3.45%E -0.784%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-10 16:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -3.69%E -0.682%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -7.26%E -4.71%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.23%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -3.69%E -0.682%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -7.26%E -4.71%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.23%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -3.69%E -0.682%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -7.26%E -4.71%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.23%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.08%EV -3.69%E -0.682%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.87%EV -7.26%E -4.71%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.23%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.74%EV -5.47%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.65%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -4.55%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -5.47%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -8.94%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.55%EV -5.47%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.03%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -8.94%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -6.36%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.18%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.82%EV -4.99%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -6.36%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.78%EV -5.45%E -3.47%K -9.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -7.84%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -6.36%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -1.26%E -0.279%K -0.359%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-10 16:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.36%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.74%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-10 16:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -6.36%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -7.84%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-10 16:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.30%EV -6.36%E -1.21%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.55%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -10.03%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.99%EV -7.25%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.75%EV -7.26%E -4.71%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -3.45%E -0.784%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-10 16:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -7.25%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -8.46%E -5.57%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -7.84%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-10 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.19%EV -7.25%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -15.52%E -4.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.59%EV -9.04%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.41%EV -9.07%E -6.00%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.00%EV -14.42%E -3.70%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.40%EV -9.04%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.55%EV -10.27%E -6.89%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.05%EV -15.52%E -4.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.40%EV -9.04%E -1.77%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.55%EV -10.27%E -6.89%K -20.96%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.05%EV -15.52%E -4.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.55%EV -4.85%E -3.07%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.63%EV -4.55%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.18%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.41%EV -5.64%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-10 16:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.84%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-10 16:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.84%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-10 16:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.23%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-10 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.23%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.23%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-10 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -12.23%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-10 16:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -6.66%E -4.30%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -15.52%E -4.03%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-10 16:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -10.82%E -2.16%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 59.79%EV -13.88%E -9.71%K -32.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.11%EV -18.81%E -5.08%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV -12.60%E -2.57%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.49%EV -8.46%E -5.57%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV -10.03%E -2.45%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-10 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.33%EV -12.60%E -2.57%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.49%EV -9.07%E -6.00%K -17.78%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.18%EV -11.13%E -2.75%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-10 16:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -14.39%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -7.84%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -14.39%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.42%E -3.70%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-10 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -14.39%E -3.00%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -7.86%E -5.14%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -14.42%E -3.70%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-10 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -15.28%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -7.84%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-10 16:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -15.28%E -3.22%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -7.84%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-10 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.29%EV -16.17%E -3.44%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.63%EV -8.46%E -5.57%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.08%EV -5.64%E -1.31%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.53%EV -17.95%E -3.90%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.09%EV -8.46%E -5.57%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -7.84%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.17%EV -17.95%E -3.90%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.79%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -12.23%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-10 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.72%EV -19.74%E -4.39%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.15%EV -9.67%E -6.45%K -19.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -7.84%E -1.87%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-10 16:30 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.46% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.81% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.73% | 0.5% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.14% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.71% | 0.6% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.96% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.39% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.96% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.65% | 0.9% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.25% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.83% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92% | 1.7% | 2026-08-10 16:55 |