L’École des cotes

Västerås SK v Degerfors IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-12 12:04 UTC

Score final : Västerås SK 2–0 Degerfors IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Västerås SK (Local)

Prévision 44.62%2.24cote équitable
EV -0.045%
Avantage -0.020%
Kelly -0.036%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.41%44.81%44.65%47.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.822.042.052.2454.95%48.93%48.78%44.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Degerfors IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.78%3.60cote équitable
EV +11.12%
Avantage +2.78%
Kelly +3.71%
Croissance +0.412%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.46%27.67%27.71%29.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.423.354.0032.26%29.28%29.85%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.60%3.62cote équitable
EV -0.647%
Avantage -0.180%
Kelly -0.249%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.68%27.52%27.64%28.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.333.303.6032.26%30.00%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.97%EV -8.97%E -4.40%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%EV +11.12%E +2.78%K +3.71%G +0.412%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57%EV -2.03%E -0.571%K -0.795%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-12 11:59
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 47.97%EV -8.97%E -4.40%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%EV +11.12%E +2.78%K +3.71%G +0.412%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57%EV -2.03%E -0.571%K -0.795%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-12 11:59
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.97%EV -8.97%E -4.40%K -8.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%EV +11.12%E +2.78%K +3.71%G +0.412%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57%EV -2.03%E -0.571%K -0.795%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-12 11:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -12.99%E -6.66%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV +4.17%E +1.11%K +1.52%G +0.063%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 11:59
Grosvenor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -12.99%E -6.66%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV +4.17%E +1.11%K +1.52%G +0.063%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 12:00
Unibet1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -13.88%E -7.19%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV +2.78%E +0.752%K +1.03%G +0.029%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-12 12:00
Casumo1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -13.88%E -7.19%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV +2.78%E +0.752%K +1.03%G +0.029%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-12 12:00
Unibet (NL)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -13.88%E -7.19%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV +2.78%E +0.752%K +1.03%G +0.029%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-12 12:00
betPARX1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -13.88%E -7.19%K -14.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV +2.78%E +0.752%K +1.03%G +0.029%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-12 12:00
Coolbet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -7.63%E -3.69%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -0.647%E -0.180%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 11:59
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -14.77%E -7.73%K -16.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-12 11:54
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 47.27%EV -15.66%E -8.29%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-12 11:59
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.23%EV -16.11%E -8.57%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -1.38%E -0.390%K -0.543%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-12 12:00
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 47.23%EV -16.11%E -8.57%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -1.38%E -0.390%K -0.543%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-12 11:59
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.03%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.33%EV -2.50%E -0.711%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.64%EV -4.24%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-12 11:59
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.45%EV -4.51%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.16%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 11:59
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.45%EV -4.51%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.16%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 11:59
BetUS2.14I 46.73%NM 44.45%EV -4.51%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.16%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 11:59
BetAnything2.14I 46.73%NM 44.45%EV -4.51%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.16%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 11:59
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 11:59
Bovada2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -5.85%E -2.77%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 11:58
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 11:59
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 11:58
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 11:59
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 47.12%EV -18.79%E -10.32%K -22.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.66%EV -14.45%E -4.66%K -6.88%G +0.000%16.6%2026-07-12 11:59
Everygame2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 11:59
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 11:58
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-12 11:59
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.63%E -3.69%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-12 11:59
1xBet2.24I 44.64%NM 42.41%EV -0.045%E -0.020%K -0.036%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.05%EV -9.16%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.53%EV -8.10%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 11:59
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.41%E -0.974%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 11:59
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 12:00
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 11:59
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 11:59
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 11:59
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 11:59
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 11:59
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-12 11:59
betano_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-12 11:59
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-12 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-12 12:00
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 44.46%EV -9.42%E -4.64%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 11:58
Unibet (FR)1.99I 50.25%NM 44.95%EV -11.20%E -5.63%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-12 11:58
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -12.99%E -6.66%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-12 11:59
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 11:56
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-12 11:59
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-12 11:59
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-12 12:00
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.45%E -4.66%K -6.88%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-12 11:59
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-12 11:59
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.92%EV -12.54%E -6.40%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-12 12:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-07-12 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88%1.0%2026-07-12 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-07-12 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-07-12 12:00
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.65%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-07-12 12:00