La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Västerås SK v Degerfors IF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Västerås SK (Local)
Predicción 44.62%2.24momio equitativo
EV -0.045%
Ventaja -0.020%
Kelly -0.036%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.24
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.41%44.81%44.65%47.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.822.042.052.2454.95%48.93%48.78%44.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Degerfors IF (Visitante)
Predicción 27.78%3.60momio equitativo
EV +11.12%
Ventaja +2.78%
Kelly +3.71%
Crecimiento +0.412%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.46%27.67%27.71%29.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.423.354.0032.26%29.28%29.85%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.60%3.62momio equitativo
EV -0.647%
Ventaja -0.180%
Kelly -0.249%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.68%27.52%27.64%28.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.333.303.6032.26%30.00%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.97%EV -8.97%E -4.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%EV +11.12%E +2.78%K +3.71%G +0.412% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57%EV -2.03%E -0.571%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.97%EV -8.97%E -4.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%EV +11.12%E +2.78%K +3.71%G +0.412% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57%EV -2.03%E -0.571%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.97%EV -8.97%E -4.40%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%EV +11.12%E +2.78%K +3.71%G +0.412% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57%EV -2.03%E -0.571%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -12.99%E -6.66%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV +4.17%E +1.11%K +1.52%G +0.063% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.57%EV -12.99%E -6.66%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV +4.17%E +1.11%K +1.52%G +0.063% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 12:00 |
| Unibet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -13.88%E -7.19%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV +2.78%E +0.752%K +1.03%G +0.029% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-12 12:00 |
| Casumo | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -13.88%E -7.19%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV +2.78%E +0.752%K +1.03%G +0.029% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-12 12:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -13.88%E -7.19%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV +2.78%E +0.752%K +1.03%G +0.029% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-12 12:00 |
| betPARX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -13.88%E -7.19%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV +2.78%E +0.752%K +1.03%G +0.029% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-12 12:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.51%EV -7.63%E -3.69%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.74%EV -0.647%E -0.180%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -14.77%E -7.73%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-07-12 11:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 47.27%EV -15.66%E -8.29%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV +0.005%E +0.001%K +0.002%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.23%EV -16.11%E -8.57%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -1.38%E -0.390%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-12 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.23%EV -16.11%E -8.57%K -18.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -1.38%E -0.390%K -0.543%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.03%EV -4.95%E -2.33%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.33%EV -2.50%E -0.711%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.64%EV -4.24%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.45%EV -4.51%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.16%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.45%EV -4.51%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.16%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| BetUS | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.45%EV -4.51%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.16%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| BetAnything | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.45%EV -4.51%E -2.11%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -4.16%E -1.21%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| Bovada | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -5.85%E -2.77%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 11:58 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 11:58 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 47.12%EV -18.79%E -10.32%K -22.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.22%EV -5.55%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.66%EV -14.45%E -4.66%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| Everygame | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -6.94%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.06%E -1.89%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 11:58 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.35%EV -7.63%E -3.69%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.33%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.41%EV -0.045%E -0.020%K -0.036%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.05%EV -9.16%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.53%EV -8.10%E -2.43%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -3.41%E -0.974%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| NordicBet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 12:00 |
| Betsson | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -5.40%E -2.55%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -6.29%E -3.00%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| betano_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-12 12:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.22%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-07-12 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.46%EV -9.42%E -4.64%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-12 11:58 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 44.95%EV -11.20%E -5.63%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-07-12 11:58 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -12.99%E -6.66%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -9.72%E -2.99%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-12 11:56 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.17%E -1.81%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -7.18%E -3.45%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-07-12 12:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.11%E -3.47%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.45%E -4.66%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -8.52%E -4.16%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.64%EV -12.50%E -3.97%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.92%EV -12.54%E -6.40%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%EV -13.88%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-07-12 12:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.60% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.88% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 1.4% | 2026-07-12 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.83% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 1.4% | 2026-07-12 12:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.65% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67% | 1.8% | 2026-07-12 12:00 |