Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 6.75
assuming max odds 1.49
assuming max odds 5.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örgryte IS (Local): 14.92%; IK Sirius (Visit): 65.83%; Draw: 19.25%. For Örgryte IS (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.70. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.695%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.41%EV +0.695%E +0.103%K +0.121%G +0.001% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.15%EV -3.22%E -2.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.45%EV -3.76%E -0.752%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.41%EV +0.695%E +0.103%K +0.121%G +0.001% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.15%EV -3.22%E -2.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.45%EV -3.76%E -0.752%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.41%EV +0.695%E +0.103%K +0.121%G +0.001% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.15%EV -3.22%E -2.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.45%EV -3.76%E -0.752%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
| Betsson🎯 | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.19%EV -0.051%E -0.008%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.68%EV -3.22%E -2.19%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -13.38%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-19 15:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 6.55I 15.27%NM 14.59%EV -2.29%E -0.349%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.37%EV -5.20%E -3.61%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.04%EV -3.37%E -0.672%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -3.03%E -0.467%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -3.76%E -0.752%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-19 15:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -3.03%E -0.467%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -3.76%E -0.752%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -3.03%E -0.467%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.88%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.63%EV -7.61%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-19 14:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.38%EV -3.03%E -0.467%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.75%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -4.72%E -0.954%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-19 15:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.03%E -0.467%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.41%EV -4.54%E -3.13%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -15.31%E -3.48%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-19 15:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -3.03%E -0.467%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -8.57%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-19 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -3.03%E -0.467%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.60%EV -9.81%E -7.16%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -1.83%E -0.360%K -0.447%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-19 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -3.03%E -0.467%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-19 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.14%EV -3.03%E -0.467%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.10%EV -9.81%E -7.16%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%EV -5.68%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 14:21 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -3.03%E -0.467%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.54%EV -9.15%E -6.63%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.33%EV -8.57%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-19 14:21 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV -3.03%E -0.467%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -5.68%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 14:21 |
| GTbets🎯 | 6.44I 15.53%NM 14.59%EV -3.93%E -0.610%K -0.722%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.71%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.77I 20.96%NM 19.70%EV -8.19%E -1.72%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-19 14:36 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.05%EV -4.53%E -0.707%K -0.838%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.66%EV -1.91%E -1.28%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.28%EV -8.57%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-09-19 15:16 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -6.76%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.76%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -5.68%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-19 15:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.03%EV -6.76%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.17%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.79%EV -3.76%E -0.752%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-19 15:01 |
| Unibet🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -6.76%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -9.53%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -6.76%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -9.53%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 15:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -6.76%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -9.53%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -6.76%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -9.53%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -6.76%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -9.53%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 15:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV -6.76%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -9.53%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-19 15:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -6.76%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.75%EV -9.15%E -6.63%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-19 14:21 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -7.51%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.68%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -5.68%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 15:21 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -7.51%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.68%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -5.68%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 15:21 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -7.51%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.68%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -5.68%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 15:21 |
| BetUS🎯 | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -7.51%E -1.21%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.68%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -5.68%E -1.16%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-19 15:26 |
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -10.49%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.60%EV -5.86%E -4.10%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -3.76%E -0.752%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-19 15:21 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -10.49%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.42%EV -6.52%E -4.59%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.33%EV -13.38%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 15:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -10.49%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 14:21 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -10.49%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 14:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -10.49%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 14:21 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -10.49%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 14:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -10.49%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 15:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -10.49%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-09-19 15:26 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -10.49%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.31%E -3.48%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-19 15:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -10.49%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -11.46%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-09-19 14:21 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.76%EV -10.49%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.59%EV -12.44%E -9.35%K -37.70%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.65%EV -8.57%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-19 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -11.99%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.04%EV -9.53%E -2.03%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -13.48%E -2.32%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.05%EV -9.15%E -6.63%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.23%EV -3.76%E -0.752%K -0.940%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-19 15:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -13.48%E -2.32%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.41%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -13.38%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-19 15:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.48%EV -13.48%E -2.32%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.12%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.40%EV -15.31%E -3.48%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-19 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.13%EV -13.48%E -2.32%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 65.99%EV -12.44%E -9.35%K -37.70%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.88%EV -10.50%E -2.26%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-19 15:16 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -14.22%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -13.38%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-19 14:36 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -14.22%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -13.38%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-19 14:36 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -14.22%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -13.38%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-19 14:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -14.22%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -7.83%E -5.59%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -13.38%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-19 14:36 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.45%EV -14.22%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.37%EV -9.15%E -6.63%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.19%EV -15.31%E -3.48%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-19 15:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.45%EV -14.22%E -2.47%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 64.37%EV -9.15%E -6.63%K -24.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.19%EV -15.31%E -3.48%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.99%EV -16.46%E -2.94%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 65.36%EV -9.81%E -7.16%K -26.51%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.65%EV -7.61%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-19 15:06 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -17.95%E -3.26%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -10.47%E -7.70%K -29.07%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -8.57%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-19 14:26 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 15:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 15:26 |
| Matchbook◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.78% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.50% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72% | 0.8% | 2026-09-19 15:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.73% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.26% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.01% | 1.1% | 2026-09-19 15:26 |
| Smarkets◎ | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.07% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.99% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94% | 1.5% | 2026-09-19 15:01 |