The School of Odds
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Örgryte IS v IK Sirius

2026-09-19 15:30 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örgryte IS (Local)

Prediction 16.67%6.00fair odd
EV +1.71%
Edge +0.281%
Kelly +0.336%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 6.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.91%16.67%16.67%17.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.905.545.626.1020.41%18.04%17.79%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IK Sirius (Visit)

Prediction 62.31%1.60fair odd
EV -4.66%
Edge -3.05%
Kelly -8.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.76%62.31%62.31%63.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.461.481.5372.46%68.33%67.57%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.01%4.76fair odd
EV -1.23%
Edge -0.262%
Kelly -0.333%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.94%21.01%21.01%21.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.054.384.404.7024.69%22.86%22.73%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Örgryte IS (Local): 16.67%; IK Sirius (Visit): 62.31%; Draw: 21.01%. For Örgryte IS (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.00. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 6.10, producing a positive expected value of +1.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV +1.71%E +0.281%K +0.336%G +0.006%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.44%EV -4.66%E -3.05%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%EV -1.23%E -0.262%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-12 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV +1.71%E +0.281%K +0.336%G +0.006%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.44%EV -4.66%E -3.05%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%EV -1.23%E -0.262%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-12 15:45
Svenska Spel🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV +1.71%E +0.281%K +0.336%G +0.006%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.44%EV -4.66%E -3.05%K -8.80%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%EV -1.23%E -0.262%K -0.333%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-12 15:45
Unibet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -4.12%E -0.717%K -0.868%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -4.12%E -0.717%K -0.868%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 15:45
Casumo🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -4.12%E -0.717%K -0.868%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 15:45
Grosvenor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -4.12%E -0.717%K -0.868%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 15:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -4.12%E -0.717%K -0.868%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 15:45
betPARX🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -4.12%E -0.717%K -0.868%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.59%EV -7.16%E -4.80%K -14.60%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.54%E -1.71%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-12 15:44
1xBet🎯5.64I 17.73%NM 16.49%EV -5.96%E -1.06%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.84%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -5.44%E -1.21%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-12 16:10
LeoVegas🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.74%EV -6.63%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.32%EV -7.78%E -5.26%K -16.21%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -1.23%E -0.262%K -0.333%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-12 15:50
BetRivers🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.68%EV -9.96%E -1.84%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -9.65%E -6.65%K -21.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -10.69%E -2.52%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 15:45
TABtouch🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.83%EV -11.63%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.94%EV -10.27%E -7.13%K -23.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.24%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-12 15:45
LiveScore Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.76%EV -11.63%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.10%EV -10.89%E -7.62%K -25.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.76%EV -11.63%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.10%EV -10.89%E -7.62%K -25.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.76%EV -11.63%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.10%EV -10.89%E -7.62%K -25.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-12 15:45
Betclic (FR)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.67%EV -12.46%E -2.37%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.50%EV -12.76%E -9.12%K -31.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%14.3%2026-09-12 15:49
Unibet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 16.79%EV -14.96%E -2.93%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 62.06%EV -14.01%E -10.15%K -36.87%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.15%EV -14.89%E -3.68%K -4.88%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-12 15:50
Winamax (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -16.63%E -3.33%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.95%EV -11.52%E -8.11%K -27.42%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -9.64%E -2.24%K -2.92%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-12 16:10
Winamax (FR)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 17.65%EV -18.30%E -3.73%K -4.69%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.76%EV -12.76%E -9.12%K -31.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.59%EV -11.74%E -2.80%K -3.67%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-12 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.