L’École des cotes

Örgryte IS v IF Brommapojkarna

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 17:00 UTC

Score final : Örgryte IS 1–2 IF Brommapojkarna

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Örgryte IS (Local)

Prévision 29.87%3.35cote équitable
EV -1.43%
Avantage -0.434%
Kelly -0.623%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.46%29.89%29.98%31.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.073.103.3035.71%32.60%32.26%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IF Brommapojkarna (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.05%2.27cote équitable
EV +2.64%
Avantage +1.13%
Kelly +1.99%
Croissance +0.053%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.73%43.97%43.92%45.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.962.122.102.3351.02%47.23%47.62%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.08%3.83cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -0.732%
Kelly -1.000%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.28%26.14%26.10%27.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.493.503.7332.26%28.62%28.57%26.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.10%EV -5.91%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.05%EV +2.64%E +1.13%K +1.99%G +0.053%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.84%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 16:30
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 31.05%EV -5.91%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.16%EV +2.20%E +0.950%K +1.67%G +0.037%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-22 16:30
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.99%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.95%EV +0.882%E +0.385%K +0.683%G +0.006%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -8.90%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV +0.441%E +0.193%K +0.345%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 16:30
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -8.90%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV +0.441%E +0.193%K +0.345%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 16:30
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -1.76%E -0.790%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:30
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -1.76%E -0.790%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:30
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -1.76%E -0.790%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:30
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -1.76%E -0.790%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:30
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -1.76%E -0.790%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:30
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -11.89%E -4.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:30
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -11.89%E -4.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:30
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -11.89%E -4.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -13.38%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -4.40%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 16:30
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -13.38%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -4.40%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 16:30
GTbets3.16I 31.65%NM 29.85%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.66%EV -4.85%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.49%EV -7.16%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 09:20
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.91%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 16:33
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 16:30
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 16:34
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.37%EV -2.63%E -0.806%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -6.17%E -2.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.67%EV -2.73%E -0.732%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 16:40
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -1.43%E -0.434%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:34
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 16:34
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:34
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.35%EV -4.72%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.58%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.08%EV -6.38%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:49
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:34
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:34
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:34
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 16:34
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 16:34
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 16:34
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 16:30
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 16:30
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 16:24
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -11.89%E -4.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 16:34
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -16.37%E -5.85%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -15.25%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 16:30
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.34%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.93%EV -7.93%E -3.79%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 16:53
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -1.43%E -0.434%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:34
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -1.43%E -0.434%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:34
BetAnything3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -1.43%E -0.434%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:34
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:34
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:34
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.93%E -0.900%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 16:44
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 16:34
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 16:34
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 16:34
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 16:28
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.38%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.89%E -5.95%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.89%E -5.95%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:44
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.89%E -5.95%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:44
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.89%E -5.95%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:44
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -11.89%E -4.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.96%EV -11.89%E -5.95%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -12.64%E -3.77%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-22 16:32
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.76%EV -14.87%E -5.22%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.83%EV -11.89%E -5.95%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 16:34
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -13.98%E -4.85%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -11.89%E -5.95%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -13.98%E -4.85%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -11.89%E -5.95%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -19.16%E -6.18%K -9.12%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-22 16:24
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.78%EV -13.38%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.06%EV -13.66%E -6.97%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -13.94%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-22 16:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-04-22 16:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-04-22 16:49
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-04-22 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-22 16:54
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%1.8%2026-04-22 16:49