La escuela de los momios

Örgryte IS v IF Brommapojkarna

Inicio: 2026-04-22 17:00 UTC

Final: Örgryte IS 1–2 IF Brommapojkarna

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Örgryte IS (Local)

Predicción 29.87%3.35momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.434%
Kelly -0.623%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.46%29.89%29.98%31.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.073.103.3035.71%32.60%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IF Brommapojkarna (Visitante)

Predicción 44.05%2.27momio equitativo
EV +2.64%
Ventaja +1.13%
Kelly +1.99%
Crecimiento +0.053%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.73%43.97%43.92%45.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.122.102.3351.02%47.23%47.62%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.08%3.83momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -0.732%
Kelly -1.000%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.28%26.14%26.10%27.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.493.503.7332.26%28.62%28.57%26.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.10%EV -5.91%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.05%EV +2.64%E +1.13%K +1.99%G +0.053%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.84%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-22 16:30
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 31.05%EV -5.91%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.16%EV +2.20%E +0.950%K +1.67%G +0.037%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.80%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-22 16:30
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.99%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.95%EV +0.882%E +0.385%K +0.683%G +0.006%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-22 16:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -8.90%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV +0.441%E +0.193%K +0.345%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 16:30
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.28%EV -8.90%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV +0.441%E +0.193%K +0.345%G +0.002%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 16:30
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -1.76%E -0.790%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:30
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -1.76%E -0.790%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:30
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -1.76%E -0.790%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:30
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -1.76%E -0.790%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:30
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.85%EV -1.76%E -0.790%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:30
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -11.89%E -4.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:30
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -11.89%E -4.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:30
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -11.89%E -4.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -13.38%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -4.40%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 16:30
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -13.38%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.90%EV -4.40%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 16:30
GTbets3.16I 31.65%NM 29.85%EV -5.61%E -1.78%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.66%EV -4.85%E -2.24%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.49%EV -7.16%E -2.01%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 09:20
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.91%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 16:33
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 16:30
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -5.29%E -2.46%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 16:34
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.37%EV -2.63%E -0.806%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -6.17%E -2.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.67%EV -2.73%E -0.732%K -1.000%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-22 16:40
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -1.43%E -0.434%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 16:34
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.81%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 16:34
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 16:34
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.35%EV -4.72%E -1.48%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.58%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.08%EV -6.38%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 16:49
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 16:34
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:34
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:34
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 16:34
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 16:34
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 16:34
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 16:30
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 16:30
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-22 16:24
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -11.89%E -4.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 16:34
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -16.37%E -5.85%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -7.49%E -3.57%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -15.25%E -4.69%K -6.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 16:30
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.34%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.93%EV -7.93%E -3.79%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -4.82%E -1.32%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-22 16:53
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -1.43%E -0.434%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:34
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -1.43%E -0.434%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:34
BetAnything3.30I 30.30%NM 28.55%EV -1.43%E -0.434%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.29%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-22 16:34
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:34
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.18%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.89%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-22 16:34
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -2.93%E -0.900%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 16:44
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-22 16:34
Winamax (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -6.12%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 16:34
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-22 16:34
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -10.39%E -3.46%K -5.20%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -8.73%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-22 16:28
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -13.38%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.69%E -4.73%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-22 16:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.89%E -5.95%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.89%E -5.95%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:44
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.89%E -5.95%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:44
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -11.89%E -5.95%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-22 16:44
Betclic (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -11.89%E -4.03%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.96%EV -11.89%E -5.95%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -12.64%E -3.77%K -5.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-22 16:32
Winamax (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.76%EV -14.87%E -5.22%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.83%EV -11.89%E -5.95%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -10.03%E -2.91%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 16:34
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -13.98%E -4.85%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -11.89%E -5.95%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -11.34%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.68%EV -13.98%E -4.85%K -7.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%EV -11.89%E -5.95%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.58%EV -19.16%E -6.18%K -9.12%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-22 16:24
Unibet (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.78%EV -13.38%E -4.61%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.06%EV -13.66%E -6.97%K -14.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -13.94%E -4.23%K -6.06%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-22 16:34
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-04-22 16:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-04-22 16:49
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.13%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.49%0.6%2026-04-22 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.91%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.46%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.64%1.3%2026-04-22 16:54
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.52%1.8%2026-04-22 16:49