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Örgryte IS v GAIS
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Örgryte IS (Local)
Prediction 17.60%5.68fair odd
EV +9.99%
Edge +1.60%
Kelly +1.90%
Growth +0.190%
assuming max odds 6.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.65%17.49%17.62%18.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.345.306.2520.83%18.73%18.87%16.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
GAIS (Visit)
Prediction 59.73%1.67fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -6.30%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.90%59.77%59.71%63.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.531.541.6169.93%65.28%64.94%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.68%4.41fair odd
EV +4.31%
Edge +0.937%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.052%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.26%22.74%22.67%23.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.084.104.6026.32%24.51%24.39%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örgryte IS (Local): 17.60%; GAIS (Visit): 59.73%; Draw: 22.68%. For Örgryte IS (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.68. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.99%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%EV +9.99%E +1.60%K +1.90%G +0.190% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.09%EV -7.43%E -4.79%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%EV +4.31%E +0.937%K +1.20%G +0.052% | 2.3% | 2026-10-18 13:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%EV +9.99%E +1.60%K +1.90%G +0.190% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.09%EV -7.43%E -4.79%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%EV +4.31%E +0.937%K +1.20%G +0.052% | 2.3% | 2026-10-18 13:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%EV +9.99%E +1.60%K +1.90%G +0.190% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.09%EV -7.43%E -4.79%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.26%EV +4.31%E +0.937%K +1.20%G +0.052% | 2.3% | 2026-10-18 13:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.37%EV +1.72%E +0.297%K +0.360%G +0.006% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.46%EV -8.02%E -5.21%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.17%EV -3.17%E -0.743%K -0.971%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-18 06:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV +1.19%E +0.207%K +0.251%G +0.003% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -10.41%E -6.94%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -1.36%E -0.313%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 13:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV +1.19%E +0.207%K +0.251%G +0.003% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -10.41%E -6.94%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -1.36%E -0.313%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV +1.19%E +0.207%K +0.251%G +0.003% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -10.41%E -6.94%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -1.36%E -0.313%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 13:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV +1.19%E +0.207%K +0.251%G +0.003% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -10.41%E -6.94%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -1.36%E -0.313%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 13:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.25%EV +1.19%E +0.207%K +0.251%G +0.003% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.28%EV -10.41%E -6.94%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -1.36%E -0.313%K -0.406%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-18 13:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.95%EV +0.311%E +0.055%K +0.066%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.86%EV -12.20%E -8.30%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -7.03%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-18 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.62I 17.79%NM 16.88%EV -1.10%E -0.195%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -4.44%E -2.77%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.83%EV -9.75%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-18 14:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.14%EV -1.45%E -0.259%K -0.315%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.44%E -2.77%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%EV -4.76%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-18 06:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.89%EV -7.43%E -4.79%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -2.49%E -0.580%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.40%EV -8.02%E -5.21%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -7.03%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 13:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -8.62%E -5.63%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.30%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-18 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV -3.21%E -0.583%K -0.713%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.67%EV -11.61%E -7.84%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -4.76%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-18 13:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.58%EV -4.26%E -0.784%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.76%EV -4.44%E -2.77%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.66%EV -4.31%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-18 14:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.51%EV -4.44%E -0.818%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.80%EV -5.04%E -3.17%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 22.69%EV -4.99%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-18 14:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.17%EV -4.97%E -0.920%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.21%EV -8.02%E -5.21%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.62%EV -7.03%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-18 14:18 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -4.97%E -0.920%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.64%EV -12.20%E -8.30%K -25.96%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -4.76%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-18 13:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.55%EV -4.97%E -0.920%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.65%EV -13.40%E -9.24%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -7.03%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 13:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.55%EV -4.97%E -0.920%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.65%EV -13.40%E -9.24%K -29.77%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.80%EV -7.03%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.80%EV -6.73%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.84%E -2.39%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -9.30%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 14:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.80%EV -6.73%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.84%E -2.39%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -9.30%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 14:24 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.80%EV -6.73%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.84%E -2.39%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -9.30%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 14:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -6.73%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.40%EV -5.63%E -3.57%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -7.03%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 14:28 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.71%EV -6.73%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.40%EV -5.63%E -3.57%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -7.03%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 14:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -6.73%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -7.43%E -4.79%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.63%EV -7.03%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-18 14:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.74%EV -6.73%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.62%EV -13.99%E -9.72%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.64%EV -7.03%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-18 13:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.67%EV -6.73%E -1.27%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.78%EV -14.59%E -10.20%K -33.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.55%EV -7.03%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-18 13:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -7.61%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.63%EV -5.63%E -3.57%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -4.76%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-18 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.68%EV -7.61%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.12%EV -6.23%E -3.97%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.30%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-18 14:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -7.61%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -7.43%E -4.79%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -10.43%E -2.64%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-18 14:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.48%EV -7.61%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.58%EV -8.02%E -5.21%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -9.30%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-18 14:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.01%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.23%E -3.97%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.83%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-18 14:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.01%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.23%E -3.97%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.83%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-18 14:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.01%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.23%E -3.97%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.83%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-18 14:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.01%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.23%E -3.97%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -13.83%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-18 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.16%EV -12.01%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.57%EV -7.43%E -4.79%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -11.56%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-18 14:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -12.01%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.39%EV -7.43%E -4.79%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -12.70%E -3.30%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-18 14:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.02%EV -12.01%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.88%EV -8.62%E -5.63%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV -11.56%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-18 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.01%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.41%E -6.94%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -9.30%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-18 07:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -12.01%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -8.62%E -5.63%K -16.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -13.83%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-18 14:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -12.01%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.20%EV -9.81%E -6.50%K -19.24%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -11.56%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-18 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.01%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -10.41%E -6.94%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -11.56%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-18 13:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.01%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -10.41%E -6.94%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -11.56%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-18 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.01%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -10.41%E -6.94%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -11.56%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-18 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -12.01%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -10.41%E -6.94%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -11.56%E -2.97%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-18 13:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.01%E -2.40%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.41%E -6.94%K -20.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -13.83%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-18 14:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -13.77%E -2.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.18%EV -8.02%E -5.21%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -7.03%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-18 14:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.62%EV -13.77%E -2.81%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.96%EV -13.99%E -9.72%K -31.81%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.42%EV -12.70%E -3.30%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-10-18 14:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -15.53%E -3.23%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.94%EV -9.22%E -6.06%K -17.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -9.30%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-18 14:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.80% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.18% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.02% | 0.9% | 2026-10-18 14:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 1.0% | 2026-10-18 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.73% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 1.0% | 2026-10-18 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.41% | 1.4% | 2026-10-18 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.41% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.90% | 1.6% | 2026-10-18 14:29 |