L’École des cotesFrançais
Mjällby AIF v Örgryte IS
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Mjällby AIF (Local)
Prévision 70.14%1.43cote équitable
EV -1.80%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -4.50%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
67.16%70.14%70.00%72.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.311.301.4080.65%76.31%76.92%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Örgryte IS (Visiteur)
Prévision 11.43%8.75cote équitable
EV +8.55%
Avantage +0.900%
Kelly +1.01%
Croissance +0.086%
avec la cote maximale 9.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.21%11.38%11.50%13.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.507.967.979.5015.38%12.56%12.55%10.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 18.43%5.43cote équitable
EV +2.48%
Avantage +0.445%
Kelly +0.543%
Croissance +0.013%
avec la cote maximale 5.56
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.23%18.48%18.50%20.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.915.005.5623.81%20.38%20.00%17.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.68%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.26%EV +8.55%E +0.900%K +1.01%G +0.086% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.05%EV -0.473%E -0.088%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -7.41%E -5.62%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 9.38I 10.66%NM 10.21%EV +7.18%E +0.766%K +0.857%G +0.062% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.23%EV +2.48%E +0.445%K +0.543%G +0.013% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.79%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.70%EV +2.84%E +0.316%K +0.355%G +0.010% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.51%EV -4.16%E -0.800%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +2.84%E +0.316%K +0.355%G +0.010% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.24%E -0.617%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV +2.84%E +0.316%K +0.355%G +0.010% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -6.00%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV +2.84%E +0.316%K +0.355%G +0.010% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -6.00%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV +2.84%E +0.316%K +0.355%G +0.010% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -6.00%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV +2.84%E +0.316%K +0.355%G +0.010% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -6.00%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +2.84%E +0.316%K +0.355%G +0.010% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betsson | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78%EV -10.22%E -7.98%K -36.49%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.54%EV -1.73%E -0.201%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.68%EV -10.61%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -2.87%E -0.338%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.24%E -0.617%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -7.41%E -5.62%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -2.87%E -0.338%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -6.00%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -2.87%E -0.338%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -12.45%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -2.87%E -0.338%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.53%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.82%EV -7.41%E -5.62%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.54%EV -7.44%E -0.919%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.32%E -0.437%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -6.01%E -4.48%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -3.24%E -0.617%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.39%EV -8.11%E -6.19%K -26.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -6.00%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.53%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.53%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -7.41%E -5.62%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -12.45%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -10.22%E -7.98%K -36.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.49%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -13.37%E -2.85%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -11.53%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -17.06%E -3.79%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.23%EV -10.22%E -7.98%K -36.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.08%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.69%EV -17.06%E -3.79%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 7.97I 12.55%NM 11.74%EV -8.93%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 17.89%EV -3.61%E -0.690%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| GTbets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.90%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.87I 12.71%NM 12.26%EV -10.07%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.84%EV -5.63%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -10.87%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -4.16%E -0.800%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.51%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.66%EV -10.87%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -6.00%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.51%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.66%EV -10.87%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -6.00%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BetUS | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.51%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.66%EV -10.87%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -6.00%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.51%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.66%EV -10.87%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -6.00%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -11.44%E -1.48%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.95%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.57%EV -11.44%E -1.48%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -12.45%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -12.45%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| betPARX | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -12.45%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -12.45%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -11.53%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -11.53%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.97%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -13.37%E -2.85%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.97%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -13.37%E -2.85%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.61%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.63%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.76%EV -22.59%E -5.38%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -20.01%E -2.86%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -20.01%E -2.86%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -20.01%E -2.86%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 68.54%EV -13.02%E -10.50%K -54.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.14%EV -20.01%E -2.86%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.32%EV -18.90%E -4.30%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.26%EV -11.62%E -9.22%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 12.84%EV -23.44%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 18.90%EV -16.14%E -3.55%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.16%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -25.73%E -3.96%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -17.06%E -3.79%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.32% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.32% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.32% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.11% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.89% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.52% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.26% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.22% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |