La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Mjällby AIF v Örgryte IS
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Mjällby AIF (Local)
Predicción 70.14%1.43momio equitativo
EV -1.80%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -4.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.16%70.14%70.00%72.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.311.301.4080.65%76.31%76.92%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Örgryte IS (Visitante)
Predicción 11.43%8.75momio equitativo
EV +8.55%
Ventaja +0.900%
Kelly +1.01%
Crecimiento +0.086%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.21%11.38%11.50%13.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.507.967.979.5015.38%12.56%12.55%10.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 18.43%5.43momio equitativo
EV +2.48%
Ventaja +0.445%
Kelly +0.543%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.56
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.23%18.48%18.50%20.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.915.005.5623.81%20.38%20.00%17.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.68%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.26%EV +8.55%E +0.900%K +1.01%G +0.086% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.05%EV -0.473%E -0.088%K -0.108%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -7.41%E -5.62%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 9.38I 10.66%NM 10.21%EV +7.18%E +0.766%K +0.857%G +0.062% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.23%EV +2.48%E +0.445%K +0.543%G +0.013% | 4.4% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Coolbet | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.79%EV -4.61%E -3.39%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.70%EV +2.84%E +0.316%K +0.355%G +0.010% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.51%EV -4.16%E -0.800%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Everygame | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +2.84%E +0.316%K +0.355%G +0.010% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -3.24%E -0.617%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Unibet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV +2.84%E +0.316%K +0.355%G +0.010% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -6.00%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Casumo | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV +2.84%E +0.316%K +0.355%G +0.010% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -6.00%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV +2.84%E +0.316%K +0.355%G +0.010% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -6.00%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.46%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.32%EV +2.84%E +0.316%K +0.355%G +0.010% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.22%EV -6.00%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.36%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +2.84%E +0.316%K +0.355%G +0.010% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.41%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betsson | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.78%EV -10.22%E -7.98%K -36.49%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.54%EV -1.73%E -0.201%K -0.228%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.68%EV -10.61%E -2.19%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| DraftKings | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.93%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.10%EV -2.87%E -0.338%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -3.24%E -0.617%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.72%EV -7.41%E -5.62%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -2.87%E -0.338%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.30%EV -6.00%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.62%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.89%EV -2.87%E -0.338%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -12.45%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.24%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.74%EV -2.87%E -0.338%K -0.383%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -11.53%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.82%EV -7.41%E -5.62%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 8.10I 12.35%NM 11.54%EV -7.44%E -0.919%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -2.32%E -0.437%K -0.539%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -6.01%E -4.48%K -17.67%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -3.24%E -0.617%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.39%EV -8.11%E -6.19%K -26.17%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.08%EV -6.00%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| William Hill | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.53%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -11.53%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.31%EV -7.41%E -5.62%K -23.16%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -12.45%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 70.62%EV -10.22%E -7.98%K -36.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.30%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.49%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -13.37%E -2.85%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.28%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.79%EV -11.53%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.14%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -17.06%E -3.79%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.23%EV -10.22%E -7.98%K -36.49%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.08%EV -8.59%E -1.07%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.69%EV -17.06%E -3.79%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 7.97I 12.55%NM 11.74%EV -8.93%E -1.12%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.23I 19.12%NM 17.89%EV -3.61%E -0.690%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| GTbets | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.90%EV -1.80%E -1.29%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.87I 12.71%NM 12.26%EV -10.07%E -1.28%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.84%EV -5.63%E -1.10%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.59%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.76%EV -10.87%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -4.16%E -0.800%K -0.990%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.51%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.66%EV -10.87%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -6.00%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.51%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.66%EV -10.87%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -6.00%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BetUS | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.51%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.66%EV -10.87%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -6.00%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| BetAnything | 1.29I 77.52%NM 70.51%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.66%EV -10.87%E -1.39%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.83%EV -6.00%E -1.18%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| BetMGM | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.06%EV -11.44%E -1.48%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.95%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.57%EV -11.44%E -1.48%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betway | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.31%E -3.93%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.41%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -12.45%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -12.45%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| betPARX | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -12.45%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.62%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -12.45%E -2.62%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| PlayUp | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.09%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.03%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.04%EV -7.85%E -1.57%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| 888sport | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -11.53%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.24%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -11.53%E -2.40%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.97%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -13.37%E -2.85%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.97%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.95%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -13.37%E -2.85%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 67.61%EV -9.52%E -7.38%K -32.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.63%EV -14.30%E -1.91%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.76%EV -22.59%E -5.38%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Coral | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -20.01%E -2.86%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -20.01%E -2.86%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Neds | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.61%EV -6.71%E -5.05%K -20.34%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -20.01%E -2.86%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.55%EV -15.22%E -3.31%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 68.54%EV -13.02%E -10.50%K -54.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.14%EV -20.01%E -2.86%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.32%EV -18.90%E -4.30%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.26%EV -11.62%E -9.22%K -44.69%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 12.84%EV -23.44%E -3.50%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 18.90%EV -16.14%E -3.55%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-04-11 12:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 67.16%EV -8.81%E -6.78%K -29.38%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -25.73%E -3.96%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.40%EV -17.06%E -3.79%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-11 13:01 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.32% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.32% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.32% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78% | 1.0% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.11% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.89% | 2.1% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.52% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.26% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.22% | 3.7% | 2026-04-11 13:00 |