Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mjällby AIF v Djurgardens IF

Início: 2026-09-03 17:00 UTC

Final: Mjällby AIF 0–2 Djurgardens IF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Previsão 19.66%5.09odd justa
EV -1.72%
Vantagem -0.344%
Kelly -0.430%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.36%19.66%19.67%20.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.684.755.0023.81%21.35%21.05%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Djurgardens IF (Visitante)

Previsão 57.57%1.74odd justa
EV -2.12%
Vantagem -1.25%
Kelly -3.03%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.85%57.48%57.52%59.24%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.521.611.611.7065.79%62.03%62.11%58.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 22.77%4.39odd justa
EV -2.78%
Vantagem -0.650%
Kelly -0.849%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.19%22.85%22.80%24.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.753.994.004.2726.67%25.08%25.00%23.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Mjällby AIF (Local): 19.66%; Djurgardens IF (Visitante): 57.57%; Empate: 22.77%. Para Mjällby AIF (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.09. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 5.00, com valor esperado de -1.72%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.41%EV -1.72%E -0.344%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.76%EV -3.27%E -1.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%EV -3.23%E -0.760%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.41%EV -1.72%E -0.344%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.76%EV -3.27%E -1.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%EV -3.23%E -0.760%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.41%EV -1.72%E -0.344%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.76%EV -3.27%E -1.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.83%EV -3.23%E -0.760%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 16:40
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -1.72%E -0.344%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.32%EV -7.30%E -4.54%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 12:59
Tipico (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -1.72%E -0.344%K -0.430%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -10.76%E -6.94%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 12:45
GTbets🎯4.91I 20.37%NM 19.55%EV -3.49%E -0.710%K -0.892%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.46%EV -2.12%E -1.25%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.99%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 14:09
Pinnacle🎯4.87I 20.53%NM 19.64%EV -4.27%E -0.878%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.96%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.40%EV -2.78%E -0.650%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.75%EV -5.06%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.44%EV -3.23%E -0.760%K -0.994%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯4.83I 20.70%NM 19.75%EV -5.06%E -1.05%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.44%EV -3.23%E -0.760%K -0.994%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-03 12:24
Coolbet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.05%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.30%EV -3.27%E -1.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.65%EV -3.23%E -0.760%K -0.994%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 16:50
DraftKings🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.37%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 16:40
FanDuel🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -7.30%E -4.54%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 16:44
Betsson🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.22%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -10.06%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 16:19
NordicBet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -5.65%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.22%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.47%EV -10.06%E -2.55%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 16:19
LeoVegas🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.61%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.37%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.37%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 15:50
BetUS🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.70%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.76%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.55%EV -5.51%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 16:29
Grosvenor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 16:40
Casumo🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 16:45
Unibet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 16:40
betPARX🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.67%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.97%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-03 16:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 15:55
William Hill🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.73%E -4.15%K -10.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -13.48%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 14:49
betano_uk🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.88%E -4.93%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.20%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 16:35
Bet Victor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.28%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.24%EV -7.88%E -4.93%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -11.20%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 16:32
888sport🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.30%E -4.54%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.48%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.30%E -4.54%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.48%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 14:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -7.30%E -4.54%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -13.48%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-03 14:50
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -6.63%E -1.40%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.71%EV -7.88%E -4.93%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -14.62%E -3.90%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-03 16:19
Bovada🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -7.62%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.34%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%EV -5.51%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 16:55
BetAnything🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.01%EV -7.62%E -1.62%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.34%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%EV -5.51%E -1.33%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 16:55
1xBet🎯4.68I 21.37%NM 20.02%EV -8.01%E -1.71%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.13%EV -5.58%E -3.40%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 16:45
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -7.30%E -4.54%K -11.98%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 16:45
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.88%E -4.93%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 16:20
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.88%E -4.93%K -13.13%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-03 16:19
Betr (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.64%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.19%EV -9.03%E -5.72%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.17%EV -11.20%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.45%EV -9.61%E -6.12%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.95%EV -10.52%E -2.68%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-03 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -9.61%E -6.12%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -13.48%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 12:59
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -9.61%E -6.12%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -13.48%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -9.61%E -6.12%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -13.48%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 13:00
Neds🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -9.58%E -2.08%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.00%EV -9.61%E -6.12%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -13.48%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-03 12:59
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -11.55%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -5.00%E -3.03%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.37%E -1.04%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -11.55%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.59%EV -9.03%E -5.72%K -15.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -6.65%E -1.62%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -11.55%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.63%EV -7.88%E -4.93%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%EV -11.20%E -2.87%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-03 16:45
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.07%EV -11.55%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.46%EV -7.88%E -4.93%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -12.34%E -3.20%K -4.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-03 16:40
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -11.55%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -7.88%E -4.93%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -13.48%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 16:45
TABtouch🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -11.55%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.61%E -6.12%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.48%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-03 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.50%EV -11.55%E -2.57%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 57.72%EV -12.49%E -8.21%K -24.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -12.34%E -3.20%K -4.33%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-03 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.32%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.32%EV -10.18%E -6.53%K -18.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -8.92%E -2.23%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-03 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.61%E -6.12%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -14.62%E -3.90%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 16:40
Virgin Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.10%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.32%EV -9.61%E -6.12%K -16.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -14.62%E -3.90%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-03 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -13.51%E -3.07%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.48%EV -10.18%E -6.53%K -18.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -14.62%E -3.90%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-03 16:40
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -14.89%E -3.44%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -7.88%E -4.93%K -13.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.48%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 16:45
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 20.77%EV -17.44%E -4.15%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.28%EV -10.76%E -6.94%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.95%EV -13.48%E -3.55%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-03 14:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-09-03 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-09-03 16:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-09-03 16:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-09-03 16:45
Matchbook◎5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.01%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.8%2026-09-03 16:25