La scuola delle quote

Mjällby AIF v Djurgardens IF

Inizio: 2026-05-31 14:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

32 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Mjällby AIF (Casa)

Previsione 36.99%2.70quota equa
EV +3.58%
Vantaggio +1.28%
Kelly +1.99%
Crescita +0.071%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.05%36.95%37.30%39.34%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.502.482.8043.48%39.95%40.40%35.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Djurgardens IF (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.69%2.80quota equa
EV -1.50%
Vantaggio -0.543%
Kelly -0.852%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.83%35.79%35.40%37.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.532.502.7644.44%39.53%40.00%36.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.32%3.66quota equa
EV -1.66%
Vantaggio -0.461%
Kelly -0.638%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.95%27.27%27.29%28.54%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.333.303.6033.33%30.03%30.30%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.05%EV +3.58%E +1.28%K +1.99%G +0.071%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.31%EV -6.14%E -2.33%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%EV -3.02%E -0.852%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-25 14:00
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 35.05%EV +3.58%E +1.28%K +1.99%G +0.071%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.31%EV -6.14%E -2.33%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%EV -3.02%E -0.852%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-25 14:00
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.05%EV +3.58%E +1.28%K +1.99%G +0.071%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.31%EV -6.14%E -2.33%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%EV -3.02%E -0.852%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-25 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -1.96%E -0.741%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 14:00
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.26%EV -3.81%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.49%E -4.63%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.26%EV -3.81%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.49%E -4.63%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 14:00
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.26%EV -3.81%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.49%E -4.63%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 14:00
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.26%EV -3.81%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.49%E -4.63%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 14:00
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.26%EV -3.81%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.49%E -4.63%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 14:00
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -13.28%E -5.46%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 14:00
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -13.28%E -5.46%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 14:00
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.87%EV -13.28%E -5.46%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -12.59%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 14:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.51%E -3.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.50%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 14:18
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -7.51%E -3.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -14.35%E -5.98%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.59%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-25 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -7.51%E -3.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -14.35%E -5.98%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.59%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-25 14:00
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.07%EV -7.51%E -3.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.79%EV -17.20%E -7.41%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.14%EV -11.77%E -3.64%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-24 16:29
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -9.36%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.97%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 12:20
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -9.36%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.97%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 12:20
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.36%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.21%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -1.66%E -0.461%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 08:40
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.47%EV -9.36%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.79%EV -17.92%E -7.79%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-24 14:40
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 35.32%EV -10.10%E -4.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 36.99%EV -17.20%E -7.41%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.69%EV -15.32%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-25 14:00
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -11.21%E -4.67%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.21%EV -1.50%E -0.543%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.45%EV -2.48%E -0.694%K -0.964%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:10
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -11.21%E -4.67%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.21%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-26 14:40
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -11.21%E -4.67%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.99%E -3.53%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 08:40
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.21%E -4.67%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 14:10
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.21%E -4.67%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 14:09
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.21%E -4.67%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 14:10
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.21%E -4.67%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 14:10
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.95%E -5.02%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-28 14:39
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -13.06%E -5.56%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -7.21%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-26 14:39
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.84%EV -13.06%E -5.56%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.43%EV -19.70%E -8.76%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.73%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%18.7%2026-05-24 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -14.91%E -6.48%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -18.05%E -6.02%K -9.02%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-26 08:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 31.89%1.17I 85.47%NM 31.89%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.22%168.0%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 31.89%1.17I 85.47%NM 31.89%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.22%168.0%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 31.66%1.17I 85.47%NM 31.66%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.68%170.0%2026-05-25 14:50