L’École des cotes

Mjällby AIF v Djurgardens IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-31 14:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (6 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prévision 36.99%2.70cote équitable
EV +3.58%
Avantage +1.28%
Kelly +1.99%
Croissance +0.071%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.05%36.95%37.30%39.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.502.482.8043.48%39.95%40.40%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Djurgardens IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.69%2.80cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -0.543%
Kelly -0.852%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.83%35.79%35.40%37.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.532.502.7644.44%39.53%40.00%36.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.32%3.66cote équitable
EV -1.66%
Avantage -0.461%
Kelly -0.638%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.95%27.27%27.29%28.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.333.303.6033.33%30.03%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.05%EV +3.58%E +1.28%K +1.99%G +0.071%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.31%EV -6.14%E -2.33%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%EV -3.02%E -0.852%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-25 14:00
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 35.05%EV +3.58%E +1.28%K +1.99%G +0.071%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.31%EV -6.14%E -2.33%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%EV -3.02%E -0.852%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-25 14:00
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.05%EV +3.58%E +1.28%K +1.99%G +0.071%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.31%EV -6.14%E -2.33%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.64%EV -3.02%E -0.852%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-25 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -1.96%E -0.741%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 14:00
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.26%EV -3.81%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.49%E -4.63%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.26%EV -3.81%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.49%E -4.63%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 14:00
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 35.26%EV -3.81%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.49%E -4.63%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 14:00
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.26%EV -3.81%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.49%E -4.63%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 14:00
betPARX2.60I 38.46%NM 35.26%EV -3.81%E -1.47%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.96%EV -11.49%E -4.63%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 14:00
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -13.28%E -5.46%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 14:00
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 35.29%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.03%EV -13.28%E -5.46%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-25 14:00
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -5.66%E -2.22%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.87%EV -13.28%E -5.46%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -12.59%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 14:00
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.88%EV -7.51%E -3.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.19%EV -6.50%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.94%EV -9.85%E -2.99%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-25 14:18
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -7.51%E -3.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -14.35%E -5.98%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.59%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-25 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -7.51%E -3.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -14.35%E -5.98%K -10.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.59%E -3.93%K -5.72%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-25 14:00
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.07%EV -7.51%E -3.01%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.79%EV -17.20%E -7.41%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.14%EV -11.77%E -3.64%K -5.28%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-24 16:29
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -9.36%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.97%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 12:20
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -9.36%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.97%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 12:20
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.36%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.21%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -1.66%E -0.461%K -0.638%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 08:40
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.47%EV -9.36%E -3.82%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.79%EV -17.92%E -7.79%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-24 14:40
PMU (FR)2.43I 41.15%NM 35.32%EV -10.10%E -4.16%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 36.99%EV -17.20%E -7.41%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.69%EV -15.32%E -4.94%K -7.29%G +0.000%16.5%2026-05-25 14:00
GTbets2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -11.21%E -4.67%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.21%EV -1.50%E -0.543%K -0.852%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.45%EV -2.48%E -0.694%K -0.964%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:10
Paddy Power2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -11.21%E -4.67%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.21%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-26 14:40
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -11.21%E -4.67%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.99%E -3.53%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -4.39%E -1.25%K -1.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-26 08:40
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.21%E -4.67%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 14:10
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.21%E -4.67%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 14:09
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.21%E -4.67%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 14:10
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -11.21%E -4.67%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.22%E -3.45%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 14:10
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.95%E -5.02%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -7.12%E -2.09%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-28 14:39
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -13.06%E -5.56%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.69%EV -7.21%E -2.77%K -4.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -8.49%E -2.53%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-26 14:39
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.84%EV -13.06%E -5.56%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.43%EV -19.70%E -8.76%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.73%EV -13.95%E -4.43%K -6.49%G +0.000%18.7%2026-05-24 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.22%EV -14.91%E -6.48%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.24%EV -10.78%E -4.31%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.54%EV -18.05%E -6.02%K -9.02%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-26 08:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.17I 85.47%NM 31.89%1.17I 85.47%NM 31.89%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.22%168.0%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 31.89%1.17I 85.47%NM 31.89%1.03I 97.09%NM 36.22%168.0%2026-05-25 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 31.66%1.17I 85.47%NM 31.66%1.01I 99.01%NM 36.68%170.0%2026-05-25 14:50