Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mjällby AIF v Degerfors IF

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 15:30 UTC

Final: Mjällby AIF 1–1 Degerfors IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prediction 49.98%2.00fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.67%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.13%50.06%50.02%52.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.831.851.9559.52%54.50%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Degerfors IF (Visit)

Prediction 23.43%4.27fair odd
EV +3.09%
Edge +0.702%
Kelly +0.908%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.12%23.44%23.39%24.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.973.954.4027.03%25.19%25.32%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.59%3.76fair odd
EV +2.37%
Edge +0.616%
Kelly +0.833%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.28%26.50%26.59%27.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.503.503.8530.30%28.61%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mjällby AIF (Local): 49.98%; Degerfors IF (Visit): 23.43%; Draw: 26.59%. For Degerfors IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.09%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.60%EV -7.54%E -4.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +3.09%E +0.702%K +0.908%G +0.028%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.28%EV +2.37%E +0.616%K +0.833%G +0.020%2.8%2026-10-10 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.60%EV -7.54%E -4.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +3.09%E +0.702%K +0.908%G +0.028%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.28%EV +2.37%E +0.616%K +0.833%G +0.020%2.8%2026-10-10 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.60%EV -7.54%E -4.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.12%EV +3.09%E +0.702%K +0.908%G +0.028%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.28%EV +2.37%E +0.616%K +0.833%G +0.020%2.8%2026-10-10 14:50
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -10.54%E -5.89%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -1.60%E -0.380%K -0.499%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -2.94%E -0.807%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:50
Grosvenor🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -10.54%E -5.89%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -1.60%E -0.380%K -0.499%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -2.94%E -0.807%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -10.54%E -5.89%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -1.60%E -0.380%K -0.499%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -2.94%E -0.807%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -10.54%E -5.89%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -1.60%E -0.380%K -0.499%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -2.94%E -0.807%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:50
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -10.54%E -5.89%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -1.60%E -0.380%K -0.499%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -2.94%E -0.807%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:50
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -10.54%E -5.89%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -1.60%E -0.380%K -0.499%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -2.94%E -0.807%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 14:50
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.94%EV -4.04%E -2.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.27%EV -3.47%E -0.843%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.78%EV -4.81%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-10 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.94%E -0.961%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.94%E -0.961%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 15:19
BetAnything🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.84%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -3.94%E -0.961%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 15:20
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -7.54%E -4.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -3.94%E -0.961%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.99%EV -11.53%E -6.52%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -3.94%E -0.961%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 15:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.08%EV -11.04%E -6.20%K -14.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -3.94%E -0.961%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 14:01
GTbets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.84%EV -4.04%E -2.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.57%EV -4.88%E -1.20%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.58%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.48%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.31%EV -5.11%E -1.26%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.22%EV -4.27%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Bovada🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.69%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 15:20
BetUS🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.69%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 15:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 15:20
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 15:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.22%EV -7.54%E -4.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:01
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.76%EV -13.03%E -7.49%K -17.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.73%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-10 14:50
TABtouch🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.71%EV -13.53%E -7.82%K -18.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 14:50
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.79%EV -2.54%E -1.30%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.03%EV -7.22%E -1.82%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-10 15:25
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-10 15:25
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -5.60%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-10 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.17%EV -13.53%E -7.82%K -18.54%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%EV -7.45%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -10.92%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-10 14:01
1xBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -7.54%E -4.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.79%EV -7.92%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.68%EV -3.21%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 15:20
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.74%EV -7.54%E -4.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.67%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-10 15:15
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.87%EV -8.04%E -4.37%K -9.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.54%E -4.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 15:20
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.54%E -4.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 15:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.54%E -4.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 15:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.54%E -4.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-10 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.17%EV -9.54%E -5.27%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.63%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.55%EV -9.06%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-10 15:20
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -9.80%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 15:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 51.80%EV -16.03%E -9.54%K -23.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.60%EV -9.80%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-10 15:20
Betway🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.22%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-10 15:20
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -7.54%E -4.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 15:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.03%EV -9.04%E -4.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.01%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-10 15:20
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -8.54%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 15:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -8.54%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-10 15:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -9.04%E -4.96%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-10 14:01
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -10.97%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.46%EV -7.54%E -4.07%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-10 15:25
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.54%E -4.66%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -6.93%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.59%E -2.82%K -4.00%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-10 15:14
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.08%EV -12.53%E -7.16%K -16.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-10 15:20
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -13.31%E -3.60%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -12.25%E -3.71%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-10 15:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.80%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -13.31%E -3.60%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -8.26%E -2.40%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-10 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.98I 50.51%NM 50.01%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.41%1.0%2026-10-10 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%1.3%2026-10-10 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%1.3%2026-10-10 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.67%1.3%2026-10-10 15:25
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.66%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%1.7%2026-10-10 15:25