La escuela de los momios

Malmo FF v Mjällby AIF

Inicio: 2026-05-03 12:00 UTC

Final: Malmo FF 2–3 Mjällby AIF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Malmo FF (Local)

Predicción 36.46%2.74momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -0.856%
Kelly -1.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.48%36.47%36.54%38.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.282.512.522.6843.86%39.83%39.60%37.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Mjällby AIF (Visitante)

Predicción 35.32%2.83momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.391%
Kelly -0.608%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.15%35.29%35.26%36.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.642.652.8041.67%37.84%37.74%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.22%3.54momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -0.766%
Kelly -1.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.67%28.24%28.21%30.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.243.253.4534.72%30.84%30.77%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.50%EV -2.29%E -0.856%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 11:50
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.50%EV -2.29%E -0.856%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 11:50
BetUS2.68I 37.31%NM 35.50%EV -2.29%E -0.856%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 11:50
BetAnything2.68I 37.31%NM 35.50%EV -2.29%E -0.856%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.23%EV -4.63%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.27%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-03 11:50
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -3.39%E -1.28%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -9.93%E -3.89%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 11:55
Bovada2.64I 37.88%NM 35.54%EV -3.75%E -1.42%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.14%EV -5.69%E -2.13%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-03 11:54
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.49%EV -4.12%E -1.57%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.28%EV -3.92%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.23%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-03 11:50
Coolbet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.73%EV -4.48%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.38%EV -3.92%E -1.44%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.89%EV -2.64%E -0.766%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-03 11:30
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -4.48%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.96%EV -5.33%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:55
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -4.48%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.96%EV -5.33%E -1.99%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:55
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -4.48%E -1.71%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.45%E -2.84%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 11:55
GTbets2.60I 38.46%NM 36.54%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.67%EV -3.21%E -1.17%K -1.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.79%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-03 11:55
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.43%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-03 11:51
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-03 11:55
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 11:50
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 11:50
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 11:50
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 11:50
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -13.46%E -5.49%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -13.46%E -5.49%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 11:56
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -13.46%E -5.49%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 11:55
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -5.21%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -13.46%E -5.49%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-03 11:55
1xBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -5.94%E -2.30%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -8.87%E -3.44%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.62%EV -4.62%E -1.37%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-03 11:54
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-03 11:50
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-03 11:50
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -9.93%E -3.89%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-03 11:50
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.07%EV -9.93%E -3.89%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-03 11:50
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.33%EV -7.03%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.65%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -15.34%E -5.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-03 11:55
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.86%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 11:50
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.86%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-03 11:55
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.86%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 11:50
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.86%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-03 11:53
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -8.86%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.16%E -3.14%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 11:50
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.86%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 11:50
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.68%E -4.36%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-03 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -11.41%E -4.69%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -1.09%E -0.391%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:35
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -11.41%E -4.69%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -1.09%E -0.391%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:35
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -11.41%E -4.69%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -1.09%E -0.391%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:35
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -11.41%E -4.69%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -1.09%E -0.391%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -5.47%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-03 11:35
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -12.50%E -5.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -1.09%E -0.391%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 11:35
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -12.50%E -5.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -1.09%E -0.391%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 11:35
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -12.50%E -5.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -1.09%E -0.391%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 11:35
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -12.50%E -5.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -1.09%E -0.391%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 11:35
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -12.50%E -5.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -1.09%E -0.391%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 11:35
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -12.50%E -5.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -1.09%E -0.391%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 11:35
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -12.50%E -5.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -1.09%E -0.391%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -6.88%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-03 11:35
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -12.50%E -5.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.93%E -3.89%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -4.05%E -1.19%K -1.69%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-03 11:50
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 36.57%EV -12.50%E -5.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.69%E -4.68%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.32%EV -12.52%E -4.04%K -5.96%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 11:56
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -12.50%E -5.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.29%EV -15.22%E -6.34%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -18.73%E -6.50%K -9.96%G +0.000%18.1%2026-05-03 11:50
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -13.23%E -5.56%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.32%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-03 11:35
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.72%EV -13.60%E -5.74%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.78%EV -9.22%E -3.59%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.50%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-03 11:48
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -14.33%E -6.10%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 11:35
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -14.33%E -6.10%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -2.86%E -1.04%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-03 11:35
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.28%EV -14.33%E -6.10%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -13.46%E -5.49%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.96%EV -8.29%E -2.55%K -3.68%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-03 11:50
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -16.15%E -7.02%K -12.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -9.93%E -3.89%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -9.70%E -3.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-03 11:50
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.70%EV -16.88%E -7.40%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.29%EV -6.39%E -2.41%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.01%EV -11.11%E -3.53%K -5.17%G +0.000%13.3%2026-05-03 11:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.69%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.95%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.35%0.8%2026-05-03 11:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-05-03 11:56
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.74I 36.50%NM 36.17%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-05-03 11:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.0%2026-05-03 11:56
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 35.88%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.62%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.50%3.2%2026-05-03 11:56