Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmo FF v Kalmar FF

2026-10-12 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

53%

22%

24%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmo FF (Local)

Prediction 53.40%1.87fair odd

EV -6.02%

Edge -3.42%

Kelly -7.92%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.93%53.40%53.03%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.591.681.701.7662.89%59.44%58.82%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kalmar FF (Visit)

Prediction 22.42%4.46fair odd

EV +0.905%

Edge +0.201%

Kelly +0.258%

Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.77%22.42%22.71%23.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.754.074.114.5026.67%24.54%24.36%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.18%4.14fair odd

EV -2.57%

Edge -0.637%

Kelly -0.847%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

23.42%24.18%24.26%25.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.503.713.734.0328.57%26.92%26.85%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Malmo FF (Local): 53.40%; Kalmar FF (Visit): 22.42%; Draw: 24.18%. For Kalmar FF (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.46. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.50, producing a positive expected value of +0.905%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
FanDuel🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -8.69%E -5.08%K -12.23%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +0.905%E +0.201%K +0.258%G +0.002%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-22 07:37
SportsBet🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -9.22%E -5.42%K -13.17%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -1.34%E -0.304%K -0.393%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -10.54%E -2.85%K -3.91%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-09-22 07:52
Paddy Power🎯	1.67I 59.88%NM 54.07%EV -10.82%E -6.48%K -16.15%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 20.85%EV -2.91%E -0.671%K -0.873%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.08%EV -12.96%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%	10.8%	2026-09-22 07:38
1xBet🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.01%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -3.58%E -0.833%K -1.08%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -6.92%E -1.80%K -2.43%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-09-22 11:39
NordicBet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -6.55%E -3.74%K -8.73%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-09-22 09:58
Pinnacle🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.62%EV -6.02%E -3.42%K -7.92%G +0.000%	4.11I 24.33%NM 22.96%EV -7.84%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000%	4.03I 24.81%NM 23.42%EV -2.57%E -0.637%K -0.847%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-09-22 11:40
LeoVegas🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.27%EV -7.62%E -4.40%K -10.44%G +0.000%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -8.06%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -8.13%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-22 11:14
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 53.67%EV -12.42%E -7.58%K -19.41%G +0.000%	3.85I 25.97%NM 22.86%EV -13.67%E -3.55%K -4.80%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -9.34%E -2.49%K -3.39%G +0.000%	13.6%	2026-09-22 10:04
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 53.40%EV -15.09%E -9.49%K -25.58%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 22.34%EV -14.79%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 24.26%EV -15.38%E -4.39%K -6.15%G +0.000%	17.8%	2026-09-22 10:04
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 53.40%EV -15.09%E -9.49%K -25.58%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 22.34%EV -14.79%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 24.26%EV -15.38%E -4.39%K -6.15%G +0.000%	17.8%	2026-09-22 10:05
BoyleSports🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 51.93%EV -9.22%E -5.42%K -13.17%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -12.96%E -3.60%K -4.99%G +0.000%	13.3%	2026-09-22 07:24
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 53.31%EV -13.49%E -8.33%K -21.76%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.03%EV -15.91%E -4.24%K -5.79%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 23.66%EV -11.75%E -3.22%K -4.44%G +0.000%	15.8%	2026-09-22 10:05

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.