Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmo FF v Kalmar FF

Kickoff: 2026-10-12 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmo FF (Local)

Prediction 52.49%1.91fair odd
EV -3.95%
Edge -2.16%
Kelly -4.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.91%52.45%52.48%54.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.751.751.8362.11%57.03%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kalmar FF (Visit)

Prediction 22.38%4.47fair odd
EV +7.42%
Edge +1.55%
Kelly +1.95%
Growth +0.145%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.22%22.41%22.32%23.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.204.204.8026.67%23.82%23.81%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.13%3.98fair odd
EV -1.97%
Edge -0.506%
Kelly -0.681%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.29%25.13%25.19%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.643.603.9029.41%27.51%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Malmo FF (Local): 52.49%; Kalmar FF (Visit): 22.38%; Draw: 25.13%. For Kalmar FF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.47. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.23%EV -6.05%E -3.38%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV +7.42%E +1.55%K +1.95%G +0.145%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-12 16:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.23%EV -6.05%E -3.38%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV +7.42%E +1.55%K +1.95%G +0.145%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-12 16:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.23%EV -6.05%E -3.38%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV +7.42%E +1.55%K +1.95%G +0.145%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-12 16:39
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.67%E -4.98%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV +0.705%E +0.157%K +0.201%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-12 16:39
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.67%E -4.98%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV +0.705%E +0.157%K +0.201%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-12 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.67%E -4.98%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV +0.705%E +0.157%K +0.201%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-12 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.67%E -4.98%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV +0.705%E +0.157%K +0.201%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-12 16:39
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.67%E -4.98%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV +0.705%E +0.157%K +0.201%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-12 16:39
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.67%E -4.98%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV +0.705%E +0.157%K +0.201%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-12 16:40
Betsson🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.46%EV -5.00%E -2.76%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.38%EV -0.638%E -0.144%K -0.185%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.16%EV -8.76%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-12 16:34
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -7.10%E -4.01%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -1.53%E -0.348%K -0.451%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-12 16:39
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.15%EV -5.52%E -3.07%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.99%EV -2.65%E -0.610%K -0.792%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.85%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-12 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.14%EV -10.25%E -5.99%K -14.43%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.89%EV -2.65%E -0.610%K -0.792%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-12 16:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.24%EV -6.05%E -3.38%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.01%EV -3.10%E -0.716%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 16:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.24%EV -6.05%E -3.38%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.01%EV -3.10%E -0.716%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 16:45
BetAnything🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.24%EV -6.05%E -3.38%K -7.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.01%EV -3.10%E -0.716%K -0.931%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.75%EV -3.23%E -0.839%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-12 16:45
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.15%EV -6.57%E -3.69%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 21.95%EV -3.55%E -0.823%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-12 16:39
NordicBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -6.57%E -3.69%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.61%EV -3.77%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.18%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-12 16:35
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.96%EV -10.77%E -6.34%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.94%EV -3.77%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.10%EV -13.29%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-12 16:39
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.26%EV -11.82%E -7.04%K -17.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -3.77%E -0.877%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -13.29%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-12 16:39
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -3.95%E -2.16%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.38%EV -4.22%E -0.986%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.27%EV -4.74%E -1.25%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-12 16:45
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.53%EV -8.15%E -4.66%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 21.94%EV -4.44%E -1.04%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.53%EV -3.99%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.63%EV -6.57%E -3.69%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -4.89%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-12 16:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.08%EV -12.35%E -7.39%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.86%EV -4.89%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-12 16:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.08%EV -12.35%E -7.39%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.86%EV -4.89%E -1.15%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-12 16:39
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -5.52%E -3.07%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-12 16:44
Bovada🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.90%EV -5.00%E -2.76%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -8.26%E -2.26%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-12 16:55
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -7.10%E -4.01%K -9.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-12 16:33
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -8.67%E -4.98%K -11.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-12 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -10.77%E -6.34%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -6.01%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-12 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.14%EV -5.00%E -2.76%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -8.25%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-12 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -7.62%E -4.33%K -10.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -8.25%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-12 16:35
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -8.15%E -4.66%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.25%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-12 16:43
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.28%EV -8.15%E -4.66%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -8.25%E -2.01%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-12 16:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.48%EV -10.77%E -6.34%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.03%EV -9.37%E -2.31%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-12 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.52%E -3.07%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-12 16:45
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.52%E -3.07%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-12 16:49
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -5.52%E -3.07%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-12 16:44
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.52%E -3.07%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-12 16:49
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.52%E -3.07%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-12 16:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.52%E -3.07%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-12 16:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -5.52%E -3.07%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-12 16:49
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.80%EV -8.15%E -4.66%K -10.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.66%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-12 16:35
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.20%E -5.32%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-12 16:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.20%E -5.32%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-12 16:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -9.20%E -5.32%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-12 15:54
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -9.20%E -5.32%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-12 15:54
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -9.20%E -5.32%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-12 15:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -9.20%E -5.32%K -12.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-12 15:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 53.50%EV -15.50%E -9.63%K -25.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.53%EV -10.48%E -2.62%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.97%EV -13.29%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-12 16:34
Bet Right🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -7.10%E -4.01%K -9.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -11.60%E -2.94%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-12 16:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.42%EV -10.77%E -6.34%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -12.72%E -3.26%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -1.97%E -0.506%K -0.681%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-12 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -8.15%E -4.66%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -12.72%E -3.26%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-12 16:44
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.22%EV -9.20%E -5.32%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.72%EV -12.72%E -3.26%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-12 16:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.23%EV -11.82%E -7.04%K -17.39%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.23%EV -13.84%E -3.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -4.49%E -1.18%K -1.60%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-12 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -9.20%E -5.32%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -16.08%E -4.29%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -12.03%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-12 16:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-10-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-10-12 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.90%0.4%2026-10-12 16:55
Matchbook◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.81%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%0.7%2026-10-12 16:55
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-10-12 16:55