The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Malmo FF v Hammarby IF

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 13:00 UTC

Final: Malmo FF 1–2 Hammarby IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Malmo FF (Local)

Prediction 20.86%4.79fair odd
EV +2.22%
Edge +0.454%
Kelly +0.570%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.13%20.81%20.75%22.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.424.404.9025.64%22.61%22.73%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hammarby IF (Visit)

Prediction 56.00%1.79fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -5.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.68%56.11%56.07%58.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.641.641.7265.36%60.83%60.98%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.14%4.32fair odd
EV +1.81%
Edge +0.412%
Kelly +0.533%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.83%23.09%23.18%24.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.983.954.4026.67%25.11%25.32%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Malmo FF (Local): 20.86%; Hammarby IF (Visit): 56.00%; Draw: 23.14%. For Malmo FF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.79. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.22%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.88%EV +2.22%E +0.454%K +0.570%G +0.013%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.98%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.14%EV +1.81%E +0.412%K +0.533%G +0.010%2.7%2026-11-01 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.88%EV +2.22%E +0.454%K +0.570%G +0.013%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.98%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.14%EV +1.81%E +0.412%K +0.533%G +0.010%2.7%2026-11-01 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.88%EV +2.22%E +0.454%K +0.570%G +0.013%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.98%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.71%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.14%EV +1.81%E +0.412%K +0.533%G +0.010%2.7%2026-11-01 12:55
Betsson🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV +0.138%E +0.029%K +0.036%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.99%EV -8.37%E -2.11%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 12:55
Pinnacle🎯4.79I 20.88%NM 20.00%EV -0.070%E -0.015%K -0.019%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.35%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.65%EV -6.29%E -1.55%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-01 12:55
BetRivers🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.13%EV -1.95%E -0.414%K -0.526%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.39%EV -13.76%E -8.94%K -25.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-01 12:35
Coolbet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.71%EV -2.99%E -0.643%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.64%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.66%EV -1.66%E -0.391%K -0.511%G +0.000%3.9%2026-11-01 12:44
Bovada🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.22%EV -2.99%E -0.643%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -8.60%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 12:44
GTbets🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 20.02%EV -2.99%E -0.643%K -0.819%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.76%EV -8.16%E -4.98%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 23.22%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 12:35
DraftKings🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -4.03%E -0.877%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.19%EV -5.36%E -3.17%K -7.77%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.16%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-01 12:45
BetOnline.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -4.03%E -0.877%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -8.60%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -4.03%E -0.877%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -8.60%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 12:55
BetAnything🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -4.03%E -0.877%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -4.24%E -2.48%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -8.60%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 12:55
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -4.03%E -0.877%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.08%EV -8.72%E -5.35%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -4.03%E -0.877%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.08%EV -8.72%E -5.35%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -4.03%E -0.877%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.08%EV -8.72%E -5.35%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 12:55
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -4.03%E -0.877%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.08%EV -8.72%E -5.35%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 12:55
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -4.03%E -0.877%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.08%EV -8.72%E -5.35%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 12:55
FanDuel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -4.03%E -0.877%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-01 12:55
LeoVegas🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.08%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.79%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-01 12:55
BetUS🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.02%EV -3.68%E -2.14%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -8.60%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 12:50
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -6.12%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 12:30
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 20.88%EV -7.16%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.30%EV -5.92%E -3.52%K -8.71%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 12:45
1xBet🎯4.41I 22.68%NM 21.22%EV -8.00%E -1.81%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.75%EV -8.83%E -2.24%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 12:35
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.24%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.96%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 12:20
888sport🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -12.07%E -3.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 12:45
William Hill🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -12.07%E -3.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 12:45
888sport (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -12.07%E -3.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 12:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -12.07%E -3.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 12:45
Tipico (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.02%EV -10.40%E -6.50%K -17.34%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.25%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 12:55
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.71%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.92%EV -8.72%E -5.35%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.39%EV -9.84%E -6.11%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.98%EV -8.60%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 12:55
Grosvenor🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -8.21%E -1.87%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -10.40%E -6.50%K -17.34%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90%EV -8.60%E -2.18%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 12:55
PlayUp🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.84%EV -9.25%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.61%EV -8.72%E -5.35%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.55%EV -10.92%E -2.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 12:55
TABtouch🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.47%EV -9.25%E -2.13%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.71%EV -12.08%E -7.70%K -21.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.37%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 12:55
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -9.67%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -4.80%E -2.82%K -6.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -9.67%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.88%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 12:55
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 20.78%EV -9.67%E -2.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -12.07%E -3.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-01 12:55
LiveScore Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.59%EV -10.29%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.40%EV -12.08%E -7.70%K -21.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.00%EV -10.92%E -2.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-01 12:55
PMU (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 20.52%EV -10.29%E -2.39%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.56%EV -12.64%E -8.10%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.92%EV -10.92%E -2.84%K -3.83%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-01 12:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -11.34%E -2.67%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.29%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -1.66%E -0.391%K -0.511%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 12:30
Bet Right🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.61%EV -11.34%E -2.67%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.99%EV -8.16%E -4.98%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -5.13%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 12:50
betfred_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 12:30
betano_uk🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 12:54
Bet Victor🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.07%EV -7.60%E -4.61%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 12:54
Betr (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 12:50
Neds🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-01 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%EV -9.28%E -5.73%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-01 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.84%E -6.11%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 12:20
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.67%EV -9.84%E -6.11%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.98%EV -9.76%E -2.50%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 12:20
Betclic (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -12.38%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.44%EV -9.84%E -6.11%K -16.13%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.31%EV -11.38%E -2.97%K -4.02%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 12:30
Unibet (FR)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 20.81%EV -13.42%E -3.23%K -4.26%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.46%EV -14.32%E -9.36%K -27.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -12.07%E -3.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%15.8%2026-11-01 12:35
Winamax (DE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -14.47%E -3.53%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.25%EV -8.16%E -4.98%K -12.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 12:30
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.41%EV -16.55%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 53.68%EV -6.48%E -3.88%K -9.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -13.23%E -3.53%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 12:35
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -16.55%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 56.34%EV -13.20%E -8.52%K -24.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -7.44%E -1.86%K -2.48%G +0.000%14.5%2026-11-01 12:45
Winamax (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.25%EV -18.64%E -4.78%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 54.92%EV -11.52%E -7.29%K -19.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.83%EV -12.07%E -3.18%K -4.31%G +0.000%15.2%2026-11-01 12:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.24%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.07%0.8%2026-11-01 12:50
Smarkets◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.1%2026-11-01 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.1%2026-11-01 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.1%2026-11-01 12:55
Matchbook◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.11%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.97%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.92%1.5%2026-11-01 12:55

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