L’École des cotes

Malmo FF v GAIS

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 14:30 UTC

Score final : Malmo FF 3–1 GAIS

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Malmo FF (Local)

Prévision 52.88%1.89cote équitable
EV -1.64%
Avantage -0.884%
Kelly -1.91%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.93%53.04%52.90%55.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.601.731.751.8662.50%57.90%57.14%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

GAIS (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.09%4.53cote équitable
EV +1.63%
Avantage +0.355%
Kelly +0.454%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.77%22.05%22.07%23.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.184.204.6026.32%23.91%23.81%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.03%4.00cote équitable
EV +2.61%
Avantage +0.636%
Kelly +0.841%
Croissance +0.022%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.40%24.91%25.03%27.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.723.704.1032.26%26.86%27.03%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.91%EV -5.87%E -3.30%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%EV +1.63%E +0.355%K +0.454%G +0.007%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.84%EV +2.61%E +0.636%K +0.841%G +0.022%2.3%2026-04-12 14:10
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.05%EV -6.40%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.18%EV +1.63%E +0.355%K +0.454%G +0.007%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77%EV +2.61%E +0.636%K +0.841%G +0.022%2.6%2026-04-12 14:10
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 55.05%EV -6.40%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.18%EV +1.63%E +0.355%K +0.454%G +0.007%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.77%EV +2.61%E +0.636%K +0.841%G +0.022%2.6%2026-04-12 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.18%EV -9.05%E -5.26%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -0.575%E -0.128%K -0.164%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV +0.104%E +0.026%K +0.035%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 14:10
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 54.65%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.20%EV -0.354%E -0.079%K -0.101%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.15%EV -0.897%E -0.226%K -0.303%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-12 14:01
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -11.16%E -6.64%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -3.89%E -0.894%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -1.15%E -0.290%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 14:10
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -11.16%E -6.64%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -3.89%E -0.894%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -1.15%E -0.290%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 14:10
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -11.16%E -6.64%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -3.89%E -0.894%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -1.15%E -0.290%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 14:09
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -11.16%E -6.64%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -3.89%E -0.894%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -1.15%E -0.290%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 14:10
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -11.16%E -6.64%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -3.89%E -0.894%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -1.15%E -0.290%K -0.389%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 14:10
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -11.69%E -7.00%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -3.89%E -0.894%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -1.15%E -0.290%K -0.389%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 14:10
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.35%EV -11.69%E -7.00%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.25%EV -3.89%E -0.894%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.40%EV -1.15%E -0.290%K -0.389%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 14:10
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.33%EV -12.22%E -7.36%K -18.52%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -3.89%E -0.894%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -2.40%E -0.615%K -0.827%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:10
Bovada1.81I 55.25%NM 52.01%EV -4.29%E -2.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -11.62%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.45%EV -3.65%E -0.948%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 12:58
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -12.75%E -7.73%K -19.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -4.99%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -3.65%E -0.948%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:10
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -12.75%E -7.73%K -19.61%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -4.99%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.65%EV -3.65%E -0.948%K -1.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:10
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 51.48%EV -1.64%E -0.884%K -1.91%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.52%EV -10.08%E -2.48%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.00%EV -4.15%E -1.08%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-12 14:00
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.97%EV -6.40%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.48%EV -7.87%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.54%EV -4.40%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 14:10
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -5.87%E -3.30%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -7.20%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 14:09
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -6.93%E -3.94%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -6.10%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 14:09
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -6.93%E -3.94%K -9.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -6.10%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 14:10
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -9.58%E -5.60%K -13.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -0.575%E -0.128%K -0.164%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-12 14:09
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.96%EV -9.05%E -5.26%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -12.73%E -3.22%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 14:10
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -7.20%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-12 14:10
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.04%EV -15.39%E -9.62%K -25.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.48%EV -9.41%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-12 14:10
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -5.87%E -3.30%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -11.62%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 14:00
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -5.87%E -3.30%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -11.62%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-12 14:10
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -10.10%E -5.94%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -4.33%E -1.00%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.81%EV -7.40%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 14:10
Coolbet1.84I 54.35%NM 52.15%EV -2.70%E -1.47%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.56%EV -1.68%E -0.378%K -0.487%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.29%EV -8.65%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 14:09
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -3.89%E -0.894%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.65%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:10
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.38%EV -3.89%E -0.894%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -8.65%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-12 14:10
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.57%EV -11.16%E -6.64%K -16.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -16.04%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -8.65%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 14:10
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.41%EV -6.40%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -6.10%E -1.44%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 14:10
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.27%EV -6.40%E -3.62%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -7.20%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-12 14:09
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.20%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-12 14:10
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.62%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 14:01
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.62%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 14:00
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.62%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 14:01
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.62%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-12 14:01
PlayUp1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -9.05%E -5.26%K -12.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -9.41%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-12 14:10
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -10.10%E -5.94%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -7.20%E -1.72%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 14:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.54%EV -11.69%E -7.00%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -16.04%E -4.22%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-12 14:09
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -9.41%E -2.30%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -12.41%E -3.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-12 14:10
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.34%EV -10.10%E -5.94%K -14.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -11.62%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -12.41%E -3.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 14:01
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.63%EV -12.75%E -7.73%K -19.61%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.56%EV -14.94%E -3.88%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.81%EV -12.41%E -3.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-12 14:10
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 52.61%EV -13.28%E -8.10%K -20.75%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.53%EV -15.38%E -4.02%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 24.86%EV -13.16%E -3.79%K -5.33%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-12 14:08
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.83%E -3.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.91%E -4.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 14:01
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.83%E -3.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.91%E -4.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.83%E -3.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.91%E -4.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 14:00
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -7.46%E -4.26%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -13.83%E -3.55%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.91%E -4.39%K -6.21%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.12%EV -11.69%E -7.00%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.34%EV -11.62%E -2.91%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.54%EV -22.42%E -7.23%K -10.68%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-12 14:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-04-12 14:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-04-12 14:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-04-12 14:10
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.52%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-04-12 14:10
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.00%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.25%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.75%2.3%2026-04-12 14:10