L’École des cotes

Kalmar FF v Örgryte IS

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-05 12:00 UTC

Score final : Kalmar FF 3–0 Örgryte IS

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kalmar FF (Local)

Prévision 67.04%1.49cote équitable
EV -1.46%
Avantage -0.991%
Kelly -3.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.82%66.83%67.10%68.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.391.381.4775.76%72.14%72.46%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Örgryte IS (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.66%7.32cote équitable
EV +3.94%
Avantage +0.517%
Kelly +0.595%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 7.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.35%13.77%13.53%15.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.006.686.647.6116.67%14.98%15.05%13.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.31%5.18cote équitable
EV +1.35%
Avantage +0.258%
Kelly +0.319%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.00%19.40%19.36%22.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.654.605.2524.39%21.48%21.74%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.15%E -4.39%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.48%EV +3.94%E +0.517%K +0.595%G +0.023%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.70%EV -6.95%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 11:50
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.08%EV -4.81%E -3.39%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.35%EV +3.80%E +0.500%K +0.576%G +0.022%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -16.02%E -3.68%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 11:55
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.87%EV -2.80%E -1.93%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.93%EV +2.43%E +0.324%K +0.374%G +0.009%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20%EV -7.33%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 11:50
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.87%EV -2.80%E -1.93%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.93%EV +2.43%E +0.324%K +0.374%G +0.009%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20%EV -7.33%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 11:50
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 66.87%EV -2.80%E -1.93%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.93%EV +2.43%E +0.324%K +0.374%G +0.009%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20%EV -7.33%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 11:50
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.01%EV -7.49%E -5.43%K -19.71%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.22%EV -3.03%E -0.427%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -3.47%E -0.694%K -0.868%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 11:55
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.44%EV -5.48%E -3.89%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.19%EV -3.03%E -0.427%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -11.19%E -2.43%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 11:55
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.49%E -5.43%K -19.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV +1.35%E +0.258%K +0.319%G +0.004%5.8%2026-07-05 11:54
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -6.82%E -4.91%K -17.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.47%E -0.694%K -0.868%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 11:55
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.49%E -5.43%K -19.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -1.54%E -0.302%K -0.376%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 11:55
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.49%E -5.43%K -19.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -1.54%E -0.302%K -0.376%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 11:55
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.49%E -5.43%K -19.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -1.54%E -0.302%K -0.376%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 11:55
Bovada1.37I 72.99%NM 68.53%EV -8.16%E -5.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV +0.389%E +0.075%K +0.093%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 11:55
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -8.16%E -5.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -3.47%E -0.694%K -0.868%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 11:55
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -3.47%E -0.694%K -0.868%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 11:55
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.15%E -4.39%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 11:40
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -5.40%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 11:50
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.33%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 11:55
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.19%E -2.43%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-05 11:35
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 68.10%EV -6.15%E -4.39%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.99I 14.31%NM 13.64%EV -4.53%E -0.648%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.26%EV +0.775%E +0.149%K +0.184%G +0.001%4.9%2026-07-05 11:45
BetUS1.39I 71.94%NM 67.71%EV -6.82%E -4.91%K -17.48%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.84%EV -7.13%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -1.54%E -0.302%K -0.376%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 11:54
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.98%EV -8.16%E -5.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -7.13%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -9.26%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.81%E -3.39%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -7.81%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 11:50
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.81%E -3.39%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -7.81%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 11:50
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.19%EV -8.16%E -5.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -7.81%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -7.33%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 11:35
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -6.15%E -4.39%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -7.81%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -20.85%E -5.08%K -6.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-05 11:54
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.27%EV -1.46%E -0.991%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -8.49%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV -9.26%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 11:09
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 64.69%EV -2.80%E -1.93%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.23%EV -10.00%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -14.09%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 11:34
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -4.14%E -2.89%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -8.30%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 11:35
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -5.48%E -3.89%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -15.06%E -3.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -5.48%E -3.89%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -15.06%E -3.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 11:50
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -5.48%E -3.89%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -15.06%E -3.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 11:50
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -5.48%E -3.89%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -15.06%E -3.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 11:50
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.15%E -4.39%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 11:40
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -6.15%E -4.39%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -15.06%E -3.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-05 11:40
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.30%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 11:45
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.30%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 11:45
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.30%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 11:45
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -6.15%E -4.39%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -16.99%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-05 11:40
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.84%E -8.15%K -32.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-05 11:50
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 65.08%EV -7.49%E -5.43%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -12.59%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -16.99%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.84%E -8.15%K -32.85%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.85%EV -12.59%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.49%EV -12.16%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-05 11:54
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -9.50%E -7.04%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -14.64%E -2.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -3.47%E -0.694%K -0.868%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-05 11:55
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 64.87%EV -8.16%E -5.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.22%EV -14.64%E -2.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.91%EV -17.95%E -4.22%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-05 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 64.87%EV -8.16%E -5.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.22%EV -14.64%E -2.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.91%EV -17.95%E -4.22%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-05 11:50
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 63.82%EV -5.48%E -3.89%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -16.69%E -2.74%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -18.92%E -4.50%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-05 11:25
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 65.00%EV -11.51%E -8.72%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.07%EV -16.69%E -2.74%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.93%EV -20.85%E -5.08%K -6.72%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-05 11:50
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -6.15%E -4.39%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -18.05%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.06%E -3.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-05 11:35
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -18.05%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-05 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -18.05%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-05 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -18.05%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-05 11:55
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -18.05%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-05 11:55
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.46%EV -10.84%E -8.15%K -32.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.73%EV -18.05%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.81%EV -9.26%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-05 11:54
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -10.84%E -8.15%K -32.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -18.05%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-05 11:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.09%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.14%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-07-05 11:55
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.86%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-07-05 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.86%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-07-05 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.86%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-07-05 11:55
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.42%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.32%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.26%1.4%2026-07-05 11:55