La escuela de los momios

Kalmar FF v Örgryte IS

Inicio: 2026-07-05 12:00 UTC

Final: Kalmar FF 3–0 Örgryte IS

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kalmar FF (Local)

Predicción 67.04%1.49momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.991%
Kelly -3.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.82%66.83%67.10%68.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.391.381.4775.76%72.14%72.46%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Örgryte IS (Visitante)

Predicción 13.66%7.32momio equitativo
EV +3.94%
Ventaja +0.517%
Kelly +0.595%
Crecimiento +0.023%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.61

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.35%13.77%13.53%15.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.006.686.647.6116.67%14.98%15.05%13.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 19.31%5.18momio equitativo
EV +1.35%
Ventaja +0.258%
Kelly +0.319%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.00%19.40%19.36%22.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.104.654.605.2524.39%21.48%21.74%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.15%E -4.39%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.48%EV +3.94%E +0.517%K +0.595%G +0.023%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.70%EV -6.95%E -1.44%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 11:50
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.08%EV -4.81%E -3.39%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.35%EV +3.80%E +0.500%K +0.576%G +0.022%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.57%EV -16.02%E -3.68%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 11:55
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.87%EV -2.80%E -1.93%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.93%EV +2.43%E +0.324%K +0.374%G +0.009%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20%EV -7.33%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 11:50
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 66.87%EV -2.80%E -1.93%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.93%EV +2.43%E +0.324%K +0.374%G +0.009%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20%EV -7.33%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 11:50
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 66.87%EV -2.80%E -1.93%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.93%EV +2.43%E +0.324%K +0.374%G +0.009%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.20%EV -7.33%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 11:50
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46%NM 68.01%EV -7.49%E -5.43%K -19.71%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.22%EV -3.03%E -0.427%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -3.47%E -0.694%K -0.868%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 11:55
Betsson1.41I 70.92%NM 66.44%EV -5.48%E -3.89%K -13.36%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.19%EV -3.03%E -0.427%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -11.19%E -2.43%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 11:55
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.49%E -5.43%K -19.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV +1.35%E +0.258%K +0.319%G +0.004%5.8%2026-07-05 11:54
DraftKings1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -6.82%E -4.91%K -17.48%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -3.47%E -0.694%K -0.868%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 11:55
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.49%E -5.43%K -19.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -1.54%E -0.302%K -0.376%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 11:55
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.49%E -5.43%K -19.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -1.54%E -0.302%K -0.376%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 11:55
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.49%E -5.43%K -19.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -1.54%E -0.302%K -0.376%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 11:55
Bovada1.37I 72.99%NM 68.53%EV -8.16%E -5.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.06%EV +0.389%E +0.075%K +0.093%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 11:55
Unibet (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -8.16%E -5.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -3.47%E -0.694%K -0.868%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-05 11:55
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -3.47%E -0.694%K -0.868%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 11:55
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -6.15%E -4.39%K -15.37%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 11:40
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.94%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -5.40%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 11:50
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -7.33%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 11:55
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -4.40%E -0.628%K -0.733%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.19%E -2.43%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-05 11:35
Pinnacle1.40I 71.43%NM 68.10%EV -6.15%E -4.39%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.99I 14.31%NM 13.64%EV -4.53%E -0.648%K -0.757%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.26%EV +0.775%E +0.149%K +0.184%G +0.001%4.9%2026-07-05 11:45
BetUS1.39I 71.94%NM 67.71%EV -6.82%E -4.91%K -17.48%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.84%EV -7.13%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -1.54%E -0.302%K -0.376%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 11:54
Tipico (DE)1.37I 72.99%NM 66.98%EV -8.16%E -5.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -7.13%E -1.05%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.52%EV -9.26%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 11:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.81%E -3.39%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -7.81%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 11:50
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.81%E -3.39%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -7.81%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 11:50
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.19%EV -8.16%E -5.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.64%EV -7.81%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.18%EV -7.33%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-05 11:35
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.56%EV -6.15%E -4.39%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.39%EV -7.81%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -20.85%E -5.08%K -6.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-05 11:54
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.27%EV -1.46%E -0.991%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -8.49%E -1.27%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.41%EV -9.26%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 11:09
GTbets1.45I 68.97%NM 64.69%EV -2.80%E -1.93%K -6.22%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.23%EV -10.00%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.08%EV -14.09%E -3.17%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 11:34
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -4.14%E -2.89%K -9.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -8.30%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 11:35
Casumo1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -5.48%E -3.89%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -15.06%E -3.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -5.48%E -3.89%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -15.06%E -3.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 11:50
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -5.48%E -3.89%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -15.06%E -3.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 11:50
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 65.05%EV -5.48%E -3.89%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%EV -15.06%E -3.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 11:50
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.15%E -4.39%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 11:40
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -6.15%E -4.39%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -15.06%E -3.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-05 11:40
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.30%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 11:45
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.30%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 11:45
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.30%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-05 11:45
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.89%EV -6.15%E -4.39%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.13%EV -16.99%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-05 11:40
Paddy Power1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.84%E -8.15%K -32.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -11.22%E -1.73%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-05 11:50
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 65.08%EV -7.49%E -5.43%K -19.71%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.03%EV -12.59%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -16.99%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-05 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.84%E -8.15%K -32.85%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.85%EV -12.59%E -1.97%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.49%EV -12.16%E -2.67%K -3.43%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-05 11:54
Winamax (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.29%EV -9.50%E -7.04%K -27.14%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.54%EV -14.64%E -2.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.17%EV -3.47%E -0.694%K -0.868%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-05 11:55
Virgin Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 64.87%EV -8.16%E -5.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.22%EV -14.64%E -2.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.91%EV -17.95%E -4.22%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-05 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 64.87%EV -8.16%E -5.96%K -22.05%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.22%EV -14.64%E -2.34%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.91%EV -17.95%E -4.22%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-05 11:50
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 63.82%EV -5.48%E -3.89%K -13.36%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.75%EV -16.69%E -2.74%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.43%EV -18.92%E -4.50%K -5.91%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-05 11:25
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 65.00%EV -11.51%E -8.72%K -35.97%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.07%EV -16.69%E -2.74%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.93%EV -20.85%E -5.08%K -6.72%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-05 11:50
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 64.45%EV -6.15%E -4.39%K -15.37%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -18.05%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.51%EV -15.06%E -3.42%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-05 11:35
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -18.05%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-05 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -18.05%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-05 11:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -18.05%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-05 11:55
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -8.83%E -6.49%K -24.53%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -18.05%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-05 11:55
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.46%EV -10.84%E -8.15%K -32.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.73%EV -18.05%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.81%EV -9.26%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-05 11:54
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 65.91%EV -10.84%E -8.15%K -32.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.61%EV -18.05%E -3.01%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-05 11:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 70.09%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.14%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.77%0.5%2026-07-05 11:55
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.86%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-07-05 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.86%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-07-05 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.86%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.04%0.8%2026-07-05 11:55
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%NM 69.42%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.32%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.26%1.4%2026-07-05 11:55