L’École des cotes

Kalmar FF v IFK Goteborg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 17:00 UTC

Score final : Kalmar FF 1–1 IFK Goteborg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kalmar FF (Local)

Prévision 40.15%2.49cote équitable
EV +2.37%
Avantage +0.931%
Kelly +1.53%
Croissance +0.036%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.24%39.97%40.15%40.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.362.322.5546.51%42.38%43.10%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IFK Goteborg (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.01%3.12cote équitable
EV -0.769%
Avantage -0.248%
Kelly -0.366%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.53%32.14%32.00%34.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.822.803.1039.22%35.51%35.71%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.84%3.59cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -0.728%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.67%27.89%27.85%29.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.253.5034.72%30.66%30.77%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -13.57%E -5.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:25
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -13.57%E -5.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:25
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -13.57%E -5.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:24
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -13.57%E -5.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:24
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -13.57%E -5.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:25
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -13.57%E -5.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:25
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -13.57%E -5.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:25
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -13.57%E -5.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:24
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -13.57%E -5.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:24
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -15.17%E -5.73%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 16:24
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -15.17%E -5.73%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 16:25
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV +0.366%E +0.146%K +0.244%G +0.001%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -15.17%E -5.73%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:24
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.63%EV -0.437%E -0.176%K -0.295%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -15.81%E -6.01%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -12.29%E -3.90%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 16:25
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.63%EV -0.437%E -0.176%K -0.295%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -15.81%E -6.01%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -12.29%E -3.90%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 16:24
Coolbet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.81%EV -2.85%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.66%EV -5.57%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -2.55%E -0.728%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 16:39
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.66%EV -3.65%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -18.37%E -7.21%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -15.08%E -4.94%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 16:25
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -4.45%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:44
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.50%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.00%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.50%EV -2.83%E -0.810%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 16:50
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 39.41%EV -5.25%E -2.23%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.41%EV -8.13%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:39
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 16:39
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -7.81%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:44
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -7.81%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:45
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -5.57%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 16:33
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 16:25
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.97%EV -6.06%E -2.59%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.36%EV -7.49%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.67%EV -5.89%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:55
Bovada2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -6.46%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.06%EV -6.21%E -2.12%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:53
BetUS2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -6.46%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.06%EV -6.21%E -2.12%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:49
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -0.769%E -0.248%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 16:29
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -0.769%E -0.248%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 16:30
BetAnything2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -0.769%E -0.248%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 16:29
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.57%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 16:50
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:29
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.77%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.55%E -0.728%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:39
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.37%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:40
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.37%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:40
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:54
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:54
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:54
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.77%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 16:45
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.94%EV -8.13%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 16:34
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.37%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.37%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.37%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:25
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.37%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:25
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.37%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:24
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -8.47%E -3.71%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -10.37%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 16:45
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.81%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 16:29
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.37%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:45
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 16:39
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.78%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.70%EV -16.77%E -6.45%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -19.81%E -6.88%K -10.54%G +0.000%17.6%2026-04-23 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -11.68%E -5.31%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -13.57%E -5.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 16:44
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.43%EV -12.88%E -5.94%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.67%EV -11.74%E -3.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 16:45
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -13.69%E -6.37%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 16:44
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -13.69%E -6.37%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 16:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%0.7%2026-04-23 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-04-23 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-04-23 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-04-23 16:40
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10%1.7%2026-04-23 16:50