La escuela de los momios

Kalmar FF v IFK Goteborg

Inicio: 2026-04-23 17:00 UTC

Final: Kalmar FF 1–1 IFK Goteborg

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Kalmar FF (Local)

Predicción 40.15%2.49momio equitativo
EV +2.37%
Ventaja +0.931%
Kelly +1.53%
Crecimiento +0.036%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.24%39.97%40.15%40.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.362.322.5546.51%42.38%43.10%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IFK Goteborg (Visitante)

Predicción 32.01%3.12momio equitativo
EV -0.769%
Ventaja -0.248%
Kelly -0.366%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.53%32.14%32.00%34.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.552.822.803.1039.22%35.51%35.71%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.84%3.59momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -0.728%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.67%27.89%27.85%29.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.253.5034.72%30.66%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -13.57%E -5.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:25
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -13.57%E -5.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:25
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -13.57%E -5.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:24
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -13.57%E -5.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 16:24
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -13.57%E -5.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:25
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -13.57%E -5.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:25
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -13.57%E -5.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:25
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -13.57%E -5.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:24
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -13.57%E -5.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:24
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -15.17%E -5.73%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 16:24
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV +2.37%E +0.931%K +1.53%G +0.036%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -15.17%E -5.73%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-23 16:25
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV +0.366%E +0.146%K +0.244%G +0.001%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -15.17%E -5.73%K -9.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:24
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.63%EV -0.437%E -0.176%K -0.295%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -15.81%E -6.01%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -12.29%E -3.90%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 16:25
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 36.63%EV -0.437%E -0.176%K -0.295%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.54%EV -15.81%E -6.01%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -12.29%E -3.90%K -5.72%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 16:24
Coolbet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.81%EV -2.85%E -1.18%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.66%EV -5.57%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -2.55%E -0.728%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-23 16:39
PMU (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.66%EV -3.65%E -1.52%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.50%EV -18.37%E -7.21%K -11.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.84%EV -15.08%E -4.94%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-23 16:25
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -4.45%E -1.87%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.07%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 16:44
Pinnacle2.37I 42.19%NM 40.50%EV -4.85%E -2.05%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.00%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.50%EV -2.83%E -0.810%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 16:50
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 39.41%EV -5.25%E -2.23%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.41%EV -8.13%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 16:39
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 16:39
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -7.81%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:44
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -7.81%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:45
FanDuel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.75%EV -5.57%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 16:33
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -5.66%E -2.41%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 16:25
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 39.97%EV -6.06%E -2.59%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.36%EV -7.49%E -2.59%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.67%EV -5.89%E -1.74%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:55
Bovada2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -6.46%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.06%EV -6.21%E -2.12%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:53
BetUS2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -6.46%E -2.77%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.06%EV -6.21%E -2.12%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 16:49
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -0.769%E -0.248%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 16:29
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -0.769%E -0.248%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 16:30
BetAnything2.32I 43.10%NM 40.79%EV -6.86%E -2.96%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.53%EV -0.769%E -0.248%K -0.366%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 16:29
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.57%E -1.89%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 16:50
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -3.97%E -1.32%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:29
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.77%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -2.55%E -0.728%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 16:39
betfred_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.37%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:40
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -10.37%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:40
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:54
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:54
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.99%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -7.17%E -2.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 16:54
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.77%E -3.08%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 16:45
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.94%EV -8.13%E -2.83%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 16:34
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.37%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.37%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.37%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:25
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.37%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:25
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -7.66%E -3.33%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -10.37%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-23 16:24
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.75%EV -8.47%E -3.71%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.37%EV -10.37%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 16:45
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.81%E -2.71%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.12%E -2.46%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 16:29
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -10.37%E -3.70%K -5.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -6.72%E -2.01%K -2.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:45
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -5.33%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 16:39
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -13.68%E -4.41%K -6.52%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 37.78%EV -9.67%E -4.30%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.70%EV -16.77%E -6.45%K -10.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.52%EV -19.81%E -6.88%K -10.54%G +0.000%17.6%2026-04-23 16:30
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -11.68%E -5.31%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -13.57%E -5.03%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -9.51%E -2.93%K -4.23%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 16:44
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.43%EV -12.88%E -5.94%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.67%EV -11.74%E -3.70%K -5.41%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 16:45
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -13.69%E -6.37%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 16:44
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -13.69%E -6.37%K -11.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -11.97%E -4.35%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -10.90%E -3.41%K -4.95%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 16:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.02%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%0.7%2026-04-23 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-04-23 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-04-23 16:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.22%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.91%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.87%1.1%2026-04-23 16:40
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.66%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.24%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.10%1.7%2026-04-23 16:50