The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kalmar FF v GAIS

Kickoff: 2026-10-29 18:00 UTC

Final: Kalmar FF 0–1 GAIS

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kalmar FF (Local)

Prediction 40.97%2.44fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.16%41.01%40.96%42.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.242.252.3750.00%44.62%44.44%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

GAIS (Visit)

Prediction 30.90%3.24fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.345%
Kelly -0.502%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.54%30.98%30.79%32.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.982.983.2035.71%33.54%33.61%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.12%3.56fair odd
EV -0.172%
Edge -0.048%
Kelly -0.067%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.75%28.01%28.25%29.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.283.303.5532.26%30.53%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kalmar FF (Local): 40.97%; GAIS (Visit): 30.90%; Draw: 28.12%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.55, with an expected value of -0.172%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.58%EV -2.89%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.54%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.88%EV -2.98%E -0.865%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-29 11:54
Pinnacle🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.75%EV -3.27%E -1.04%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.30%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-29 17:55
Betsson🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.65%EV -4.12%E -1.76%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.78%EV -4.50%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.57%EV -6.36%E -1.91%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-29 14:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.94%EV -4.53%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.54%EV -1.10%E -0.345%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.53%EV -0.172%E -0.048%K -0.067%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-29 17:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.94%EV -4.53%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.54%EV -1.10%E -0.345%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.53%EV -0.172%E -0.048%K -0.067%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-29 17:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.94%EV -4.53%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.54%EV -1.10%E -0.345%K -0.502%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.53%EV -0.172%E -0.048%K -0.067%G +0.000%2.3%2026-10-29 17:40
GTbets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.24%EV -4.53%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.78%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-29 11:34
Bovada🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.38%EV -4.94%E -2.13%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-29 17:55
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-29 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-29 12:49
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.97%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-29 12:50
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-29 17:30
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-29 17:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-29 12:00
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-29 14:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.75%EV -6.58%E -2.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.41%EV -3.27%E -1.04%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.83%EV -3.83%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.75%EV -6.58%E -2.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.41%EV -3.27%E -1.04%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.83%EV -3.83%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 17:10
BetAnything🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.75%EV -6.58%E -2.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.41%EV -3.27%E -1.04%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.83%EV -3.83%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-29 17:10
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.20%E -1.35%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-29 17:59
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-29 12:00
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.99%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-29 11:59
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-29 17:55
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-29 17:35
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-29 17:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-29 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.29%E -2.43%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-29 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.92%E -4.18%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-29 11:59
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -10.99%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-29 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.25%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.45%EV -10.99%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-29 17:55
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.42%E -3.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-29 17:35
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -8.63%E -3.87%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 17:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -8.63%E -3.87%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -8.63%E -3.87%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 17:40
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -8.63%E -3.87%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 17:40
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.72%EV -8.63%E -3.87%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.74%E -1.88%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -5.80%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-29 17:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -11.92%E -4.18%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -4.39%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-29 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-29 14:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -7.20%E -2.18%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-29 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.99%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-29 17:30
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.99%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-29 17:30
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.88%EV -10.99%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.69%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-29 17:35
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -11.30%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-29 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.96%EV -11.30%E -3.94%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-29 17:30
Grosvenor🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.50%EV -10.68%E -4.90%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.67%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.84%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-29 17:40
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.61%EV -11.09%E -5.11%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.78%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-29 17:40
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.54%EV -11.49%E -5.32%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -8.83%E -2.99%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.04%EV -10.01%E -3.13%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-29 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.39%EV -11.90%E -5.54%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 30.37%EV -9.45%E -3.22%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%EV -11.42%E -3.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-29 17:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -12.31%E -5.75%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -11.42%E -3.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-29 17:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -12.31%E -5.75%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -11.42%E -3.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-29 17:40
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.73%EV -13.95%E -6.64%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.30%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -8.61%E -2.65%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-29 17:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.38%EV -13.95%E -6.64%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.03%EV -13.47%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.59%EV -11.42%E -3.63%K -5.31%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-29 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.83%EV -18.05%E -9.03%K -18.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.54%EV -10.38%E -3.58%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.63%EV -12.83%E -4.14%K -6.11%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-29 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.42I 41.32%NM 41.02%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%0.7%2026-10-29 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-10-29 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%0.9%2026-10-29 17:55
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.86%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.90%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.25%1.1%2026-10-29 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.82%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.82%1.2%2026-10-29 17:55

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