L’École des cotes

IK Sirius v Västerås SK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 13:02 UTC

Score final : IK Sirius 4–1 Västerås SK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IK Sirius (Local)

Prévision 61.13%1.64cote équitable
EV -4.03%
Avantage -2.57%
Kelly -7.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.35%61.22%61.21%64.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.501.501.5772.46%66.81%66.67%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Västerås SK (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.50%6.06cote équitable
EV +11.37%
Avantage +1.68%
Kelly +1.98%
Croissance +0.225%

avec la cote maximale 6.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.39%16.39%16.46%17.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.825.756.7520.00%17.19%17.39%14.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.38%4.47cote équitable
EV +2.93%
Avantage +0.636%
Kelly +0.813%
Croissance +0.024%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.31%22.40%22.33%24.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.134.204.6028.57%24.20%23.81%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Casumo1.53I 65.36%NM 64.13%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.54%EV +11.37%E +1.68%K +1.98%G +0.225%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.33%EV +2.93%E +0.636%K +0.813%G +0.024%1.9%2026-04-18 13:00
Svenska Spel1.53I 65.36%NM 64.13%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.54%EV +11.37%E +1.68%K +1.98%G +0.225%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.33%EV +2.93%E +0.636%K +0.813%G +0.024%1.9%2026-04-18 13:01
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.13%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.54%EV +11.37%E +1.68%K +1.98%G +0.225%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.33%EV +2.93%E +0.636%K +0.813%G +0.024%1.9%2026-04-18 13:01
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.47%EV +11.37%E +1.68%K +1.98%G +0.225%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.70%EV +0.688%E +0.153%K +0.196%G +0.001%2.4%2026-04-18 12:59
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.93%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV +7.24%E +1.11%K +1.32%G +0.095%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV +0.688%E +0.153%K +0.196%G +0.001%4.3%2026-04-18 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.93%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.75%EV +7.24%E +1.11%K +1.32%G +0.095%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.31%EV +0.688%E +0.153%K +0.196%G +0.001%4.3%2026-04-18 13:01
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.78%EV -8.92%E -5.99%K -18.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.62%EV +7.24%E +1.11%K +1.32%G +0.095%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -1.55%E -0.352%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 13:00
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -9.53%E -6.44%K -19.86%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV +7.24%E +1.11%K +1.32%G +0.095%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -1.55%E -0.352%K -0.456%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-18 13:00
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.95%EV -11.37%E -7.84%K -25.26%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +5.59%E +0.874%K +1.04%G +0.058%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -3.79%E -0.881%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.95%EV -11.37%E -7.84%K -25.26%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +5.59%E +0.874%K +1.04%G +0.058%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -3.79%E -0.881%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.95%EV -11.37%E -7.84%K -25.26%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +5.59%E +0.874%K +1.04%G +0.058%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -3.79%E -0.881%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:00
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 63.95%EV -11.37%E -7.84%K -25.26%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.49%EV +5.59%E +0.874%K +1.04%G +0.058%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -3.79%E -0.881%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 13:00
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 63.95%EV -11.98%E -8.32%K -27.22%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.39%EV +5.59%E +0.874%K +1.04%G +0.058%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%EV -4.91%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:56
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 63.89%EV -12.59%E -8.80%K -29.28%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.62%EV +3.12%E +0.499%K +0.594%G +0.018%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.50%EV -4.91%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-18 13:00
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.57%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.11%EV -1.01%E -0.168%K -0.202%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.32%EV -3.12%E -0.720%K -0.936%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 13:01
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.39%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.60%EV -1.01%E -0.168%K -0.202%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -4.91%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-18 12:59
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.86%EV -9.53%E -6.44%K -19.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.51%EV -1.01%E -0.168%K -0.202%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.64%EV -3.79%E -0.881%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-18 13:00
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -1.01%E -0.168%K -0.202%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.50%E -2.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 12:59
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -11.37%E -7.84%K -25.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -1.01%E -0.168%K -0.202%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -3.79%E -0.881%K -1.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-18 13:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 63.18%EV -11.98%E -8.32%K -27.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.16%EV -1.01%E -0.168%K -0.202%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.02%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 13:00
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.83%EV -15.65%E -11.34%K -41.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.68%EV -1.01%E -0.168%K -0.202%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.49%EV -8.26%E -2.02%K -2.67%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 13:00
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.40%EV -4.64%E -2.98%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.37%EV -3.48%E -0.595%K -0.718%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.22%EV -3.56%E -0.827%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 12:59
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV -4.31%E -0.743%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -6.02%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -5.87%E -3.81%K -10.86%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.27%EV -4.31%E -0.743%K -0.897%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -6.02%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 13:00
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.13%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -4.91%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:58
BetUS1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.13%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -4.91%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:59
BetAnything1.53I 65.36%NM 61.50%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -5.13%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -4.91%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:59
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -5.13%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.26%E -2.02%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 12:53
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.13%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -5.13%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.50%E -2.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 12:59
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -5.13%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -12.74%E -3.27%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 13:00
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.77%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.85%EV -5.13%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -12.74%E -3.27%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 12:59
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.09%EV -9.53%E -6.44%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -5.13%E -0.893%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -12.74%E -3.27%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 12:59
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -9.26%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -3.79%E -0.881%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 13:01
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.53%EV -4.03%E -2.57%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -9.26%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.48%EV -10.95%E -2.75%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 12:59
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -9.26%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.02%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.88%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.94%EV -9.26%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.02%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-18 13:00
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.86%EV -6.48%E -4.23%K -12.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.65%EV -9.26%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -12.74%E -3.27%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -9.26%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.74%E -3.27%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 13:01
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -9.26%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -12.74%E -3.27%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 13:00
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 61.17%EV -10.14%E -6.90%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.35%EV -9.26%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -10.50%E -2.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-18 13:00
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.98%E -8.32%K -27.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -9.26%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.20%EV -10.50%E -2.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-18 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.76%EV -11.98%E -8.32%K -27.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -9.26%E -1.68%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -21.69%E -6.20%K -8.67%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 13:00
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.74%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 16.97%EV -11.73%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -12.74%E -3.27%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 13:01
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 59.74%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 16.97%EV -11.73%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -12.74%E -3.27%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-18 13:01
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.31%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -12.56%E -2.37%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -10.50%E -2.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-18 13:01
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.37%EV -7.09%E -4.66%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -13.38%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -13.86%E -3.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.38%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.74%E -3.27%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 12:59
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.38%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.74%E -3.27%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.38%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.74%E -3.27%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -13.38%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -12.74%E -3.27%K -4.39%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 13:01
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.83%EV -9.53%E -6.44%K -19.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.87%EV -13.38%E -2.55%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.30%EV -14.97%E -3.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-18 13:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -8.31%E -5.54%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -17.51%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -10.50%E -2.62%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-18 13:00
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.35%EV -8.92%E -5.99%K -18.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.69%EV -17.51%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -13.86%E -3.60%K -4.86%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-18 13:01
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.99%EV -11.98%E -8.32%K -27.22%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.28%EV -17.51%E -3.50%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%EV -14.97%E -3.94%K -5.35%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-18 12:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-04-18 13:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-04-18 13:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.02%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.1%2026-04-18 13:01
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 63.32%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%1.9%2026-04-18 13:01
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.57%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.18%2.5%2026-04-18 13:01