L’École des cotes

IK Sirius v Örgryte IS

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-11 17:00 UTC

Score final : IK Sirius 2–0 Örgryte IS

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IK Sirius (Local)

Prévision 77.91%1.28cote équitable
EV -1.84%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -7.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.20%77.92%77.97%80.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.191.191.2689.29%84.24%84.39%79.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Örgryte IS (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.62%11.60cote équitable
EV +29.32%
Avantage +1.95%
Kelly +2.09%
Croissance +0.614%

avec la cote maximale 15.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.23%8.52%8.56%9.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
9.0011.1111.0015.0011.11%9.00%9.09%6.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 13.47%7.42cote équitable
EV +9.12%
Avantage +1.13%
Kelly +1.29%
Croissance +0.117%

avec la cote maximale 8.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.76%13.57%13.47%16.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.706.608.1018.18%14.93%15.15%12.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet1.19I 84.03%NM 78.47%EV -7.29%E -6.13%K -38.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +29.32%E +1.95%K +2.09%G +0.614%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -17.82%E -2.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 16:54
Betsson1.19I 84.03%NM 78.47%EV -7.29%E -6.13%K -38.37%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +29.32%E +1.95%K +2.09%G +0.614%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.31%EV -17.82%E -2.92%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-11 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -3.40%E -2.74%K -14.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.50%EV +12.08%E +0.929%K +1.01%G +0.122%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%EV -5.70%E -0.814%K -0.949%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-11 16:55
Svenska Spel1.24I 80.65%NM 78.58%EV -3.40%E -2.74%K -14.15%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.50%EV +12.08%E +0.929%K +1.01%G +0.122%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.92%EV -5.70%E -0.814%K -0.949%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-11 16:55
PlayUp1.19I 84.03%NM 77.01%EV -7.29%E -6.13%K -38.37%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.05%EV +12.08%E +0.929%K +1.01%G +0.122%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -22.54%E -3.92%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-11 16:55
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 77.67%EV -1.84%E -1.46%K -7.07%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.83%EV +7.77%E +0.621%K +0.675%G +0.052%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.50%EV -9.06%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-11 16:34
Unibet (NL)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.79%EV -8.07%E -6.84%K -44.83%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.44%EV +7.77%E +0.621%K +0.675%G +0.052%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -9.06%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-11 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.98%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.93%EV +3.46%E +0.288%K +0.314%G +0.011%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.09%EV -9.06%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-11 16:24
Unibet (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 78.79%EV -7.29%E -6.13%K -38.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.81%EV +3.46%E +0.288%K +0.314%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -5.70%E -0.814%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 16:54
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -7.29%E -6.13%K -38.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +3.46%E +0.288%K +0.314%G +0.011%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -12.43%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 16:35
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -7.29%E -6.13%K -38.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +3.46%E +0.288%K +0.314%G +0.011%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -12.43%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 16:35
Casumo1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -7.29%E -6.13%K -38.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +3.46%E +0.288%K +0.314%G +0.011%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -12.43%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 16:34
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -7.29%E -6.13%K -38.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +3.46%E +0.288%K +0.314%G +0.011%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -12.43%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 16:34
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -7.29%E -6.13%K -38.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +3.46%E +0.288%K +0.314%G +0.011%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -12.43%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 16:34
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 77.99%EV -7.29%E -6.13%K -38.37%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV +3.46%E +0.288%K +0.314%G +0.011%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.28%EV -12.43%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-11 16:35
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 79.36%EV -10.41%E -9.05%K -69.38%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.61%EV +3.46%E +0.288%K +0.314%G +0.011%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.70%E -0.814%K -0.949%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-11 16:53
LiveScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 78.42%EV -9.63%E -8.30%K -60.18%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV +3.46%E +0.288%K +0.314%G +0.011%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -12.43%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-11 16:55
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.77%EV -4.95%E -4.06%K -22.52%G +0.000%11.73I 8.53%NM 8.19%EV +1.13%E +0.096%K +0.105%G +0.001%7.37I 13.57%NM 13.04%EV -0.711%E -0.096%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 16:54
1xBet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.03%EV -7.29%E -6.13%K -38.37%G +0.000%11.60I 8.62%NM 8.21%EV +0.007%E +0.001%K +0.001%G +0.000%8.10I 12.35%NM 11.76%EV +9.12%E +1.13%K +1.29%G +0.117%5.0%2026-05-11 16:55
TABtouch1.18I 84.75%NM 77.70%EV -8.07%E -6.84%K -44.83%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.97%EV -0.855%E -0.074%K -0.081%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.33%EV -13.78%E -2.15%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-11 16:24
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 77.85%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.05%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.92%EV -0.855%E -0.074%K -0.081%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -13.78%E -2.15%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-11 16:35
PMU (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 78.33%EV -12.74%E -11.38%K -106.20%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.63%EV -0.855%E -0.074%K -0.081%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.04%EV -15.80%E -2.53%K -3.01%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-11 16:55
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 77.95%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.57%EV -5.17%E -0.470%K -0.517%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -5.70%E -0.814%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-11 16:54
BetMGM1.20I 83.33%NM 78.46%EV -6.51%E -5.43%K -32.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -5.17%E -0.470%K -0.517%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.99%EV -2.33%E -0.321%K -0.372%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-11 16:54
Betway1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -8.07%E -6.84%K -44.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -5.17%E -0.470%K -0.517%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV +1.04%E +0.139%K +0.160%G +0.002%7.2%2026-05-11 16:54
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.71%EV -6.51%E -5.43%K -32.56%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -5.17%E -0.470%K -0.517%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -9.06%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-11 16:55
888sport1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -8.07%E -6.84%K -44.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -5.17%E -0.470%K -0.517%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -5.70%E -0.814%K -0.949%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 16:54
William Hill1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -8.07%E -6.84%K -44.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -5.17%E -0.470%K -0.517%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -5.70%E -0.814%K -0.949%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 16:54
888sport (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -8.07%E -6.84%K -44.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -5.17%E -0.470%K -0.517%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -5.70%E -0.814%K -0.949%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 16:54
Mr Green (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -8.07%E -6.84%K -44.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -5.17%E -0.470%K -0.517%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -5.70%E -0.814%K -0.949%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 16:55
Bet Right1.19I 84.03%NM 77.44%EV -7.29%E -6.13%K -38.37%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.38%EV -5.17%E -0.470%K -0.517%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.18%EV -12.43%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-11 16:55
betfred_uk1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -8.07%E -6.84%K -44.83%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -5.17%E -0.470%K -0.517%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -12.43%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-11 16:54
SportsBet1.16I 86.21%NM 77.89%EV -9.63%E -8.30%K -60.18%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.21%EV -5.17%E -0.470%K -0.517%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -12.43%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-11 16:55
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 76.45%EV -1.84%E -1.46%K -7.07%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -9.48%E -0.902%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.38%EV -9.74%E -1.45%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-11 16:13
Bovada1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.95%EV -9.48%E -0.902%K -0.997%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -5.70%E -0.814%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-11 16:52
Tipico (DE)1.18I 84.75%NM 77.77%EV -8.07%E -6.84%K -44.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -9.48%E -0.902%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.49%EV -8.39%E -1.23%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-11 16:54
FanDuel1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.05%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV -9.48%E -0.902%K -0.997%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -5.70%E -0.814%K -0.949%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-11 16:54
Betr (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.85%EV -8.07%E -6.84%K -44.83%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.64%EV -9.48%E -0.902%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -15.80%E -2.53%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-11 16:54
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 77.73%EV -10.41%E -9.05%K -69.38%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.51%EV -9.48%E -0.902%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -12.43%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-11 16:55
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 77.43%EV -4.17%E -3.39%K -18.15%G +0.000%10.34I 9.67%NM 9.21%EV -10.86%E -1.05%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.36%EV -3.94%E -0.553%K -0.643%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 16:55
BetOnline.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 77.29%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -13.79%E -1.38%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -5.70%E -0.814%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 16:55
LowVig.ag1.21I 82.64%NM 77.29%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -13.79%E -1.38%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -5.70%E -0.814%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 16:55
BetUS1.21I 82.64%NM 77.29%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -13.79%E -1.38%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -5.70%E -0.814%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 16:54
BetAnything1.21I 82.64%NM 77.29%EV -5.73%E -4.74%K -27.30%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -13.79%E -1.38%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -5.70%E -0.814%K -0.949%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-11 16:54
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 77.05%EV -6.51%E -5.43%K -32.56%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -13.79%E -1.38%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.70%EV -9.06%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-11 16:55
Winamax (DE)1.16I 86.21%NM 78.37%EV -9.63%E -8.30%K -60.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -13.79%E -1.38%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.54%EV -2.33%E -0.321%K -0.372%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-11 16:54
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 77.56%EV -11.19%E -9.81%K -79.90%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.84%EV -13.79%E -1.38%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -12.43%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-11 16:53
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.17I 85.47%NM 75.20%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.05%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.80%EV -13.79%E -1.38%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.00%EV -25.90%E -4.71%K -5.76%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-11 16:54
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 77.36%EV -12.74%E -11.38%K -106.20%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.66%EV -13.79%E -1.38%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 13.97%EV -16.47%E -2.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-11 16:54
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -8.07%E -6.84%K -44.83%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -18.10%E -1.91%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -12.43%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-11 16:54
Neds1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -8.07%E -6.84%K -44.83%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -18.10%E -1.91%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -12.43%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-11 16:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -8.07%E -6.84%K -44.83%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -18.10%E -1.91%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -12.43%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-11 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -8.07%E -6.84%K -44.83%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -18.10%E -1.91%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -12.43%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-11 16:54
BoyleSports1.17I 85.47%NM 76.74%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -18.10%E -1.91%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -12.43%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-11 16:55
Sky Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -8.85%E -7.56%K -52.05%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -18.10%E -1.91%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.29%EV -15.80%E -2.53%K -3.01%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-11 16:54
Winamax (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 76.80%EV -11.19%E -9.81%K -79.90%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.73%EV -22.41%E -2.49%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.47%EV -12.43%E -1.91%K -2.26%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-11 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.74%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41%0.7%2026-05-11 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.74%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41%0.7%2026-05-11 16:54
Matchbook1.23I 81.30%NM 80.74%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.85%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.41%0.7%2026-05-11 16:55
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 80.54%14.01I 7.14%NM 7.07%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%0.9%2026-05-11 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.23I 81.30%NM 80.54%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.08%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%0.9%2026-05-11 16:54