A Escola das Odds

IK Sirius v Kalmar FF

Início: 2026-05-02 13:00 UTC

Final: IK Sirius 3–2 Kalmar FF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

IK Sirius (Local)

Previsão 64.29%1.56odd justa
EV -2.28%
Vantagem -1.50%
Kelly -4.39%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.24%64.23%64.22%65.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.381.441.441.5272.46%69.52%69.44%65.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Kalmar FF (Visitante)

Previsão 14.75%6.78odd justa
EV +10.59%
Vantagem +1.41%
Kelly +1.63%
Crescimento +0.173%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.84%14.79%14.73%16.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.306.176.257.5018.87%16.21%16.00%13.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 20.97%4.77odd justa
EV -1.25%
Vantagem -0.265%
Kelly -0.336%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.87%20.98%21.05%23.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.364.354.7126.67%22.94%22.99%21.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.98%EV -6.14%E -4.21%K -13.35%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.84%EV +10.59%E +1.41%K +1.63%G +0.173%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.17%EV -4.60%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-02 12:19
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 65.34%EV -6.14%E -4.21%K -13.35%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.24%EV -1.20%E -0.180%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.43%EV -2.08%E -0.446%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-02 12:55
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 64.53%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.96%EV -1.20%E -0.180%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -8.79%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 12:50
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.53%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.96%EV -1.20%E -0.180%K -0.211%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -8.79%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 12:51
DraftKings1.45I 68.97%NM 65.01%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -4.15%E -0.639%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -3.55%E -0.772%K -0.987%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-02 12:55
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.15%E -0.639%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.67%EV -4.60%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 12:53
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.15%E -0.639%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.67%EV -4.60%E -1.01%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 12:50
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -4.15%E -0.639%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -3.55%E -0.772%K -0.987%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-02 12:50
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 64.19%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -4.15%E -0.639%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.49%EV -9.21%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 12:35
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.93%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.15%E -0.639%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.81%EV -10.89%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 11:45
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 63.92%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.16%EV -4.15%E -0.639%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-02 12:54
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -8.07%E -5.64%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -4.15%E -0.639%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.62%EV -10.89%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 11:45
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -24.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -4.15%E -0.639%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-02 12:34
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 64.99%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -24.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -4.15%E -0.639%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.01%EV -9.21%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 08:20
LowVig.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -5.63%E -0.879%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -3.55%E -0.772%K -0.987%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 12:51
BetOnline.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -5.63%E -0.879%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -3.55%E -0.772%K -0.987%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 12:49
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 64.86%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -5.63%E -0.879%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -3.55%E -0.772%K -0.987%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 12:51
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -5.50%E -3.74%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -5.63%E -0.879%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 12:51
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -5.50%E -3.74%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -5.63%E -0.879%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 12:50
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -5.50%E -3.74%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -5.63%E -0.879%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 12:51
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.95%EV -5.50%E -3.74%K -11.70%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.69%EV -5.63%E -0.879%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -7.75%E -1.76%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-02 12:51
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.88%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -7.84%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -8.79%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 12:50
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.88%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -7.84%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -8.79%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 12:50
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 63.88%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -7.84%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -8.79%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 12:50
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.88%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -7.84%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -8.79%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 12:51
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 63.88%EV -6.78%E -4.68%K -15.07%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.82%EV -7.84%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.29%EV -8.79%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 12:51
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 64.04%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -7.84%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -8.79%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 12:50
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 64.04%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.76%EV -7.84%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -8.79%E -2.02%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 12:49
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -8.71%E -6.14%K -20.74%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -7.84%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-02 08:20
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.74%EV -8.71%E -6.14%K -20.74%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.83%EV -8.58%E -1.38%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 12:55
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.19I 16.16%NM 15.12%EV -8.72%E -1.41%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.87%EV -1.25%E -0.265%K -0.336%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-02 12:53
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 63.82%EV -8.07%E -5.64%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.96%EV -10.05%E -1.65%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -9.84%E -2.29%K -2.98%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-02 12:51
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -8.07%E -5.64%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -10.05%E -1.65%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -10.89%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 12:51
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 63.66%EV -8.07%E -5.64%K -18.76%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -10.05%E -1.65%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.42%EV -10.89%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 12:50
GTbets1.52I 65.79%NM 62.94%EV -2.28%E -1.50%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.94%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.53I 22.08%NM 21.12%EV -5.02%E -1.11%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-02 12:45
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 04:25
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -4.85%E -3.28%K -10.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 12:41
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.21%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 12:51
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.21%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 12:50
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.21%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 12:45
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -9.21%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-02 12:51
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.66%EV -8.71%E -6.14%K -20.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.27%EV -10.89%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-02 12:51
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -24.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -9.21%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 12:35
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -24.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -9.21%E -2.13%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-02 12:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.24%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -24.99%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.52%EV -11.53%E -1.92%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.24%EV -21.37%E -5.70%K -7.77%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-02 12:35
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 63.51%EV -11.28%E -8.18%K -29.69%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.11%EV -14.48%E -2.50%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.38%EV -14.04%E -3.42%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-02 12:50
Betclic (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.41%EV -9.35%E -6.63%K -22.82%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -15.21%E -2.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.04%EV -10.89%E -2.56%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-02 12:40
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -24.99%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -15.21%E -2.65%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-02 12:35
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.41%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV -17.42%E -3.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.29%EV -5.65%E -1.26%K -1.61%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 12:41
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 63.17%EV -10.64%E -7.65%K -27.28%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.68%EV -17.42%E -3.11%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.16%EV -12.99%E -3.13%K -4.12%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-02 12:40
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.90%E -3.44%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 04:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.90%E -3.44%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 04:25
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.90%E -3.44%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 04:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -7.43%E -5.16%K -16.88%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -18.90%E -3.44%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-02 04:25
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 62.98%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -24.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.03%EV -18.90%E -3.44%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.99%EV -11.94%E -2.84%K -3.73%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-02 06:10
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.90%EV -10.00%E -7.14%K -24.99%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.62%EV -21.85%E -4.12%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -9.84%E -2.29%K -2.98%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-02 12:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-02 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-02 12:51
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-02 12:51
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.03%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.76%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-05-02 12:45
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.65%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.97%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%2.2%2026-05-02 12:55